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What they'll do to your tax bill (McCain Vs. Obama)Estimated deductions on income lvl

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout: Debate & Discussion' started by tested911, Jun 11, 2008.

  1. tested911

    tested911 Member

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    What they'll do to your tax bill

    McCain and Obama want to change the bottom-line effects of the tax code. Here's a dollars-and-cents breakdown of what their plans could mean for you.
    By Jeanne Sahadi, CNNMoney.com senior writer
    Last Updated: June 11, 2008: 1:58 PM EDT

    NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- John McCain and Barack Obama have starkly different philosophies about tax policy - how to raise the revenue needed to support government programs, spur growth and ensure economic fairness.

    But voters really want to know one thing: How would the presidential candidates' views trickle down to their tax bills? A report released Wednesday by a nonpartisan policy group in Washington, D.C., takes a big first step toward answering that question.

    According to the Tax Policy Center's findings, the common assumptions most people make about the plans of McCain, the presumptive Republican nominee, and Obama, the Democrats' pick, are not wildly off-base.

    McCain: The average taxpayer in every income group would see a lower tax bill, but high-income taxpayers would benefit more than everyone else.

    Obama: High-income taxpayers would pay more in taxes, while everyone else's tax bill would be reduced. Those who benefit the most - in terms of reducing their taxes as a percentage of after-tax income - are in the lowest income groups.

    Under both plans, all American taxpayers could pay a price for their tax cuts: a bigger deficit. The Tax Policy Center estimates that over 10 years, McCain's tax proposals could increase the national debt by as much as $4.5 trillion with interest, while Obama's could add as much as $3.3 trillion.

    The reason: neither plan would raise the amount of revenue expected under current tax policy - which assumes all the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts expire by 2011. And neither plan would raise enough to cover expected government costs during those 10 years.

    "Distributionally, they're markedly different. But in terms of their impact on revenue, the two plans are not terribly different," said Roberton Williams, principal research associate at the Tax Policy Center and the former deputy assistant director for tax analysis at the Congressional Budget Office.

    The campaigns haven't had a lot of time to digest the Tax Policy Center's findings.

    Jason Furman, a newly appointed senior economic adviser to Obama, said his preliminary response is that the report's findings bear out what Obama's campaign has been saying: that he's for the middle class.

    "Middle-class families get tax cuts that are three times larger from Obama than from McCain," Furman said. "And the McCain plan gives nearly one-quarter of its benefits to households making more than $2.8 million annually - the top 0.1%."

    The McCain campaign told CNNMoney.com in an e-mail that they would comment on the center's findings, but they had not done so as of early Wednesday afternoon.
    A closer look

    In addition to making the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts permanent, McCain says he would double the exemption for dependents, lower the corporate tax rate, make expensing rules more generous for small businesses and lessen the bite of the estate tax and Alternative Minimum tax.

    The net result: compared with their tax bill today, taxpayers on average would see their tax bill cut by nearly $1,200. That means their after-tax income would rise by 2%.

    But those in the lowest income groups would only see their after-tax income rise by less than 1% (or between $19 and $319). By contrast, the highest-income households - those with incomes of at least $603,000 - would see a boost in after-tax income of 3.4%, or more than $40,000.

    Obama's plan would keep the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts in place for everyone except those making more than roughly $250,000, and he would increase the capital gains tax.

    Obama would also introduce new tax breaks for lower and middle-income groups. Such breaks include expanding the earned income tax credit, giving those making less than $150,000 a $500 tax credit per person on the first $8,100 in income, giving those making under $75,000 a 50% federal match on the first $1,000 of savings, and exempting seniors making less than $50,000 from having to pay income tax.

    Like McCain, Obama would lessen the bite of the estate tax and the Alternative Minimum Tax, but to a lesser degree.

    The net result: compared with their tax bill today, taxpayers on average would see their tax bill cut by nearly $160 under Obama's plan. That means their after-tax income would rise by 0.3%.

    But those in the lowest-income groups would enjoy the biggest after-tax income rise as a percentage of income - between 2.4% and 5.5% (worth between $567 and $1,042). By contrast, the highest-income households - those with at least $603,000 in income - would see a dramatic decline in their after-tax income - a drop of 8.7%, or $116,000.
    Not the final word

    Williams said the Tax Policy Center analysis should be viewed as a work in progress. Researchers plan to update it as they get more information about the plans from the campaigns and if the candidates introduce new tax policies between now and Election Day.

    The center will also incorporate the tax elements of McCain's and Obama's healthcare proposals when they update their findings.

    How the candidates' tax plans would affect economic growth is an open question. "It depends on how the deficits are closed," said Tax Policy Center director Len Burman in a call with reporters.

    Tax studies have shown that when tax cuts are deficit funded and they're paid for by raising taxes in the future, "the economy is worse off than if you didn't cut at all," Burman said. To top of page
    First Published: June 11, 2008: 10:31 AM EDT
     
  2. flipmode

    flipmode Member

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    now, which income bracket do you fall into?

    this plan is cool by me, because i'm part of the 95% of americans that don't make over $250k. :)

    besides, the rich have higher propensity to save as income goes up. they wouldn't be circulating extra cash into the most highly-tracked goods of the economy.
     
