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Rockets-Warriors-Jazz-Lakers | Race to the Playoffs Tracker (Projections & Results)

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by Da_Spark, Mar 7, 2013.

  1. Da_Spark

    Da_Spark Member

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    Golden State Warriors | 35-27 (20 games left, Currently 6th)

    Opponent | Prediction | Result

    Mar 8 vs HOU | Win | Loss <--- happy that i was wrong ;)
    Mar 9 vs MIL | Win | Loss <--- Wrong again but i'm not complaining. :p
    Mar 11 vs NYK | Win |
    Mar 13 vs DET | Win |
    Mar 15 vs CHI | Loss |
    Mar 17 @ HOU | Loss |
    Mar 18 @ NOH | Win |
    Mar 20 @ SAS | Loss |
    Mar 23 vs WAS | Win |
    Mar 25 vs LAL | Win |
    Mar 27 vs SAC | Win |
    Mar 30 vs POR | Win |
    Apr 3 vs NOH | Win |
    Apr 5 @ PHO | Win |
    Apr 7 vs UTA | Win |
    Apr 9 vs MIN | Win |
    Apr 11 vs OKC | Loss |
    Apr 12 @ LAL | Loss |
    Apr 15 vs SAS | Loss |
    Apr 17 @ POR | Loss |

    My Warriors projection: 13-7 (Final 20 games) | 48-34 Overall (6th seed)


    Houston Rockets | 33-29 (20 games left, Currently 7th)

    Opponent | Prediction | Result

    Mar 8 @ GSW | Loss | Win <--- Huge W!
    Mar 9 @ PHO | Win | Loss <--- Wrong. :( Good thing we won in GS.
    Mar 13 vs PHO | Win |
    Mar 15 vs MIN | Win |
    Mar 17 vs GSW | Win |
    Mar 20 vs UTA | Win |
    Mar 22 vs CLE | Win |
    Mar 24 vs SAS | Loss |
    Mar 27 vs IND | Win |
    Mar 29 @ MEM | Loss |
    Mar 30 vs LAC | Loss |
    Apr 1 vs ORL | Win |
    Apr 3 @ SAC | Win |
    Apr 5 @ POR | Loss |
    Apr 6 @ DEN | Loss |
    Apr 9 vs PHO | Win |
    Apr 12 vs MEM | Win |
    Apr 14 vs SAC | Win |
    Apr 15 @ PHO | Win |
    Apr 17 @ LAL | Loss |

    My Rockets Projection: 13-7 ( Final 20 games) | 46-36 Overall (7th seed)


    Utah Jazz | 32-29 (21 games left, Currently 8th)

    Opponent | Prediction | Result

    Mar 8 @ CHI | Loss | Loss <--- Correct
    Mar 9 @ NYK | Loss | Loss <--- Correct!
    Mar 11 vs DET | Win |
    Mar 13 @ OKC | Loss |
    Mar 16 vs MEM | Win |
    Mar 18 vs NYK | Loss |
    Mar 20 @ HOU | Loss |
    Mar 22 @ SAS | Loss |
    Mar 24 @ DAL | Loss |
    Mar 25 vs PHI | Win
    Mar 27 vs PHO | Win |
    Mar 29 @ POR | Loss |
    Mar 30 vs BKN | Win |
    Apr 1 vs POR | Win |
    Apr 3 vs DEN | Loss |
    Apr 5 vs NOH | Win |
    Apr 7 @ GSW | Loss |
    Apr 9 vs OKC | Loss |
    Apr 12 vs MIN | Win |
    Apr 15 @ MIN | Win |
    Apr 17 @ MEM | Loss |

    My Jazz Projection: 9-12 ( Final 20 games) | 41-41 Overall (9th)


    Los Angeles Lakers | 31-31 (20 games left, Currently 9th)

    Opponent | Prediction | Result

    Mar 8 vs TOR | Win | Win <--- Correct. Ugh those Craptors..
    Mar 10 vs CHI | Loss |
    Mar 12 @ ORL | Win |
    Mar 13 @ ATL | Loss |
    Mar 15 @ IND | Loss |
    Mar 17 vs SAC | Win |
    Mar 18 @ PHO | Win |
    Mar 22 vs WAS | Win |
    Mar 25 @ GSW | Loss |
    Mar 27 @ MIN | Win |
    Mar 28 @ MIL | Loss |
    Mar 30 @ SAC | Win |
    Apr 2 vs DAL | Win |
    Apr 5 vs MEM | Loss |
    Apr 7 @ LAC | Loss |
    Apr 9 vs NOH | Win |
    Apr 10 @ POR | Loss |
    Apr 12 vs GSW | Win |
    Apr 14 vs SAS | Loss |
    Apr 17 vs HOU | Win |

