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The #2 pick is available (opinion), what can we offer?

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by Sane, May 5, 2002.

  1. Sane

    Sane Member

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    This is just my humble opinion. But I look at their roster and I see so many young players. It's so incredibly hard to believe they'll add another young player. Krause sees that the opportunity to leave the slums is here, and it's beneficial to the team. They have a nice core. They just need pieces here and there. Look:

    Curry/Bagaric
    Chandler/Fizer
    Eddie Robinson/Fizer?
    Rose/Hassell/Guyton
    Jamaal Crawford/Norm Richardson/Travis Best (FA)


    It looks like they have all the right pieces. Jamaal Crawfors is the perfect PG for their team, because, well, he does'nt have to be a PG with Jalen Rose around, He can focus on his scoring and concentrate mroe on his defense. A backup is needed here. (Player 1). Norm Richardson? I don't think so. Travis Best will have to sit, and will ask for too much to do it. So let's assume Best is gone, and Richardson is a 3rd string, which is all true at this point.

    They seem to be well stocked at SG. Guyton is kinda short, but as a 3rd string, he's fine. He can also play the PG spot, but very little due to his mentality. But Hassell is solid here, and Jalen is a main piece. So this spot is locked up.

    Eddie Robinson will hopefully finally make his healthy debut. I think he has the defense and offense to hold down this spot. I definitely can't see anyone takin him in a trade, so this is a given. But Fizer is no SF at 260lbs, so a backup here maybe needed, unless Rose and Chandler both fill in.

    Chandler has this spot and his minutes. He earned them last season, and will need and experienced backup. Fizer is a good candidate, but he may be essential in netting other replacements.

    Curry definitely needs someone to back him up. Again, a first year rookie or project won't do, he needs someone who's experienced.


    I'm thinking we can pull off this trade, and land the #2 pick. Because the #2 pick will guarantee us happiness this offseason. I'll show you why. There are 2 scenarios:

    1) Ming is there. We got the prize. All we need now is fill in the tiny empty spots with the MCE.

    2) He's not, in which case, the Clippers will give us Odom or, for the right salary, I'd be fine with getting Lewis. Because if Lewis is gone, so is Payton, and they'll need someone in his place. Of course, I'm taklnig about us picking Jason Wiliams and dangling it in front of these teams.

    So, yeah, the #2 pick is MUCH MUCH easier to get, and we get what we want.



    The trade I'm proposing is the following:

    Moochie Norris
    Glen Rice
    Kenny Thomas
    #15
    Their obligation to us

    for

    #2
    Fizer (just in case MO/Griff have problems)



    What do you guys say? If we get Ming, then we have a solid team like this:

    Cato/Ming
    MoT/Griff/Fizer
    MCE/T-Mo/Fizer
    Cat/Torres
    Francis/Tierre/2nd round pick


    or

    Cato/MCE
    MoT/Griff/Odom
    Odom/T-Mo/Torres
    Cat/Torres
    Francis/Tierre




    Chicago would do that trade because, in the East, this puts you in playoff contention. None of the contracts hurt them long term, other than Moochie's 4M, who will play a big role on their team. Like a half-starter, because Crawford is young, and sometimes too tall. For 22 or so minutes a game, he's worth the contract. One of the best backup PG's in the league. Rice would provide them with a spot up shooter off the bench for a year or two, who also brings experience to the table. Championship experience. Like I said, short contract. KT is an excellent backup for Chandler. An excellent 6th man type player, who can get his minutes behind these young stars. With the #15 they can pick Chris Marcus, while also trying to sign Kevin Willis ro another experinced backup.



    Thoughts?
     
  2. Sane

    Sane Member

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    Oh, and I also want your thoughts on whther or not this team can challenge for a playoff spot:


    Curry/MCE-signed vet/Marcus (#15)
    Chandler/KT/the same vet
    Eddie Robinson/Rice/Rose
    Rose/Hassell/Guyton
    Crawford/Moochie/Norm Richardson


    Thats a very BIG team in the East, with an excellent bench. Youth and experienced very well mixed. Has everything, and you KNOW Cartwright's team WILL play D ro not play at all. They don't lack anything.

    Isn't that the playoffs for them?
     
