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If you were Morey: Sell High on Jeremy Lin?

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by willwmc, Feb 2, 2014.

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If you were Morey: Sell High on Jeremy Lin?

  1. Yes, Sell

    267 vote(s)
    59.1%
  2. No, Keep through out contract

    185 vote(s)
    40.9%
  1. willwmc

    willwmc Member

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    We know we can't get anything valuable for Asik since he hasn't played in ages.

    Lin's great play of late leaves Morey in a dilemma before the nearing trade deadline. Recency effect has influence on everyone.

    Business Wise - Financial Analogy:
    If I held a Lin stock right now, I would sell. The "fee" I would pay to keep it is not worth the rate of return (merchandise and all included).

    Basketball Wise:
    before, we needed a solid PF in our rotation, but D-Mo's progressing play of late might solve that issue. So trading Lin for another PG straight up is not worth the tinkering of team chemistry IMO.

    #torn #dilemma :confused:
     
  2. ShiniKashi

    ShiniKashi Member

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    You just used hashtags in a thread. Your opinion is now invalid. ;)
     
  3. Rockets12

    Rockets12 Member

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    I agree, hashtags outside of Twitter? Come on.. (unless we make fun of #Wordapp or #BeWll)
     
  4. Jmcballer88

    Jmcballer88 Contributing Member

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    It is time to sell, but how many teams really need a starting point guard? Will Detroit give up and Jennings? Bucks give up on Knight? Magic and nelson finally sever ties? There are not many available starting point guard spots for Lin to be traded too.
     
    #4 Jmcballer88, Feb 2, 2014
    Last edited: Feb 2, 2014
  5. REEKO_HTOWN

    REEKO_HTOWN I'm Rich Biiiiaaatch!

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    Lin hasn't been DNPed yet so no.
     
  6. DrNuegebauer

    DrNuegebauer Member

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    How do you sell high on an $8.3m PG who is averaging 13 points and 4 assists on the season, while being the worst player on his term in terms of 'point against per possession'??


    Chalk me up for confused.
     
    1 person likes this.
  7. count_dough-ku

    count_dough-ku Contributing Member

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    Depends what you can get for him. If the Rockets could move Asik for some bench players, then maybe Lin becomes expendable. Right now though, they need his production off the bench given the way Harden has been in and out of the lineup and the fact that they don't really have any other quality backup guard aside from Brooks.
     
  8. DraftBoy10

    DraftBoy10 Member

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    Sell high?

    With 15mil due next year from the company, the window to trading Jeremy has already passed. Well not passed, but been extremely restrictd.

    It'll be hard to get to a team to take him, or Asik for that matter, given how much they are due next year. Jeremy is more of a possibility due to revenue he can generate.
     
  9. RocketPowerNick

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    Rockets fans will look stupid (again) if they get rid of him.
     
  10. REEKO_HTOWN

    REEKO_HTOWN I'm Rich Biiiiaaatch!

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    How so?
     
  11. RocketPowerNick

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    Sorry Not Rocket Fans


    Daryl Morey.


    He is a special player, and as we've seen in these last 3 games he works incredibly cohesively with PBev, Parsons, Dwight, and Tjones as well as leading the 2nd unit. Even Harden sometimes when he doesn't play selfishly.

    Why trade Lin?
     
  12. aurocketfan

    aurocketfan Member

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    Because he's not a good fit according to clutchfans.
    I say dump him when the price is right or we'd be stuck with two 15mil contracts next year.
     
  13. TheJet

    TheJet Member

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    Freudian slip?
     
  14. DreamEarlNolan

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    Two expiring contracts next year. An expiring contract can be very valuable even if it is for a large amount.
     
  15. DraftBoy10

    DraftBoy10 Member

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    It's an 8m expiring contract.

    15mil to the pocket though.
     
  16. DreamEarlNolan

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    What I meant to say was an expiring contract can be a very valuable asset even if the contract is for a large amount. Teams looking to free up cap room would be interested in the contracts of Jeremy and Omer next year.
     
  17. Panda23

    Panda23 Member

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    We're already going after Dragic in free agency after Len/Asok expire calm your t*** everyone

    source: me
     
  18. jms99

    jms99 Member

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    I think what people mean by "sell high" is that he's been playing well the last few games and you get some good in return. Whereas if you trade him after a week of terrible games, even if that week is just a fluke where he had a stomach virus or something, you won't get as good of a trade.

    For example, let's say by mere fluke, Lin makes another triple double next game. That's two triple doubles in two games. Let's say he gets 13/10/10. Not impossible by any means. Maybe he has 13/7/10 and Howard boxes out for him a few times.

    Then you let other teams know that you want to trade him. That would be selling high. You sell when the value of what you are trading is perceived to be higher than you believe it to be.

    There is a down side, of course. Say Apple stocks hit $700 per share, and you sell, thinking there's no way it can go higher. It can only go lower. Ten minutes after you sell, the stock hits $1000, and stays there for the next 50 years.

    If you really want to trade Lin now, you have to make sure you know his game and his potential. Even Harden was once a sixth man and we gave him max based on potential. Another thing you have to think about is: Why do point guards on our team do well after they leave the team? Is there something in our organization that is hindering their development? If other teams have analyzed that situation for us, but aren't telling us, then they'll take Lin, seeing the pattern, and we might end up watching Lin averaging 23/8 starting from day one on his new team.
     
  19. PuzzledFan

    PuzzledFan Member

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    Those contracts are not onerous. You can make a case that 8.33 M is too much for either player, but the bad contracts around the league are around 20M. You can make a case that the contracts as structured make it much harder to trade the players, but that was always going to be true. The fact that each player has deferred 6.67 M salary until the third year of the contract is as if they were receiving 8.33 M a year and Les was able to swing 13.33 M in an interest free loan somehow. That's only bad if you're dumb enough to blow the money somehow. Les is not.
     
  20. tycoonchip

    tycoonchip Member
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    Because we have two capable pg's and possibly a third in canaan that are much cheaper. We are also in dire need of a perimeter defender. Letting Lin go the first time was not a mistake. Signing him again to that contract when we already had Dragic was.
     

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