    My Lakers Projection: 11-9 (Final 20 games) | 42-40 Overall (8th seed)


    *To be updated after game results
     
  2. apcgamb24

    apcgamb24 Member

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    Memphis is only 1 game back of Clippers for the 3rd seed. If the Roxs can get the 6seed and Memphis the 3, we might actually stand a chance in the first round
     
  3. Come_Again?!

    Come_Again?! Member

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    Man this is crazy how everyone's losing (well besides the Lakers at this point) right now. Utah can't win, GSW just doesn't look right. We need these dam games!!!
     
  4. Da_Spark

    Da_Spark Member

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    True. We have a better chance of getting 6th seed than Memphis stealing that 3rd seed from the Clippers though. Again, anything can happen. It sure is shaping up to be an interesting final month of basketball with all these scenarios. :)
     
  5. Da_Spark

    Da_Spark Member

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    Not concerned about the Lakers. Could care less about em to be honest. We should be focused on grabbing that 6th seed to avoid a 1st rd matchup with either OKC or SA but won't mind facing and losing to them in the 1st round either since we're just one our first year of rebuilding with this brand new team and we're now where near to being contenders just yet. It's all about gaining experience and building chemistry for this young team.
     
  6. Da_Spark

    Da_Spark Member

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    If i may add, gaining playoff experience for a team this young would be priceless since most teams as young and inexperienced as we are usually end up as lottery teams. Take the Hornets for example. We're almost as young as them and their roster isn't bad either. Hornets actually have almost the same talent level on their roster but they are on pace to finish the season with the worst record in the west while we're here battling for as high as the 6th seed.
     
  7. tehG l i d e

    tehG l i d e Member

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    Our easier schedule means **** when we're losing against lottery teams. WTF.
     
  8. Da_Spark

    Da_Spark Member

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    I guess the team was a bit flat since that game in Phoenix was the 2nd half off back to back road games. This favorable homestand schedule will prove to be useful since the team will have extra days to practice and familiarize themselves with the new power forward rotation and bench.
     
  9. steady

    steady Member

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    The Rockets have been remarkable this year.
    Some credit goes to the coaching staff. But I think most of the credit goes to the players (especially, especially, Harden); to the team's chemistry; and to Morey for bringing this group of players together.

    ... I don't think they need to replace McHale, (and I'm not pushing for that) but neither do I think the team would go south without him.
     
  10. WinkFan

    WinkFan Contributing Member

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    As of March 10, here is the Home-Away breakdown:

    Home Away
    GS 12 6
    Houston 12 6
    Utah 11 8
    LAL 9 10

    Obviously, we are way better at home, so hopefully we'll get something going.
    We have GS and Utah at home for consecutive games on the 17th and 20th. Those will be huge.
     
    #50 WinkFan, Mar 10, 2013
    Last edited: Mar 10, 2013
  11. AXG

    AXG Member

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    I think the Rockets would be better off in the 7th or 8th seed, depending on where SA finishes. Not that I think Houston will beat SA, but I think they'd stand a better chance against SA (with Parker out) than either OKC or LAC.
     
  12. Sweet Lou 4 2

    Sweet Lou 4 2 Contributing Member
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    I think it will go down like this:

    6. Lakers
    7. Rockets
    8. Mavs
    9. Golden State
    10. Utah

    I think the Mavs are going to go on a run, and the Lakers are playing better. Golden state isn't going to collapse, because of all those home games. But they are going to play .500 the rest of the way.

    That means, you have to finish 4 games over .500 to make the playoffs. With a healthy Dirk, Dallas is primed to make a run.
     
  13. Karolik

    Karolik Member

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    That 5 game home winning streak is starting to look verryy optimistic.
     
  14. Sports2012

    Sports2012 Member

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    While the Lakers and Mavs have been coming back up strong, I don't think they can get to the 6th and 8th seed as you think.

    Even if they could win all their remaining games, they still have to rely on us, Golden State and Utah to collapse to get to those two spots.

    Do you think that would happen to us this year?
     
