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What Electoral Map Do You Follow?

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout: Debate & Discussion' started by Lil Pun, Sep 13, 2012.

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  1. Lil Pun

    Lil Pun Member

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    I've pretty much always stuck with: http://electoral-vote.com/

    They seem to use the newest polling data to make their current predictions and they were excellent during the 2008 campaign.

    Which one do you follow?
     
  2. Lar

    Lar Member

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    I tend to check http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/. Nate Silver's statistical methodologies and derivations of probabilities for alternate events (as well as the now-cast, if the race were to be held today, vs. the Nov. 6 projection taking into account historic trends) are very interesting and informative.
     
  3. leroy

    leroy Member
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    That's a good site.

    Has there been absolutely no polling in the Texas Senate race since the primaries? I can't find anything even remotely recent. I expect that Rafael Ted Cruz (see what I did there?) still has a sizable lead but I think Paul Sadler is being underestimated.

    One debate is scheduled for Oct. 2. I really hope people watch.
     
  4. Batman Jones

    Batman Jones Member

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    Me too. I also regularly visit talkingpointsmemo.com which has a poll tracker and realclearpolitics.com for the latest polling averages.

    But Nate Silver's forecast model is obviously the most sophisticated.
     

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