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Your very own Texans Number 1 Pick Tracker!

Discussion in 'Houston Texans' started by benzman501, Dec 14, 2005.

  1. benzman501

    benzman501 Member

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    Fellow Texans Fans,
    I created a tracker for a potential tie with the 49ers...
    Download the .xls file and track the stength of schedule.
    Texans Draft Tracker
    This not only helps you track your pursuit of the number 1 pick, but also gives us a little something to look forward to!
     
  2. today

    today Member

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    Thanks Benzman, I'll definitely use this.
     
  3. Harrisment

    Harrisment Member

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    Could you explain what the numbers represent? :confused:


    Edit: Nevermind, it's the number of wins that team has. I'm an idiot.
     
    #3 Harrisment, Dec 15, 2005
    Last edited: Dec 15, 2005
  4. ron413

    ron413 Member

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    Are you calling me an idiot also Harrisment? Not cool:cool:
     
  5. bplld

    bplld Member

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    Colts loosing should really boost our advantage. Pray that SF beats StL
     
  6. TMac640

    TMac640 Contributing Member

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    this appears to be the cure for world hunger (since it's a disease).

    I'll put this to good use.
     
  7. The Real Shady

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    It doesn't matter now. We have to lose against San Francisco and that doesn't look it's going to happen. Alex Smith has to be the worst QB I've ever seen in my life. They just showed a duck pass he threw in the Jags game today that was pathetic. I don't think he can throw the ball 30 yards down the field.
     
  8. ron413

    ron413 Member

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    Where does each teams SOS stand on this Excel Spreadsheet after the early games of Week #16? I would be happy to crunch the numbers but I was not paying attention in Information Systems class, and I am oh so tired from watching sports on the couch all day:eek:
     
  9. Yao Wink

    Yao Wink Member

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    It is my understanding that SOS is based on the previous year's standings ... so the SOS would not change week-to-week.
     
  10. El_Conquistador

    El_Conquistador King of the D&D, The Legend, #1 Ranking

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    No, you are incorrect. It is based on the opponents' winning percentages from this year. Go to GBNReport.com for the latest updates.
    http://www.gbnreport.com/weeklydraftorder.htm
     
  11. today

    today Member

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    Around 7pm CDT, I'll post an updated version of this spreadsheet that includes NYJ, GB, and NO.
     
  12. bplld

    bplld Member

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    Indianapolis loosing should be a big boost.
     
  13. El_Conquistador

    El_Conquistador King of the D&D, The Legend, #1 Ranking

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    Somewhat mitigated by the fact that we also played Seattle. Tennessee losing certainly helped, since we've played them twice. It would be nice if Philadelphia could come back on Arizona and Minnesota could beat Baltimore tomorrow.

    Miami and Buffalo winning raises the Jets' SOS, since they are in-division teams for them. Would have been nice to see Dallas hold on against Carolina though, since they also played them.
     
  14. BubbaMac

    BubbaMac Member

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    http://cbs.sportsline.com/nfl/draft/update

    Here is the latest SOS updatd to the minute. Texans could fall to #4 if they beat SF next week and everyone else continues to lose.

    The SF game will be the biggest game in franchise history however I have a sinking feeling that the Texans will win next week.
     
  15. Zacatecas

    Zacatecas Member

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    You guys want the math on paper, HERE IT IS!!

    Assuming all the 3 wins team lose and the Texans win, this is the breakdown of the draft order based on strenght of schedule. Since the league plays at .500 usually, the SOS will be more affected by next week opponent rather than records of teams played.

    1. NO .5189 (They play Tampa increasing the SOS, but not enough)

    2. NJ .5253 (They play Buffalo, and might win this game, Good news for Texans )

    3. Hou .5315 (They play SF, and it's a toss up; we can hope that NJ SOS goes up a bit, and our goes down a bit, but that is just wishfull thinking in my Opinion)

    4. GB .5435 (They play Seattle, the SOS goes up Considerably, basically ending the Competition for the Texans 3 pick draft order.)

    5. SF .5474 (Their SOS goes down, but not enough to overcome any of the 3 win teams)


    And if you want a more accurate estimate; then do the following, add or subtract .00195 for each game over or under .500 the teams you played in the season. You see if teams usually play .500 then what the rest of the league does is going to matter very little.

    But realize that most of the teams we're competing against in the SOS have their Divisions playing within themselves, essentially not increasing the SOS at all.

    So, if the Texans beat SF, the best the Texans can do is the 2nd pick, and that is with everyones fingers crossed. But, I haven't checked the common opponents they played. There might exist a statistical improbability I'm not taking into account.

    But, they pretty much get at least the 3rd pick. That is certain :cool:
     

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