  15. Karolik

    Karolik Member

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    Its already happening to those 3 teams.
     
  16. tehG l i d e

    tehG l i d e Member

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    I hope so. They didn't look good in the win over GS either. The Mavs game was obviously terrible too. The Magic game shouldn't have been close in the end. The Rockets just blow in close games. We're lucky Harden got calls at the end of the GS game.
     
  17. Sweet Lou 4 2

    Sweet Lou 4 2 Contributing Member
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    Only 4 losses separate the entire pack with about 18 games left. Golden State hasnt played well since the all-star break and are faltering. If they continue then they will be out of the playoffs for sure.

    Why do I think the Lakers will pass us? Because they are just a better team. Kobe and Dwight are finally starting to click and that's scary.

    Dallas has a healthy Dirk and I think they will surge. Too much pride.
     
  18. aurocketfan

    aurocketfan Member

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    Lakers starting to figure it out? gonna be scary
     
  19. Roxs-Redemption

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    [ESPN] West playoff series we'd like to see

    Let's get three things out of the way: Any playoff series featuring the Golden State Warriors is going to be entertaining, any series with the Memphis Grizzlies will be contentious and any series with the Los Angeles Clippers would be a mixture of both.

    That doesn't mean we can't mix and match combinations to find the optimal Western Conference series we want to see -- even if sometimes they are the obvious series. Any possibility in any round is in play here, no matter how much seed-shifting it would take before the end of the season, or how many upsets they would require in the early rounds of the playoffs.

    Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Houston Rockets

    What could provide the rarest of matchups -- a team facing a key player in the playoffs in the same season it traded him -- also would be the easiest to make happen. All it would require would be for the Thunder to retain their current No. 2 seed while the Rockets remain seventh and then it's on. These instant revenge scenarios are so uncommon because (A) teams rarely trade key players within their own conference and (B) most teams that trade a major player don't immediately make it to the postseason. It's to the Thunder's credit that they still had championship-contender talent after trading James Harden to Houston. But if their old teammate dropped 46 points on them to lead the Rockets to a comeback victory in OKC on Feb. 20, just imagine what he'd do over the course of a full playoff series. I'm thinking something along the lines of "Teen Wolf."

    The most similar scenario I can recall is when Horace Grant faced his old team, the Chicago Bulls, in his first season after signing as a free agent with the Orlando Magic. After the Magic ousted the Bulls (with the No. 45 edition of Michael Jordan), Grant's new teammates carried him off the court.

    It probably won't end as well for Harden, but he'll make the Thunder squirm before the series is over. And imagine the quandary he'll put the Oklahoma City fans into. Do they dare pull out their fake beards and No. 13 jerseys to honor their favorite former player during a playoff series?

    The Thunder could pull out their spreadsheets, host a seminar on the luxury-tax rules and give a prudent explanation for why they traded Harden, but it would all be drowned out by the noise and the emotion of the playoffs.

    ---
    To read more, click the spoiler below
    Denver Nuggets vs. Golden State Warriors

    Golden State's games against the Thunder, Lakers and Rockets all have been higher-scoring affairs. Still, there's nothing wrong with the 208-point average that the Warriors and Nuggets produced this season. And this series comes with the most intriguing individual matchup: Ty Lawson vs. Stephen Curry. Two young point guards who have had their moments (i.e., Lawson's game-winning shot against the Thunder and Curry's 54 points in Madison Square Garden) but still haven't passed the true test of NBA success: winning a playoff series.

    Neither can be considered one of the league's elite stars at this stage. A great playoff performance could alter that perception.

    You know who comes up big in the playoffs? JaVale McGee. At least, that's what the small data set we have from last year's seven-game series against the Lakers indicates. In his first-ever playoff series, McGee had two big double-doubles (16 points and 15 rebounds in Game 3, and 21 and 14 in Game 5, plus two other games with at least five blocks). You can be sure those came up during negotiations for the $44 million contract he signed last summer.

    But it's JaVale McGee, so you never know what's coming next.

    Meanwhile, the backup point guards, Andre Miller and Jarrett Jack, are as vital as they get in the NBA. You'd also have Kenneth Faried battling David Lee for rebounds, if that's your thing.

    As they say in boxing, the best fights are made from contrasting styles, and even though both teams are up-tempo, they're trying to score from different areas. The Warriors are the most accurate 3-point shooting team in the league; the Nuggets are one of the worst. The Nuggets lead the league in points in the paint (and they scored 66 of 'em in their first game against Golden State); the Warriors are 24th.