  3. robbie380

    robbie380 ლ(▀̿Ĺ̯▀̿ ̿ლ)
    Supporting Member

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    They just don't get it. McCain is a self proclaimed economic dullard and Obama thinks we can pay for national healthcare by pulling out of Iraq even though Iraq "only" costs $100 billion a year (that's close to the numbers I have seen please correct me if anyone has seen better numbers because that dollar amount seems cheap to me). I'm resigned to the fact that our nation is screwed because we have utterly incompetent leadership. National debt? Medicare? Social Security? The Dollar? Deficit Spending? (edit...i forgot about this gold nugget) Corn ethanol subsidies? Meh....It's not completely killing us now so who the **** cares?
     
    #3 robbie380, Jun 11, 2008
    Last edited: Jun 11, 2008
  4. RocketMan Tex

    RocketMan Tex Member

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    I'm right there with you.
     
  5. Supermac34

    Supermac34 President, Von Wafer Fan Club

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    On one hand, either tax plan is about the same for me, personally, so I wouldn't care since I don't fit into those brackets (yet).

    On the other hand, do I want a tax plan that de-incentivizes success and high performance? That would really hurt some successful small businesses that make a lot of income, but the owners aren't rich yet. Make sense? If I make $650,000 a year, but don't have any money yet, paying $100,000 in taxes really hurts. If I make $650,000 in a year but have $20 million in the bank, it doesn't hurt as much.
     
  6. TL

    TL Member

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    Dude, if you make 650k and you only pay 100k in taxes that is a dramatic improvement over where we are today. Much less where we will be in 2 years after Obama implements it.
     
    #6 TL, Jun 11, 2008
    Last edited: Jun 11, 2008
  7. pgabriel

    pgabriel Educated Negro

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    yeah, i refused that $650K a year job for tax purposes. no it doesn't make sense. is it fair, that's another topic, but to suggest that people won't strive because of taxes is just not logical on so many levels
     
    #7 pgabriel, Jun 11, 2008
    Last edited: Jun 11, 2008
  8. Supermac34

    Supermac34 President, Von Wafer Fan Club

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    But its $100,000 MORE than you pay today. Not a flat $100,000. So it'll be your current income after taxes today, minus $100,000.

    If you make $650,000 today, you'll pay about $200,000 in taxes. Under Obama, you'd pay $300,000.
     
  9. deepblue

    deepblue Member

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    Tell people live in NYC, Boston, SF that 250k a year is now considered wealthy and should have their income tax raised.

    Of course that's on top of the capital gain and dividend tax Obama is going to jack up, oh don't forget the uncapping of social security tax.

    Yup, I am going to get screwed by Obama, along with many other hard working Americans.
     
  10. TL

    TL Member

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    agree. i read your post as $100k total, not incremental.

    there's no doubt it sucks. and is likely unfair. but since the percentage of those people who earn that kind of money without tremendous wealth is small, they are ignored in the democratic tax policies.

    the only question that makes a difference is how will those incremental taxes impact spending? for me, it will mostly reduce spending, not savings.
     
  11. halfbreed

    halfbreed Member

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    Tax cuts for the rich? More like tax cuts for everyone. Since when did 66K = rich?

    Of course the rich are getting more of a dollar benefit. It only makes logical sense that if you're giving them a break it's going to be more of a dollar benefit than the cuts to those who (a) make less; and (b) already pay little in taxes.

    [​IMG]

    As you can see, the only real difference is for those making less than 66K a year (not 250K). Even then, most of these people are paying far less in taxes (percentage wise) than those who make more.
     
  12. FranchiseBlade

    Supporting Member

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    No the richest of the rich would see a pretty big difference in the McCain and Obama bill. Also under Obama's bill 66k a year would receive a bigger break than under McCain's.
     
  13. halfbreed

    halfbreed Member

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    True the upper levels do see a big difference. However that's due more to Obama's increase (of more than half a million dollars in some instances) than a McCain decrease. The only reason those numbers are so high is because those taxpayers already pay a disgusting amount of money in taxes.

    Furthermore, the difference at the 66K level is minimal (approx 200). So I don't see how anyone can say McCain is any less favorable to the middle class than Obama. They might say that about the lower class but those earners already pay very little in taxes anyway.
     
  14. vlaurelio

    vlaurelio Member

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    maybe for the middle class, $200 in savings plus knowing lower class saving since they need more help and richer class appropriately getting taxed more can be assuring..
     
  15. tested911

    tested911 Member

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    90% of Americans will pay less income tax under Obama than McCain

    Today, CNN posted an article online summarizing the Tax Policy center's report comparing John McCain and Barack Obama's proposed tax plans. It is available here. The numbers are remarkable, but CNN failes to notice the obvious punchline: more than 85% of Americans will pay less in taxes under Obama than McCain.

