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[Updated Daily] What needs to happen for WCF and Finals #1 seeds

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by topfive, Mar 15, 2018.

  1. topfive

    topfive CFOG
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    Done! We got it!
     
    #1 topfive, Mar 15, 2018
    Last edited: Mar 31, 2018
    Manos, xhanif143x, dkim1984 and 45 others like this.
  2. BigShasta

    BigShasta Contributing Member

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    This is great. Thank you
     
    hakeem94 likes this.
  3. Os Trigonum

    Os Trigonum It. Deserves. Its. Own. Thread.
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    nice summary, I actually opened the thread expecting to poke fun at it but it was a good summary!! thanks @topfive
     
    hakeem94 and topfive like this.
  4. Dave2000

    Dave2000 Contributing Member

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    love it, I have playoffstatus.com for the Rockets bookmarked that I check everyday when I get to work, but this is MUCH better

    thanks!
     
  5. topfive

    topfive CFOG
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    Thwarted yet again! Know why? Because I.D.I.O.T. ;)
     
  6. Junkyard_Dog

    Junkyard_Dog Member

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    Warriors have a cupcake schedule but its hard to see us losing any of our games save for the Blazers since they have been hot
     
  7. justtxyank

    justtxyank Kupohoho!
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    Basically if we go 11-4 it's a lock.
     
    hakeem94, Jake Tower and topfive like this.
  8. adeelionaire

    adeelionaire Member

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    Great breakdown. Worriers remaining schedule is a complete bailout. Obv the #1 seed is a big deal but their biggest concern has to be making it to the finish line with a healthy Steph and Klay.
     
  9. count_dough-ku

    count_dough-ku Contributing Member

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    At New Orleans, at Minnesota on a B2B, home New Orleans, at San Antonio, home OKC. None of those are gimmes.
     
    Manos likes this.
  10. Jake Tower

    Jake Tower Member

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    So you're saying we have a chance
     
  11. The_Yoyo

    The_Yoyo Contributing Member
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    Man the Raptors really lucked out with the Celtics/Cavs b2b then Celtics right now with the injuries Boston has right now and Cleveland being pretty much a mess compared to a different point in the season

    Thanks @topfive
     
    topfive likes this.
  12. Junkyard_Dog

    Junkyard_Dog Member

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    I get you. I just believe this team is too good to be beaten by anyone other then the upper crust of teams at this point.
     
  13. topfive

    topfive CFOG
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    Not to mention the Warriors catching the hapless Suns on the back half of all three of their back-to-backs.
     
  14. samtaylor

    samtaylor Member

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    Rockets will secure at least the 4th seed with a win over the Clippers tonight. If the Spurs beat the Pelicans as well, then the Rockets are guaranteed at least 3rd.
     
  15. samtaylor

    samtaylor Member

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    According to http://www.playoffstatus.com/nba/rocketswhatif.html

    Here are the percentages of the Rockets getting the 1 seed:

    • 15-0 - 100%
    • 14-1 - 100%
    • 13-2 - 100%
    • 12-3 - 98 %
    • 11-4 - 87%
    • 10-5 - 65%
    • 9-6 - 42%
    • 8-7 - 21%
    • 7-8 - 9%

    Only way we drop to the 3 seed is if we go 3-12 or worse lol
     
    D-rock likes this.
  16. EightDoobies

    EightDoobies Member

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    It's hard to see us dropping 3 games. Anderson coming back too?
     
  17. smoothie

    smoothie Contributing Member
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    our .791 win percentage suggest we might win 11.86 of our remaining games.

    one more loss for the warriors and raptors and we've got HCA through the finals.

    if you want to round down and say we only win 11 more games, the warriors and raptors will have to lose 2 more times each for us to be on the safe side.
     
    D-rock likes this.
  18. don grahamleone

    don grahamleone Contributing Member

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    Belongs in the Rockets-Magic-Number thread by Don Grahamleone.

    ... but like this is a better snap shot fo sho
     
    topfive and Os Trigonum like this.
  19. macan

    macan Member

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    thx for the summary
     
  20. topfive

    topfive CFOG
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    Current as of the games on 3/15

    Western Conference home court


    The Rockets have 14 games left and hold the tiebreaker and a 2 game lead, while the Warriors have 14 games left.

    Our remaining schedule...

    8 home, 6 away (1 home and 2 travel back-to-backs):

    @ Pelicans \ back-to-back
    @ T-Wolves / back-to-back
    @ Blazers
    Pistons
    Pelicans \ back-to-back
    Hawks / back-to-back
    Bulls
    Suns
    @ Spurs
    Wizards
    Blazers
    Thunder
    @ Lakers \ back-to-back
    @ Kings / back-to-back

    If the Rox go ____, the Dubs have to go ____ to regain the #1 seed:

    Rox 14 - 0 = Dubs impossible
    Rox 13 - 1 = Dubs impossible
    Rox 12 - 2 = Dubs impossible
    Rox 11 - 3 = Dubs 14 - 0
    Rox 10 - 4 = Dubs 13 - 1
    Rox 9 - 5 = Dubs 12 - 2
    Rox 8 - 6 = Dubs 11 - 3
    Rox 7 - 7 = Dubs 10 - 4

    Keep in mind that Curry and Thompson will miss the next 3 games at least.

    The Warriors remaining schedule...

    7 home, 7 away (3 travel back-to-backs, all with game 2 vs Suns):

    Kings \ back-to-back (playing without Curry/Klay/KD)
    @ Suns / back-to-back
    @ Spurs
    Hawks
    Jazz
    Pacers
    Bucks
    @ Kings \ back-to-back
    Suns / back-to-back
    @ Thunder
    @ Pacers
    Pelicans \ back-to-back
    @ Suns / back-to-back
    @ Jazz

    _____________________________________________________________________________

    Finals home court

    The Rockets have 14 games left and a 3 game lead, while the Raptors also have 14 games left and hold the tiebreaker. Here's the scenario...

    If the Rox go ____, the Raptors have to go ____ to regain the #1 seed:

    Rox 14 - 0 = Raptors impossible
    Rox 13 - 1 = Raptors impossible
    Rox 12 - 2 = Raptors impossible
    Rox 11 - 3 = Raptors 14 - 0
    Rox 10 - 4 = Raptors 13 - 1
    Rox 9 - 5 = Raptors 12 - 2
    Rox 8 - 6 = Raptors 11 - 3
    Rox 7 - 7 = Raptors 10 - 4

    The Raptors remaining schedule...

    8 home, 6 away (4 travel back-to-backs):

    Dallas / back-to-back
    Thunder
    @ Magic \ back-to-back
    @ Cavs / back-to-back
    Nets
    Clippers
    Nuggets
    @ Celtics \ back-to-back
    @ Cavs / back-to-back
    Celtics
    Pacers
    Magic \ back-to-back
    @ Pistons / back-to-back
    @ Heat

    Also, if my thinking is correct, we're already guaranteed home court advantage for the first AND second rounds. It's practically impossible for anyone other than the Warriors to pass us in the WC, and we'd have a higher seed than all the other teams in the playoffs.
     
    #20 topfive, Mar 16, 2018
    Last edited: Mar 16, 2018
    eric.81 likes this.
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