  3. saleem

    saleem Member

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    I agree with you that trading Jason Williams could possibly result in getting either Lewis or Odom,but I don't think that Chicago will be willing to take Rice because of his injuries even though he can backup Robinson.
    The other thing I'm concerned about is the lack of a center even if we get Lewis or Odom.If we are lucky we might be able to get James with the MCE.
    I really don't think that there are any centers worth getting in this draft,except for Ming and even he needs a lot of time to develop a low post game.However if he is available with either the 1st or the 2nd pick I would still draft him.
    As far as the team that you have listed for Chicago,it could get to the playoffs in the east if Marcus plays well for them and the MCE player turns out to be a solid vet.
     
  4. SirCharlesFan

    SirCharlesFan Member

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    Didn't Rice leave Krause at the alter a couple of years ago? Maybe I'm thinking of someone else?
     
  5. Sane

    Sane Member

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    That was either Antonio Davis or T-Mac. Actually, both of em.


    Saleem,


    Are you saying that Rice can't contribute 20 minutes off the bench and veteran leadership for a season, 2 MAX ( i doubt it). Chicago doesn't have a cap space problem. They wouldn't need to add much if anything after this. That's part of the reason this is a good trade. Because Rice is valuable to Chicago as a bech player and vet, and they're in the perfect situation to take on his contract for 2 years MAX.
     
  6. saleem

    saleem Member

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    No I'm not. I think if Rice recovers from his injuries he could still put up some numbers off the bench.But I don't that Krause would want to take on his contract even though he has the salary cap to do so.I think that Chicago might look for another veteran player instead of Rice.
    I'm not a Bulls fan,but Krause is known to pick up players with small salaries.
     
  7. Rocketblast

    Rocketblast Member

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    Sane, that trade is bad for the Bulls. I seriously can not see why they would do that deal. Glen Rice is old, and can't contribute. Moochie is an overpaid point guard. Then would give up a number 2 pick which could land Jason Williams or Yao Ming. The Bulls still believe that Fizer has potential, probably more than Kenny Thomas.

    They would not do that trade. We would rip them off. They are basically trading their #2 pick for Moochie Norris, Kenny Thomas, Glen Rice, and an okay draft pick. Those are not impact players. Personally, I'd rather have Yao Ming or Jason Williams rather than those three and a draft pick.

    Would this work financially too?
     
  8. JAG

    JAG Member

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    Sane...I think you are bang on on one point, way off on one or two others...

    1) Yes, I agree that the Bulls don't really need another star-level player. That said, neither Crawford nor Robinson have shown enough to justify trading away a potential star to accomodate their pt...They could just as easily look to add, say, Woods as the 3, bring Eddie off the bench, and trade Fizer for a spare part. Or Williams at the point, Crawford as a swing guard off the bench...etc..either way, it isn't as if Jamal Crawford or Eddie Robinson's presence have them boxed in.

    2) Even if you accept that they need to make a trade, the one you suggested just doesn't make any sense from a value for value point of view, and is an example of what you and I were debating in another thread...Let's distill this trade proposal...

    Moochie, Rice, Kenny Thomas, the #15, and obligations for the no. 2 overall, and Marcus Fizer...Broken down...

    * Rice is of negligable trade value, and I think he would have to count as a negative in this trade...in other words, we have to give up value to get the Bulls to take him...

    * the obligations are 2 seconds, which hold very little trade value in today's game, but let's say that they, along with Moochie compensate for the Bulls taking Rice off our hands...Hell, I'll be generous, let's throw in Fizer to boot, call it even...

    * So we are left with us moving up from the 15th pick, for example, Marcus Ely ( NBADraft.com's predicition) to the land of Yao Ming or Jason Williams,and to do this extraordinary leap in value we give them....................kenny thomas.........!?!?

    This is the kind of thing I was telling you about. You asked for examples of Thomas' value being overblown, and thoughtfully provided one yourself. The mistake I think you're making is saying " What are the Bulls' holes, and what do we have to fill them?" rather than looking at value...Talent is the commodity of exchange in the NBA, not roles, else you could have made a case for the Spurs trading the rights to Tim Duncan for a role-playing PF and a pg, as they didn't NEED another big man....or you could look at the Clippers and suggest that they should trade Odom for a backup center, cause if they sign Kandi, they don't have any holes to fill....but it won't happen, and neither will this trade. God, I wish it would, though, and your initial argument, about the Bulls roster, was very well thought out...
     
