Rox are 14-3 when he shoots 50% from the field from a game this season. Last time Tmac shot 50% in a game was March 8th, 22 games ago, Hopefully that's some sort of omen. Seems like a pretty simple formula, problem is he's shot 50% in 17 out of 84 games, thats once every 5 games. So before this 21 game stretch without a 50% night, he did it 27% of the time. SO let's just consider this 21 game stretch an anomaly, which means he should do it once in this series, so we should see a 5th game back in Houston, but whatever.
and just to add on to the formula, so when Tmac gets his inevitable 50% shooting night this series, that means we have a 82% (14/17) to win the game, problem is Jazz win 90% of the time at home (37/41). So it basically comes down to a coin toss which we will of course lose because the refs will inexplicably call in favor of the jazz even though Tmac called tails because yao told him tails never fails and it landed tails but the ref heard heads since Alston yelled at Head right before the coin flip.