1. Welcome! Please take a few seconds to create your free account to post threads, make some friends, remove a few ads while surfing and much more. ClutchFans has been bringing fans together to talk Houston Sports since 1996. Join us!

Clint Capela will be a star

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by justtxyank, May 19, 2015.

  1. Pull_Up_3

    Pull_Up_3 Member

    Joined:
    Jan 8, 2010
    Messages:
    6,089
    Likes Received:
    306
    This is what has impressed me the most. Dude played unreal defense on smaller perimeter guys

    mind=blown this guy can be special
     
  2. count_dough-ku

    count_dough-ku Contributing Member

    Joined:
    May 19, 2002
    Messages:
    17,612
    Likes Received:
    9,064
    He showed that ability back in the regular season in a game at the Lakers. I'm trying to remember the last time I saw a center who could stay in front of a guard like that on the perimeter.
     
  3. Rockets025

    Rockets025 Rookie

    Joined:
    Jul 13, 2014
    Messages:
    1,468
    Likes Received:
    105
    I think JVG wishes he could adopt him
     
  4. Matt78777

    Matt78777 Contributing Member

    Joined:
    Oct 3, 2005
    Messages:
    1,509
    Likes Received:
    1,240
    What impresses me the most is how his game has grown just from the Dallas series. He had some impressive lobs but he seemed a little lost on defense. Now, he's hounding perimeter players and faking the lob then hitting another cutter with an extra pass? That's huge.
     
  5. Matt78777

    Matt78777 Contributing Member

    Joined:
    Oct 3, 2005
    Messages:
    1,509
    Likes Received:
    1,240
    I'm sure this has been posted here a thousand times, but might be a good place to repost Kevin Pelton's insider article on Capela being the steal of the draft BEFORE the Rockets picked him.

    tldr: Capela 2nd best prospect in draft by advanced metrics.

    Clint Capela isn't your average sleeper.

    Capela stands 6-foot-11 with a 7-4 1/2 wingspan and a leaping ability that makes him a regular presence around the rim at both ends of the floor. He seems engineered to be a scout's fancy, and yet, folks around the league are generally cool to the Swiss big man's game.

    Still, while Capela is expected to be picked somewhere in the second half of the first round of tonight's NBA draft -- long after many fans will have turned off their TV sets -- his stellar production in France, playing for Elan Chalon at just 19 years old, is impossible to ignore.

    My WARP projections have Capela as the No. 2 prospect in this year's field. Could he end up being the steal of the draft? I think so.

    Here's why you should be happy if your favorite team ends up with Capela.

    Three elite skills

    Three things stand out from looking at Capela's translated statistics, which are based on his performance in the French Pro A League and the EuroCup international competition and adjusted to its NBA equivalents:

    • 2-point percentage: Capela shot 63.8 percent against French competition, third best among players with at least 100 shot attempts. He was even better, at 71.8 percent, in 10 EuroCup games.

    • Rebound percentage: Capela pulled down better than one in four available defensive rebounds in Pro A competition (26.4 percent). When factoring in the difficulty of rebounding on the offensive end, Capela was even better on the other side of the floor, securing 14.6 percent of teammates' misses. His combined rebound rate ranked fourth in the league.

    • Block percentage: Capela rejected 7.5 percent of French opponents' 2-point attempts. His pace-adjusted rate of 2.6 blocks per 40 minutes was best among Pro A players.

    Level of competition

    Based on how players from French teams have performed in the EuroCup and Euroleague continental competitions, and the established conversion rates between EuroCup/Euroleague and NBA performance, the typical player performs about 30 percent worse on average in the NBA.

    Other players who have gone back and forth from the NBA to the French Pro A League offer some context for Capela's stats. Alexis Ajinca played in both leagues last season, starting the year with Strasbourg in France before signing with the New Orleans Pelicans in December. The 7-2 center put up similar block and rebound numbers, but he did not shoot as high a percentage from the field as Capela. He averaged 17 minutes per game in the NBA, starting 30 games for the Pelicans, and posted a 14.6 PER.

    Last season, the Utah Jazz acquired Rudy Gobert on draft night as the 27th pick. Gobert, who is 7-1 with a 7-8 1/2 wingspan (the longest ever measured at the NBA draft combine), blocked shots at a nearly identical rate to Capela. He was less effective on the glass, but shot 73.6 percent from the field in more limited attempts. Overall, Capela rated as the more effective player on a per-minute basis, and he's a year younger than Gobert was when he entered the draft. Considered a project, Gobert played 434 minutes as a rookie with reasonable effectiveness (his PER was 12.9).