    #8 JAG, May 5, 2002
    Last edited: May 5, 2002
  9. Sane

    Sane Member

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    Glen Rice CAN contribute. 20 minutes off the bench, and vet leadership is VERY valuable to the Bulls. Moochie is not overpaid. He's the best backup PG in the league, and will SPLIT minutes. He's worth the contract.


    It's not always the individual talent. I can't say it enough. IT'S NOT ALWAYS THE INDIVIDUAL TALENT THAT COUNTS IN TRADES.

    Depth, leadership, experience, contract, cap flexibility, work ethic, defense, offensive boost, etc.....

    So many more things to consider here.....

    The Bulls are a better team after that trade, better than they would if they picked Jason Williams. They won't pick Ming and keep him. They have Curry. Ming and Curry? What is this, FOUL central? You can't have 2 teens playing C, and trust me, Cartwright KNOWS that.
     
  10. Sane

    Sane Member

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    JAG,


    An element missing from your analysis is the vet leadership and depth they get. Those 2 thigns are the biggest reason I ever thought out this trade. You can't just count players in a trade.


    The way you analyzed it, it turned out as KT for Yao Ming. But that's not how you analyze trades. This is how you do:

    Has your team improved after the trade?

    The Bulls improve in all areas. The Rockets improve in all areas. The trade is beneficial to both teams equally. As the Rockets will make the playoffs, and so will the Bulls.

    Other factors?

    Jalen Rose won't yap about getting veterans. Cartwright won't yap about lack of personnel. They won't be so think up front. They will have a damn good bench to support the starters.

    You're not factoring these things in. These are the IMPORTANT things.
     
  11. Rocketblast

    Rocketblast Member

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    First, Moochie Norris is not the best backup point gurad in the league. I like him, but there are better backup points in the league. Bobby Jackson... The Bulls also have Travis Best who wants to resign. Then they have Jamal Crawford, who seems to have potential. Two point guards, they don't need another one.

    You say that contract plays a role in trades. Rice has an ugly contract. The Bulls could pick up a good player with a cheap contract at the number two pick. Rice is also coming off an injury, and his future is uncertain. He's probably going to be healthy, but there is a risk that he might not. Glen Rice would be stuck in the rotation behind Jalen Rose and Eddie Robinson.

    I admit that the Bulls get depth from this trade, but it's not very good. They also give up a valuable forward in Fizer who could become just as good as Kenny Thomas. Kenny Thomas is the only really good player in this trade. Jason Williams or Yao Ming have star potential. They could get way better deals from other teams for a number two pick.
     
  12. Manny Ramirez

    Manny Ramirez The Music Man

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    Sane:

    Are you sure that you are not insane ?? Sorry, I couldn't resist.

    Like saleem and Rocketblast have said, Rice has a very ugly contract. You can talk about how much veteran leadership and intangibles and other stuff you want, but no one (at least with a sound mind) will bite. Not even Krause (at least I wouldn't think he would).

    Everyone just needs to face the facts that we have 3 of the worst contracts ever in Rice, Cato, and Moochie & none of them are going anywhere until their contracts run out.

    Besides, it wouldn't make any sense whatsoever to trade a 7 foot 6 player that has the skills of Yao Ming. The only way I can see some team trading him is if they know he won't play for them, i.e. the Chinese government won't let him out of his contract to go play in the NBA.

    I think a more realistic deal would be to trade KT and our #15 pick to someone in the top 10 for their pick. Then hopefully we can get Caron Butler (or Woods - threw that in for thumbs) and a big man, either Stoudemire, Wilcox, or Marcus. It would be nice to get Rashard Lewis (I don't want Odom), but I don't know how CD and Rudy are going to make that happen.

    Bottom line is that it would be nice to get rid of some of these terrible contracts, but it ain't gonna to happen. Period.
     
  13. Rocketblast

    Rocketblast Member

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    I agree. People bring up these trade proposals hoping to trade away these terrible contracts, but it is going to be harder than it seems to get rid of them.
     
