Biden hitting a number of populist themes (corporations ducking taxes, manufacturing jobs here in America, unions fighting for the worker, workers deserving reward)... and this clear differentiation, as trump was cheating on his wife who was home with their infant son.
If Trump's strategy works American's will be asking why he didn't gas those protesters sooner. The American sentiment on the protesters is going to change and Trump knows it. The longer the protesters are out there and the more extremists on the left call for change..... the more Americans are going to get sick of it. This whole narrative can flip over a few weeks time.
This already failed as badly as it possibly could the first time - obviously since Trump is stupid, it's no guarantee about him not retrying it - but it's not like the streets are currently clogged with rampaging protesters - they're clogged with ambulances and unemployed people. Trump can tweet "LAW & ORDER" all he wants but it hasn't worked yet and if anythign it has hurt him, you can say "it's goign to change" but there's no evidence of this.
Biden had a good speech honestly but I don’t believe we ever will be united. Ever R.I.P. USA, 1776-2020 had a good run and was great at times but never ever perfect but still better than many alternatives
The protest are all ready dying down and defunding the cops mantra has seemed to peter out as well. I also don't see how people getting sick of these things means a vote for Trump because he is still stoking this stuff.
It can very well start back up. It doesn't help Biden for the far left to garner so much media attention.
Black lives matter is actually polling better than Biden. The other thing is that people are underestimating how Trump moves public opinion now. He is so toxic that his endorsement of a position almost instantly erodes support for that position. Look at the reopen the schools mini campaign yesterday. It's an important goal. But people instinctively recoiled from Trump and Cruella Devos on it the second they tried to use it yesterday
Yes it can start up but also the star of these things had high approvals, so it depends on why they would start. I agree it does not help but like most things they seem too even out. The left boogie man has been tied to Biden since April and it has not hurt him, I think most people can differentiate the difference from Biden and random twitter people.
Don't put all your confidence into trends from now. I'm just talking hypotheticals.... I agree with Nook, the longer the protests go on, the worse for Dems. Fatigue can set in.
Change enough to materially help Trump on the next 100 days? No this is an insanely low probability event. Like the Floyd video being proven a deep fake from Hillary's server level of probability
I don't have any confidence in trends and I agree that fatigue will set in but the facts are that protest are dying down and fatigue does not mean you still will not vote against Trump. There is not a one to one correlation. We are seriously walking on to many eggshells concerning Trump and the election.
It's not a trend it's a sea change in the empirical data and one that's being ushered along by demographic change as well. You're the one posting the hypo - what event seems within the realm of statistical probability that you believe will reverse this trend/sea change? I just don't see anything on the horizon given the current moment
A sea change, are we sure its not a tidal wave.....? Tsunami? Maybe trickle..... we keep hearing about the demographic change but Dems still fighting to win back what they lost in 2010. Actually I'm just agreeing with Nook that the longer the conservative media has to pin all the far left extremist behavior and cancel culture on Biden, the worse it is for Dems.
It's just amusing what happens when a Democrat like myself doesn't share the group mind's exact optimism....
I also posited that I was worried about Biden getting out there and campaigning and here's stepped up to the plate shrewdly with a new "Buy America". I'm still worried about Biden on his own in front of a mic.... but its promising.
What is happening? What is the group think? I agree with you a lot but I am getting tired of this idea that the Democratic group think is that Biden has it in the bag, I don't see it here or in the world at large. I am also tired of people talking about Trump as if he has mystical powers and everything has to perfect for Biden to win. It's really amusing that anybody thinks there is a group mind among democrats in D&D did we just forget the primaries? Nothing personal just ranting a bit.
These are good points..... it really depends on what happens. Regardless that is the tact he is taking.