    Capela has also teamed with two NBA veterans. Last season, when Capela played only briefly for Elan Chalon, former No. 5 overall pick Shelden Williams started at center. Williams, a year removed from starting 35 games for the New Jersey Nets, was less effective across the board than Capela was this season. With Williams moving on, Elan Chaon paired Capela with Jon Brockman, a rebounding specialist who played three years in the NBA as a second-round pick. Brockman was Capela's superior on the glass, leading the Pro A in rebound percentage, but he averaged just 11.9 points per 36 minutes as compared to Capela's 15.4.

    Serious potential

    OK, so we've established Capela has been better in France than some NBA journeymen and first-round picks. If that sounds unimpressive, consider his youth. Few big men are capable of playing regularly in the NBA at age 20, and fewer still excel in the categories that Capela's translated statistics indicate will be strengths.

    After conversion, Capela's translated 2013-14 performance features 54.0 percent 2-point shooting, a 16.1 percent rebound rate and a 3.7 percent block rate. Check out the NBA big men who have cleared similar bars (52 percent shooting, 15 percent rebound rate and 3 percent block rate) before age 21:

    Comparisons for Clint Capela
    This list doesn't indicate that Capela will be a star like Dwight Howard or Anthony Davis. The best of the players ranked above were either more skilled or stronger than Capela, who has a tendency to get pushed around in the post and needs to fill out his frame. A poor outside shooter, Capela is also unlikely to develop into a perimeter threat like Ibaka.

    However, every single player on this list ultimately developed into a quality starter. Amir Johnson is now a linchpin for the Toronto Raptors, and while it's easy to forget, Andris Biedrins was once one of the league's most promising young big men. Capela's core skills should make him a quality contributor -- and perhaps something more, as he improves his body and his understanding of the game.

    Usually, getting a prospect such as Capela requires a lottery pick. Of the 11 players in the group listed, eight went in the top 15 picks. But because Capela struggled in front of NBA scouts at the Nike Hoop Summit in April, and has performed poorly in workouts, his stock -- once lottery-worthy -- has slipped down the first round. Chad Ford dropped Capela to 27th on his final big board, noting that Capela is unlikely to go before pick 20 (Ford also has Capela 27th in his final mock).

    As the first round proceeds into the 20s, keep an eye on when Capela's name is called. The team that selects him might just be getting a top-10 talent at a discount.
     
    2 people like this.
  6. jayhow92

    jayhow92 Member

    Joined:
    Jan 15, 2011
    Messages:
    7,975
    Likes Received:
    4,019
    Dude is legit. Didn't think he could move laterally like that. Sure surprised me as well as the golden state guards. This guy will be the X factor in this series. He the athleticism to get boards over bogut, the ability to keep up with the guards in the small ball lineup, a very good ability to finish around the basket, and knows how to pick and roll to the basket.
     
  7. solid

    solid Contributing Member

    Joined:
    Apr 10, 2001
    Messages:
    19,944
    Likes Received:
    7,006
    He has Ibaka potential; I have never seen anyone like Dream. He was one of a kind.
     
  8. MD_in_Training

    Joined:
    Mar 17, 2008
    Messages:
    4,104
    Likes Received:
    1,832
    He's probably not the shot blocker that Ibaka is, but I think he can be a more effective pick and roll player.
     
  9. avn81

    avn81 Member

    Joined:
    Jun 20, 2002
    Messages:
    77
    Likes Received:
    5
    Some people had a sense Clint would be a steal, here's a insider article from around the time of last year's draft.

    Clint Capela isn't your average sleeper.

    Capela stands 6-foot-11 with a 7-4 1/2 wingspan and a leaping ability that makes him a regular presence around the rim at both ends of the floor. He seems engineered to be a scout's fancy, and yet, folks around the league are generally cool to the Swiss big man's game.

    Still, while Capela is expected to be picked somewhere in the second half of the first round of tonight's NBA draft -- long after many fans will have turned off their TV sets -- his stellar production in France, playing for Elan Chalon at just 19 years old, is impossible to ignore.

