Since the 13th game of the year, when I got mad at Correa and said inapropriate things (then the Cleveland series happened and it continued, because I'm stubborn)..... CC has put up these numbers: .341/ .413 /.591 /1.004
His power is more like Dale Murphy to me. Just enough to clear the fence, but not striking. And a lot of that is as noted, is because we are in a new era-free of live baseballs. So he's above average still in power. with Clutch hitting. And a sweet swing. He's nearing HOF Status at 22. I don't see his ceiling as much higher due to the power limitations, but I do see him as a .290 25 HR 100 rbi guy with Ripken like Charisma and Steadiness.
Why wouldn't his power continue to develop as he starts to fill out? That's what's truly striking. He's nowhere close to his physical peak.
if not for those pesky yankees, it could be Correa's or altuve's mvp to win. Who is this Judge guy. it's like one day he's batting way below the mendoza then he's exploding baseballs the next, like he just came out of nowhere. Check his bat. Make sure it isn't made from lightning.
Correa's 10 home runs this year have averaged over 393 feet, ranging from 344 to 443 feet, with 6 of them over 390. His HR last night that was "just enough to clear the fence" went 398 feet. EDIT - 216 average distance was 404 and 2015 was 398.
I see him closer to those numbers too. Those number are very good, but they aren't arod numbers.Pretty much no player in baseball history has put up arod numbers as a ss. I think if he can get 300/30/100 that would be even better. In may his BABIP is 410. I don't think that is sustainable.
So are you saying he's lost 15 feet in power since 2016? I'm not sure you made your case. Increased average and contact, decrease in distance. Those often go hand in hand. Listen, he's got some power, just not electric power, he's focused on getting on base more than launching and I think it will stay that way. His swing is already optimized and his mentality is contact, will be hard to shake him from that even if he gains physically. He'll have HR gains just due to experience, but don't see his mental approach to the game evolving to a power hitter.
FWIW we have played almost exactly 1/3 of the season, and he is on pace for about 30/110. His rookie season extrapolated out to 660 PA (which is what he had last year) comes out to about 33/104. He hit .279 and .274 as a 20 and 21 year old, why would somebody feel .280 is his likely level? It's just very odd that someone would think he peaked at 21, because .280/25/90 is basically exactly what he did last year. His BABIP on the year is .355, which is probably a little high but not grossly so for a guy who hits it hard with regularity. He had a .328 BABIP last year. Now people may be right, he may plateau at a very young age. But I would personally feel pretty confident that he is gonna be at least a little better hitter from 24-32, than he was from 20-22.
The case I was making is that his home runs aren't "just enough to clear the fence". For example, last nights HR, although barely clearing the fence, traveled 398 feet.
And he's only 22 years old. There are superstars that didn't even start their MLB career until after that age. It's insane.