    Data tables below the fold.

    * ARingMD2B's diary :: ::
    *

    Here is a table showing the change in your tax bill in 2009 vs 2008 if McCain or Obama's policies are fully implemented:

    McCain Obama
    Income Avg. tax bill Avg. tax bill Difference
    (O-McC)
    Over $2.9M -$269,364 +$701,885 +$971,249
    $603K and up -$45,361 +$115,974 +$161,335
    $227K-$603K -$7,871 +$12 +$7,883
    $161K-$227K -$4,380 -$2,789 +$1,591
    $112K-$161K -$2,614 -$2,204 $410
    $66K-$112K -$1,009 -$1,290 -$281
    $38K-$66K -$319 -$1,042 -$723
    $19K-$38K -$113 -$892 -$779
    Under $19K -$19 -$567 -$548

    Source:Tax Policy Center

    From the table, we can see that if you make less than $112,000 a year, then you will pay less in taxes under Obama's policies compared to McCain's. According to the IRS, 89% of Americans report less than $100,000 in adjusted gross income (2005).
     
  16. Rule0001

    Rule0001 Contributing Member

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    A TAX PARABLE From reader "Z":

    Suppose that every day, ten men go out for beer and the bill for all ten comes to $100. If they paid their bill the way we pay our taxes, it would go something like this:

    The first four men (the poorest) would pay nothing.

    The fifth would pay $1.

    The sixth would pay $3.

    The seventh would pay $7.

    The eighth would pay $12.

    The ninth would pay $18.

    The tenth man (the richest) would pay $59.

    So, that's what they decided to do.

    The ten men drank in the bar every day and seemed quite happy with the arrangement, until on day, the owner threw them a curve. "Since you are all such good customers," he said, "I'm going to reduce the cost of your daily beer by $20."Drinks for the ten now cost just $80.

    The group still wanted to pay their bill the way we pay our taxes so the first four men were unaffected. They would still drink for free. But what about the other six men --- the paying customers? How could they divide the $20 windfall so that everyone would get his 'fair share?' They realized that $20 divided by six is $3.33. But if they subtracted that from everybody's share, then the fifth man and the sixth man would each end up being paid to drink his beer.So, the bar owner suggested that it would be fair to reduce each man's bill by roughly the same amount, and he proceeded to work out the amounts each should pay. And so:

    The fifth man, like the first four, now paid nothing (100% savings).

    The sixth now paid $2 instead of $3 (33%savings).

    The seventh now pay $5 instead of $7 (28%savings).

    The eighth now paid $9 instead of $12 (25% savings).

    The ninth now paid $14 instead of $18 (22% savings).

    The tenth now paid $49 instead of $59 (16% savings).

    Each of the six was better off than before. And the first four continued to drink for free. But once outside the restaurant, the men began to compare their savings. "I only got a dollar out of the $20,"declared the sixth man. He pointed to the tenth man," but he got $10!"

    "Yeah, that's right," exclaimed the fifth man. "I only saved a dollar, too.

    It's unfair that he got ten times more than I!"

    "That's true!!" shouted the seventh man. "Why should he get $10 back when I got only two? The wealthy get all the breaks!"

    "Wait a minute," yelled the first four men in unison. "We didn't get anything at all. The system exploits the poor!"

    The nine men surrounded the tenth and beat him up. The next night the tenth man didn't show up for drinks, so the nine sat down and had beers without him. But when it came time to pay the bill, they discovered something important. They didn't have enough money between all of them for even half of the bill!

    And that, boys and girls, journalists and college professors, is how our tax system works. The people who pay the highest taxes get the most benefit from a tax reduction. Tax them too much, attack them for being wealthy, and they just may not show up anymore. In fact, they might start drinking overseas where the atmosphere is somewhat friendlier.

    For those who understand, no explanation is needed. For those who do not understand, no explanation is possible.
     
  17. tested911

    tested911 Member

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    Is it me or does anybody here believe men 7-10 actually hang out with 1-4?
    And 8-10 don't drink beer they drink that fine wine,crystal,merlot,blah blah blah.
    Serious can you imagine Guy #10 pulling out a bud out of his $30,000 refrigerator?
     
  18. SamFisher

    SamFisher Member

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    Considering you don't make that much, I doubt it, deepblue buffet.
     
  19. halfbreed

    halfbreed Member

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    What are you saying here? I'm not sure.

    Also, why is it appropriate that the rich get taxed more? Just because they have more? That makes no logical sense.

    I never understood the notion that because someone has something better they owe something to someone who doesn't have it. Should a student with an "A" in a class be forced to share part of his grade with a failing student so they both have a "C" in the class? After all it's obvious the failing student needs help right?
     
  20. SamFisher

    SamFisher Member

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    And for those who wish to see how this old e-mail chestnut got started, the explanation is here:
    http://www.snopes.com/business/taxes/howtaxes.asp
     

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