    My WARP projections have Capela as the No. 2 prospect in this year's field. Could he end up being the steal of the draft? I think so.

    Here's why you should be happy if your favorite team ends up with Capela.

    Three elite skills

    Three things stand out from looking at Capela's translated statistics, which are based on his performance in the French Pro A League and the EuroCup international competition and adjusted to its NBA equivalents:

    • 2-point percentage: Capela shot 63.8 percent against French competition, third best among players with at least 100 shot attempts. He was even better, at 71.8 percent, in 10 EuroCup games.

    • Rebound percentage: Capela pulled down better than one in four available defensive rebounds in Pro A competition (26.4 percent). When factoring in the difficulty of rebounding on the offensive end, Capela was even better on the other side of the floor, securing 14.6 percent of teammates' misses. His combined rebound rate ranked fourth in the league.

    • Block percentage: Capela rejected 7.5 percent of French opponents' 2-point attempts. His pace-adjusted rate of 2.6 blocks per 40 minutes was best among Pro A players.

    Level of competition

    Based on how players from French teams have performed in the EuroCup and Euroleague continental competitions, and the established conversion rates between EuroCup/Euroleague and NBA performance, the typical player performs about 30 percent worse on average in the NBA.

    Other players who have gone back and forth from the NBA to the French Pro A League offer some context for Capela's stats. Alexis Ajinca played in both leagues last season, starting the year with Strasbourg in France before signing with the New Orleans Pelicans in December. The 7-2 center put up similar block and rebound numbers, but he did not shoot as high a percentage from the field as Capela. He averaged 17 minutes per game in the NBA, starting 30 games for the Pelicans, and posted a 14.6 PER.

    Last season, the Utah Jazz acquired Rudy Gobert on draft night as the 27th pick. Gobert, who is 7-1 with a 7-8 1/2 wingspan (the longest ever measured at the NBA draft combine), blocked shots at a nearly identical rate to Capela. He was less effective on the glass, but shot 73.6 percent from the field in more limited attempts. Overall, Capela rated as the more effective player on a per-minute basis, and he's a year younger than Gobert was when he entered the draft. Considered a project, Gobert played 434 minutes as a rookie with reasonable effectiveness (his PER was 12.9).

    Capela has also teamed with two NBA veterans. Last season, when Capela played only briefly for Elan Chalon, former No. 5 overall pick Shelden Williams started at center. Williams, a year removed from starting 35 games for the New Jersey Nets, was less effective across the board than Capela was this season. With Williams moving on, Elan Chaon paired Capela with Jon Brockman, a rebounding specialist who played three years in the NBA as a second-round pick. Brockman was Capela's superior on the glass, leading the Pro A in rebound percentage, but he averaged just 11.9 points per 36 minutes as compared to Capela's 15.4.

    Serious potential

    OK, so we've established Capela has been better in France than some NBA journeymen and first-round picks. If that sounds unimpressive, consider his youth. Few big men are capable of playing regularly in the NBA at age 20, and fewer still excel in the categories that Capela's translated statistics indicate will be strengths.

    After conversion, Capela's translated 2013-14 performance features 54.0 percent 2-point shooting, a 16.1 percent rebound rate and a 3.7 percent block rate. Check out the NBA big men who have cleared similar bars (52 percent shooting, 15 percent rebound rate and 3 percent block rate) before age 21:

    Comparisons for Clint Capela
    This list doesn't indicate that Capela will be a star like Dwight Howard or Anthony Davis. The best of the players ranked above were either more skilled or stronger than Capela, who has a tendency to get pushed around in the post and needs to fill out his frame. A poor outside shooter, Capela is also unlikely to develop into a perimeter threat like Ibaka.

    However, every single player on this list ultimately developed into a quality starter. Amir Johnson is now a linchpin for the Toronto Raptors, and while it's easy to forget, Andris Biedrins was once one of the league's most promising young big men. Capela's core skills should make him a quality contributor -- and perhaps something more, as he improves his body and his understanding of the game.

    Usually, getting a prospect such as Capela requires a lottery pick. Of the 11 players in the group listed, eight went in the top 15 picks. But because Capela struggled in front of NBA scouts at the Nike Hoop Summit in April, and has performed poorly in workouts, his stock -- once lottery-worthy -- has slipped down the first round. Chad Ford dropped Capela to 27th on his final big board, noting that Capela is unlikely to go before pick 20 (Ford also has Capela 27th in his final mock).