    Los Angeles Clippers vs. Memphis Grizzlies

    With wrestling on its way out of the Olympics, you could get your Greco-Roman fix right here. Last year's first-round series had pushing, grabbing, staredowns and 19 technical fouls.

    It also featured three games decided by two points or fewer, and one historic fourth-quarter comeback. The intensity of the series carried over into the 2012-13 season opener, which felt like Game 8.

    A rematch would come with a new wrinkle this year: Chauncey Billups and Tayshaun Prince, two key components of the 2004 Detroit Pistons championship team, competing for their new squads. Billups missed last year's playoffs with the Clippers because of a torn left Achilles tendon, and Prince was just traded to Memphis last month.

    I'd expect more from Blake Griffin, who dipped his toes into the playoff waters for the first time last season. I'd expect the Grizzlies to find ways to get more from Marc Gasol and Mike Conley, who were at times devastatingly effective against the Clippers but also curiously uninvolved for stretches.

    And while the Clippers are a deeper team this season, you wonder if they would miss the toughness Reggie Evans and Kenyon Martin that gave them a boost in the matchup with Memphis last year. You also wonder if the playoffs are when the Grizzlies will miss Rudy Gay, whose absence hasn't hurt them so far after the trade to Toronto. Even with Gay, the Clippers outscored the Grizzlies 183-137 in the fourth quarters and overtime of their series. Where will the Grizzlies get their late baskets without him?

    The Clippers and Grizzlies are tracking toward opposite sides of the bracket, which would make the conference finals the only possible meeting place for them. It would be unexpected … but not unwelcome.

    San Antonio Spurs vs. Los Angeles Lakers

    Kobe Bryant's recent "retro dunk" has me in the mood for a retro series.

    If Spurs-Lakers is going to happen at all it would probably occur in the first round, which for these two teams would be about as out of place as Beyonce singing in the tryout stages of "American Idol."

    What's even stranger is that after meeting five times in six postseasons from 1999-2004, the Spurs and Lakers have played each other only once since then (the 2008 conference finals).

    Tim Duncan can't even his playoff ledger with Kobe Bryant this season (Kobe leads the series 4-2) but don't you think he wants -- or deserves -- one more crack at him?

    You might think you know how this series would turn out, but you can't be sure because we have yet to see the Lakers play the Spurs with Kobe, Steve Nash, Dwight Howard and Pau Gasol all in the lineup. It could happen on April 14, the final Sunday of the regular season, when the Spurs play in Los Angeles.

    For a while it looked as though it would be a prime time for Gregg Popovich to rest his stars ahead of the playoffs, but what if Tony Parker's absence throughout March requires the Spurs to win that April 14 game to secure the No. 1 seed? Or what if the Spurs and Lakers are locked into a first-round matchup at that point and the Spurs want to send a message that the Lakers won't stand a chance in the playoffs? OK, if I'm getting that intrigued about a regular-season game, imagine the drama a seven-game playoff series would bring.

    Just think of what Spurs-Lakers has delivered in the past: everything from great shots (Derek Fisher 0.4, anyone?) to great quotes (Brent Barry, after the NBA admitted it missed a potential game-changing foul on Fisher at the end of 2008's Game 5: "That's awesome. Because Doc Brown is waiting for me outside, and we're going to get in the DeLorean and fire up the flux capacitor and we're going to go back and shoot a couple of free throws.")

    The more I go on, the more I want this series. Can we make this happen?

    You might revel at the possibility of the Lakers missing the playoffs after their high-profile acquisitions last summer -- and that would actually be the biggest regular-season NBA story in a long time -- but the playoffs wouldn't be the same without them.

    Here's the link if you need it.
     
  20. Da_Spark

    Da_Spark Member

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    Lets take a closer look at Dallas' situation..

    Dallas Mavericks | Currently 29-33 (20 games left)

    @MIL
    @SAS
    vsCLE
    vsOKC
    @ATL
    vsBKN
    vsBOS
    vsUTA
    vsLAC
    vsIND
    vsCHI
    @LAL
    @DEN
    @SAC
    @POR
    vsPHO
    vsDEN
    @NOH
    vsMEM
    vsNOH

    It's gonna take a minor miracle for them to get to 8th considering that tough schedule and still currently at 4 games below .500.
     

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