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Magic Number Thread

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by HRockets, Mar 11, 2015.

  1. YourSecretLover

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    hmmmm....OKC can grab that 4th seed if they continue to play well + Portland free falling
     
  2. Johndoe804

    Johndoe804 Member

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    Reps to whoever can continue reporting in lieu of the other fellow who was previously reporting.
     
  3. RockingRox

    RockingRox Member

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    try, could you please update the Magic number table?

    I thought the Rockets have already clinched the playoff berth, as the Rockets hold head-to-head tie breaker against the Suns? Or do we have to wait for another Rockets win/NOP loss to clinch it?
     
  4. wfeebs

    wfeebs Member

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    Magic number is 1. Technically us and NOP can finish at 48-34 with them having the tiebreaker.
     
  5. RockingRox

    RockingRox Member

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    Got it. Thanks!
     
  6. today

    today Contributing Member

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    Is this going to be updated with our magic number to win the division or get the #2 seed?
     
  7. HRockets

    HRockets Member

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    Hope so!
     
  8. CheezeyBoy22

    CheezeyBoy22 Contributing Member

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    Same here.

    Anyone have the website with the remaining SOS?
     
  9. emoreland

    emoreland Contributing Member

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  10. emoreland

    emoreland Contributing Member

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    http://www.playoffstatus.com/nba/westernwinmagicnumbers.html

    This one has the magic numbers (not incl. the wizards win or the grizz loss) so it looks like we need 7 wins to lock up the 4th seed and have home court. According to the Chart, we need some help from the Grizzlies to move up and secure the second or third seed.

    I assume itll be updated sometime today but things are definitely looking good.
     
  11. emoreland

    emoreland Contributing Member

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    What I meant to say is the magic number is 7 to clinch the 4th spot.
     
  12. emoreland

    emoreland Contributing Member

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    Numbers have updated with us having a magic number of 8 and a 48% chance overall to clinch the number two seed. We have also clinched at least the 7th seed with the win yesterday over Washington.
     
  13. RockingRox

    RockingRox Member

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    The playoffstatus site has a serious bug in that they still the 3 list division winners as top 3 playoff spots. NBA is not doing that any more.
     
  14. WinkFan

    WinkFan Contributing Member

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    No, they don't. Their chart isn't by seed. It lists probability to win the division, then chance to finish in one of the 5 wildcard spots. The actual seeding is different.
     
    #74 WinkFan, Mar 30, 2015
    Last edited: Mar 30, 2015
  15. RockingRox

    RockingRox Member

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    Thanks. But I'm still confused by the wildcard part. The site says Portland can't be at the division 1 and wildcard 4 but in reality Portland could be anywhere except for the first placed clinched by GSW.
     
  16. today

    today Contributing Member

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    Thanks!
     
  17. Tree Rollins

    Tree Rollins Member

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    It's not a Magic Number of 8 in the sense of Houston needs to win any 8 of the last 9 games to clinch. They actually need to win 8 including all 4 division games.

    More likely though is that Houston will lose the tiebreaker with the Grizzlies, so the true "Magic Number" of Houston wins + Grizzlies losses is 9.
     
  18. Tree Rollins

    Tree Rollins Member

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    They can't finish in the best Wild Card spot. Mathematically impossible. If the Thunder win out, the Blazers would need to lose at least 8 of their last 10 (Portland has tiebreaker over Thunder). If that happens, the best a 33 loss Portland team can finish is the 2nd best wild card team.
     
  19. Tree Rollins

    Tree Rollins Member

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    I'm kind of surprised PlayoffStatus and ESPN's Holliinger both have the Rockets as the statistical favorite to win the Division. Although PlayoffStatus is close (48% to 44%).

    The Grizzlies closing 8 games are easy save for the @Clippers game. The only other hard game is @Warriors, but it's the penultimate game of the regular season, so who knows how much of the game Golden State's stars will play. The Rockets have 4 road games where they'll be the underdog, including tonight. And if the Rockets lose @Dallas in the 4th game in 5 nights and one of the two games against the Spurs, then the Grizzlies have the tiebreaker.
     
  20. WinkFan

    WinkFan Contributing Member

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    It is confusing, it would be easier to understand if it was in terms of seeds. Portland will be the 3rd division winner unless the end up behind OKC. There is no combination that allows the Blazers to lose their division, and still finish as the top wild card team.

    They could still be a 4 seed if the top wild card team has a better record.
     
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