    As the first round proceeds into the 20s, keep an eye on when Capela's name is called. The team that selects him might just be getting a top-10 talent at a discount.
     
  10. BigShotBob

    BigShotBob Member

    Joined:
    Sep 21, 2009
    Messages:
    730
    Likes Received:
    37
    Mark Jackson with the call of the pick and roll lob from Harden to Capela 'Makes me want to sing ahhhh-Capela'

    Good ****.
     
  11. SamFisher

    SamFisher Contributing Member

    Joined:
    Apr 14, 2003
    Messages:
    58,948
    Likes Received:
    36,507
    He seems to have really good instincts in terms of where to move on the court at the right time, despite really having virtually no experience.

    Also his perimeter defense is confounding and surprising to opposing players, arguably even better than his post defense since he cna get backed in pretty easily. He'd be very useful to put on Kevin Durant for a few possessions just to confuse him.
     
    ElPigto likes this.
  12. ekingjames12

    ekingjames12 Contributing Member

    Joined:
    Jul 14, 2009
    Messages:
    119
    Likes Received:
    8
    Agreed. I was pleasantly surprised with how well he moves his feet for a young big man. There were multiple occasions in last night's game that he got stuck guarding CP3 or another guard and he did a decent job!
     
  13. BigggReddd

    BigggReddd Member

    Joined:
    Sep 21, 2012
    Messages:
    4,948
    Likes Received:
    5,852
    In his Red Nation Roundtable interview he said his first sport was soccer! *cough* shades of Dream *cough*
     
  14. hashmander

    hashmander Contributing Member

    Joined:
    Jan 4, 2006
    Messages:
    1,444
    Likes Received:
    610
    he's good for some quotables. i don't like the mama there goes that man foolishness, but things like that sing ahhhhcapela and stop on a dime and leave you with 9 cents change. perfect. i even like hand down man down because it's the truth.

    oh and JVG loves him because any coach that likes defense would feel like a kid in a candy store with him. you very rarely see defensive smarts and feel in a big so young.
     
  15. Icehouse

    Icehouse Contributing Member

    Joined:
    Jun 23, 2000
    Messages:
    13,400
    Likes Received:
    3,744
  16. Easy

    Easy Boban Only Fan
    Supporting Member

    Joined:
    Jul 23, 2002
    Messages:
    35,262
    Likes Received:
    24,308
    When JVG said Capela did all the right things on defense, I knew he was the real deal.
     
  17. HamJam

    HamJam Contributing Member

    Joined:
    Mar 19, 2011
    Messages:
    2,582
    Likes Received:
    511
    The only center in recent memory that I can think of that was able to go out and guard on the perimeter like that is Noah back when he was healthy.
     
  18. J Sizzle

    J Sizzle Member

    Joined:
    Feb 27, 2012
    Messages:
    43,500
    Likes Received:
    29,549
    It's both exciting and depressing that he already has more BBIQ than Dwight has. Dude knows what he's good at and sticks to it. Instant production.
     
    ElPigto likes this.
  19. Dmo for 3mo

    Dmo for 3mo Member

    Joined:
    Mar 31, 2015
    Messages:
    381
    Likes Received:
    76
    Best part about Capela is he looks to *****ing jam every time he gets the ball around the rim. Non of that weak **** Jones tries constantly. He plays as if hes as big as dwight and you can't teach that mentality. He's going to be really special in the future.
     
  20. banzai

    banzai Contributing Member

    Joined:
    Nov 20, 2013
    Messages:
    2,410
    Likes Received:
    1,404
    Dmo is all coaches-type players, but I get what you're saying. He will be on the level of Gasol by next year. I don't see anyone with his skill set. He easily has the best post MOVES of any power forward... including blake Griffin. Dmo's game is built to last a long time. His 3 point shooting is only gonna get better too.
     

Share This Page

  • About ClutchFans

    Since 1996, ClutchFans has been loud and proud covering the Houston Rockets, helping set an industry standard for team fan sites. The forums have been a home for Houston sports fans as well as basketball fanatics around the globe.

  • Support ClutchFans!

    If you find that ClutchFans is a valuable resource for you, please consider becoming a Supporting Member. Supporting Members can upload photos and attachments directly to their posts, customize their user title and more. Gold Supporters see zero ads!


    Upgrade Now