The future of the EU and the UK, post-Brexit

Boris Johnson is implementing an ad campaign throughout the EU about the ramifications of a no deal Brexit to the people of the EU. This is brilliant. It is "Operation fear" targeted at the establishment leaders of the EU.

UK Plans no-deal Brexit ad campaign in Europe

LONDON — Boris Johnson's government is planning a Europe-wide media blitz to convince EU governments and citizens that the U.K. is serious about leaving, deal or no deal, on October 31.

On top of a widely reported domestic public information campaign, officials are looking at taking out pages in major European newspapers and targeting online adverts at European citizens, directing them to U.K. government information on Brexit.

Part of the European public information campaign will target and be tailored to U.K. citizens living on the Continent. But there is a wider aim to ram home the message to EU capitals that the U.K. is not bluffing when it says it will leave at the end of October.​

You can see this chaffs them by their use of the phrase "ram home" in the last paragraph above. These people are accustomed to being the 'rammers'. Now they are going to experience what it feels like to be the rammees.

 

Actually, it is the current Parliament approved default which WILL happen on October 31, 2019, unless something is done to block that from happening.

So, it very much appears that it is likely to happen.

However, it is still my hope that the EU comes to their senses and becomes willing to modify their deal in a way that is acceptable to the people of the UK, as that would certainly be a better outcome for everyone concerned.

 

Here is the entire sentence that you chopped the middle out of:

"Actually, it is the current Parliament approved default which WILL happen on October 31, 2019, unless something is done to block that from happening."

 

How soon could a general election happen?

Even with a successful no confidence motion, it would be extremely tight to organise a general election before 31 October. MPs did not call a confidence vote before Westminster went on its summer break. That means 3 September, when Parliament next sits, is now the earliest opportunity to do so.




Assuming the confidence vote is held and passed the next day, the 14-day period the government has to win back support would expire on 18 September. If that happens, the prime minister could choose to call the election the next day. That would mean dissolving Parliament on 20 September, signalling the start of the five week campaign.

The House of Commons Library told the BBC, that such an scenario would leave Friday 25 October as the earliest possible election day - less than one week before Brexit day. To hold an election on a day other than a Thursday would be extremely unusual. In fact, you have to go back to Tuesday 27 October 1931 to find the last time this happened.

Could the prime minister speed things up?

A compliant prime minister could speed things up. Instead of having a 14-day period after losing any no confidence motion, the prime minister could decide to call an election. He would still need the votes of at least 66% of MPs, but that would trim two weeks off the election timetable.

Could the prime minister slow things down?

If, on the other hand, the prime minister was determined to leave the EU on 31 October, he could try to delay things. "Even if a vote of no confidence was successful, it doesn't guarantee the election will happen before Brexit day," says Catherine Haddon, from the Institute for Government think tank.

That's because the prime minister controls the timetable. "For example, they could extend the wash-up [the period where some unfinished Parliamentary business is dealt with] before Parliament is dissolved," she says. By doing this, the election could be pushed into November - by which point the UK would have already left the EU.

So ultimately, it is in the hands of the prime minster, rather than Parliament, to guarantee an election before Brexit is due to happen.

 

This is a very interesting comparison. Of course this is a sort of "Reformation" for the UK.

The similarity is that the Catholic Church had grotesquely hijacked and deformed the Gospel of Jesus Christ, which is was the initial mission of the Church, and the EU has grotesquely hijacked and deformed what was initially agreed to be a free trade pact. Both organizations ultimately became obsessed with themselves and made themselves and their control over everyone under their rule their central objective.

These people - meaning both the Catholic Church and the EU (and also the multinational globalist groups) - are not worthy of our worship and they should not be allowed to impose themselves on everyone in the way that they clearly want to. This realization resulted in the Protestant (Protest-ant) Reformation and is now resulting in Brexit, and also a lot of push-back around the world against this sort of unwanted, imposed centralized control. Obviously, people do not want that and they are not going to patiently accept it. Nor should they.

The difference is that the Catholic Church had been 1,500 years in the making at that point, while the EU is only about 50 years old, in anything close to its current construction. It took about 10% of the relevant time to substantially unwind the tentacles of the Catholic Church. We are three years after the Brexit vote. If it takes 10% of the time that the EU has been in power, then we can expect about two or so more years of this, and then the EU (and the other multinational globalist groups) will be left to nurse their wounds in similar manner to what the Catholic Church did back in that day.

 

They are talking about the margin of control. When you lose a by election, the other side wins. So that is a switch of two. It racks up faster than you think.

In any case, if Boris Johnson gets the UK out of the EU on October 31, he will be well positioned to succeed in a general election shortly thereafter. If he does not achieve this before the next general election, the Tories could well be finished as a national party.

 

If it is a "National unity government," they will not be able to negotiate that before October 31. Which means the UK will be out of the EU when that group takes office. But the key question is, when does the next general election take place? Very likely after October 31, when the UK is already out of the EU.

If that happens, Boris Johnson is very likely going to be straight back in as the Prime Minister, as the Brexit Party will be no more and the people that supported it will all jam the voting booths to vote for the Tories.

Cheers!

 

First Labour has to be willing to back a no confidence motion. That is not a certainty at this point at all. As a result of their recent embrace of Remain and a second referendum as their party's official position, there are quite a few of these seats that are in Leave areas that they are now almost certain to lose in a general election.

Labour does not want to have a general election right now. Not really.