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What's the Real Unemployment Number?

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout: Debate & Discussion' started by Air Langhi, Feb 9, 2011.

  1. Air Langhi

    Air Langhi Contributing Member

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    http://www.dailyfinance.com/story/careers/real-unemployment-number/19833935/

    Last week's surprisingly sharp decline in the unemployment rate from 9.4% to 9% and equally surprising anemic job growth -- 36,000 new jobs -- left a lot of investors scratching their heads. How could the unemployment rate plummet so significantly while a such a trivial number of new jobs were created?

    If we simply extrapolate those numbers, we get some nonsensical results. If adding 36,000 jobs to the 139 million jobs in the U.S. economy lowers the unemployment rate by 0.4 percentage points, then adding just 720,000 jobs should lower the unemployment rate by 8 points -- from 9% to only 1%.

    Yet the Bureau of Labor Statistics data shows that 812,000 jobs were added in the year from January 2010 to January 2011 (138,511,000 vs. 139,323,000). Based on the unemployment rate announced last week, we could expect that those 812,000 additional jobs would have lowered the unemployment rate to near-zero. But of course, we know they didn't.


    See full article from DailyFinance: http://srph.it/fNxXV8

    It helps explain the picture
     
  2. Johndoe804

    Johndoe804 Member

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    Bureau of Labor Statistics = Ministry of Plenty?
     
  3. dmc89

    dmc89 Member

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    I remember that even the BLS's U1 to U6 measures only gave " about 75% of the picture", according to my professor at the time.

    It's higher than they say it is, but not as high as the current opposition claims it should be.
     
  4. Buck Turgidson

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    220, 221...whatever it takes.
     
    1 person likes this.

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