  14. barbourdg

    barbourdg Member

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    Sane, no disrespect but Moochie is one of the worse backup PG's in the league. I think certain people are confusing his greatness with a spot-up shooter (not a PG). Yes, he made a few shots down the stretch, but did he create those shots? NO Did he run the offense to receive the pass for the shot? NO All he did was sit at the 3 point line, and was lucky to catch an outlet pass when Francis/Mobley could not penetrate.

    Moochies biggest accomplishment is dribbling around in circles (for 20 seconds), until he either forces a bad shot (himself) or forces somebody else in a last minute shot. I am not a Moochie hater, but he is way OVERRATED and I think Damon Jones would of been a better pickup last summer. Even Tier brings in a little excitement to the game. Moochie just slows it down.
     
  15. JAG

    JAG Member

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    1) Making a bad move for the sake of veteran leadership, etc, just landed the Bulls Charles Oakley....A bad move is a bad move...

    2) Of course they are a better team after the trade, well, maybe, because you fail to account for one of their more valuable commodities...the 2nd overall pick in the draft. And I maintain that the value of a Yao Ming or a Jason Williams is far superior to the addition of Kenny Thomas and Mooch, even if you don't subtract Fizer, who probably has more upside/trade value than Kenny Thomas, certainly more than Moochie...

    3) Satisfying the need for leadership, etc. can be done a lot cheaper than giving up on a Ming or J-Will...

    4) While I agree that Rice hasn't been a problem this year, his career puts him more in the negative attitude bracket than the vet leadership one...and aside from him, who are we giving them who's ever won anything?
     
  16. a la rockets

    a la rockets Member

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    *caugh* *caugh*
    Did i just read that Moochie was the best PG in the league?!
     
  17. Sane

    Sane Member

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    1) Cato's contract is average for a C. Cato is NOT over paid.

    2) Moochie is NOT overpaid. If you think he's one of the worst, I won't argue with you about it. I can only drag a car with my bare hands so far, know what I mean?

    3)You guys speak of Rice's MONSTROUS contract. It's just for 2 years, and it's not like it's destroying their salary cap situation. They don't need it. Most of them are on rookie scales and will be for a couple of more years, after which Rice's contract is up. I know what the contract looks like. But I honestly think Krause would take the contract solely because of what his team has (cap space) and needs (everything I talked about). I neevr said he'd get minutes over Rose and Robinson. I said he's a backup there.

    For those of you that think Fizer is so far along. Well, if Fizer is that far along, then Kenny Thomas is an MVP. Fizer's body wasn't meant for the NBA. He's too slow to play SF. He's too short to play PF. Plus, according to Bulls fans, he's a Mo-Taylor type rebounder. 6'7, 280? I don't think so. He has some serious work to do. Kenny is better at being a PF, and better at being a SF. Still, that doesn't make any of them starter quality (Happy Jag?).


    Trading Steve Francis for Jason WIlliams, would you do that? Why not? Reef for Gasol worked out fine. You can't base every deal on ONE previous deal.

    Listen, I know you're not a bunch of kids stting here and chattin (well, most of you). I'm not gooing to force my opinion on you. But when I propose a deal, I always make sure it favours the other team too. Sure, if they LOOKED, they'd find a better deal probably. But if it's draft day, they've already decided tey want to trade the pick, and we make a call. Offer this deal. I really believe they'd say yes, because it propels them further than Yao Ming or Jason Williams can at this point.

    How happy will Jalen Rose be if they got Jason Williams? A rookie. That wants to be the leader. That wants the PG duties. That wants lots of touches.

    Ming? No way they pick up Ming. I guarantee they won't pickup Ming. How stupid would that be? They have Chandler and Curry. They're clearly not going to take anymore projects.

    Everyone is saying we need Caron Butler. Qyntel Woods. WHoever in the draft. What you ofrget to realize is, we're NOT going to take anyone who won't make an immediate impact, other than Yao Ming probably. We're going for a proven vet. We all know this, why keep going for the future whoever, when we're at a time when we need the already proven whoever.


    Plus, it seems Travis Best isn't coming back unless guaranteed the starter spot. So he's almost definitely gone.
     

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