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Texans playoff chances. Could it happen?

Discussion in 'Houston Texans' started by Miguel, Dec 21, 2004.

  1. Miguel

    Miguel Member

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    Ok...so the Texans still have an outside shot at the playoffs.

    The scenario I came up with...not totally complete...but I think if
    everything falls the way it's laid out...then Texans would sneak in.

    Texans win 2
    Jacksonville loses 2
    Baltimore loses 2
    Denver loses 2
    Buffalo loses 2
    KC wins 2

    Since Texans/Jags are in the same division, and Denver/KC are in the
    same division, division tiebreakers apply to them before throwing them
    in the wildcard mix.

    If Texans win 2, and Jacksonville loses 2, that means that the Texans
    beat the Jags in week 16, putting the season series at 2-0 Texans.
    Texans move to the wild card contention.

    If Denver loses 2, and KC wins 2, then it'd go all the way down the
    tiebreaker procedure to...

    1. Head-to-head (best won-lost-tied percentage in games between the clubs).
    2. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the division.
    3. Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games.
    4. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.
    5. Strength of victory.

    As it stands now... KC edges out Denver .560 to .429. If the same
    holds true after KC's 2 wins, and I don't think it'll change
    much...then KC advances to the wild card contention.

    So, it remains
    Texans
    Bills
    Chiefs
    Ravens

    (Note: If two clubs remain tied after third or other clubs are
    eliminated, tie breaker reverts to step 1 of applicable two-club
    format.)
    1. Apply division tie breaker to eliminate all but the highest ranked
    club in each division prior to proceeding to step 2. The original
    seeding within a division upon application of the division tie breaker
    remains the same for all subsequent applications of the procedure that
    are necessary to identify the two Wild-Card participants.
    2. Head-to-head sweep. (Applicable only if one club has defeated each
    of the others or if one club has lost to each of the others.)
    3. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.

    1 has already been done...
    2 would not apply.
    3...is where teams start getting knocked off.

    Since Texans, Ravens, and Chiefs are all 5-5-0 in the conference, and
    Buffalo is 5-6...someone is about to get knocked off...

    For this scenario to even come into play...we've already stated that
    Houston wins 2, Baltimore loses 2, Chiefs win 2, and Buffalo loses 2.

    This would put...
    Houston at 7-5, KC at 7-5, Baltimore at 5-7, and Buffalo at 5-7.

    This leaves Houston and KC.

    Two Clubs
    1. Head-to-head, if applicable.

    Sep 26
    Texans vs Chiefs
    24-21

    TEXANS ADVANCE!

    Although there's about a 5% chance of this happening...there's still a chance!

    KC: (win 2)
    Dec 25 Oakland 5:00pm
    Jan 2 @San Diego 4:15pm

    Buffalo: (lose 2)
    Dec 26 @San Francisco 4:05pm
    Jan 2 Pittsburgh 1:00pm

    Denver: (lose 2)
    Dec 25 @Tennessee 8:30pm
    Jan 2 Indianapolis 4:15pm

    Jacksonville: (lose 2)
    Dec 26 Houston 1:00pm
    Jan 2 @Oakland 4:15pm

    Baltimore: (lose 2)
    Dec 26 @Pittsburgh 1:00pm
    Jan 2 Miami 1:00pm

    Houston: (win 2)
    Dec 26 @Jacksonville 1:00pm
    Jan 2 Cleveland 1:00pm

    Yes...I have nothing better to do with my afternoons. Later guys.
     
  2. juicystream

    juicystream Member

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    Man you think to much. Just accept it and wait till next year.
     
  3. Miguel

    Miguel Member

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    Just accept what? I've stated there's little to no chance of it happening, but it'd be awesome if we could sneak in the backdoor and get into the playoffs. Oh, I'm very satisfied with the team right now, but hey, I would LOVE to see them sneak into the playoffs like this.
     
  4. Miguel

    Miguel Member

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    "Don't ever underestimate the heart of a champion"

    ;)
     
  5. juicystream

    juicystream Member

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    It would be pretty cool, but it just seems funny that you figured out everything the Texans need to make the playoffs. If I was a Texans fan though I probably would have done the same thing.
     
  6. Miguel

    Miguel Member

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    Ahh, that explains it.
     
  7. SamCassell

    SamCassell Member

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    I can't quite put a finger on it, but I'm very disturbed by the moniker "juicystream".
     
  8. mulletman

    mulletman Member

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    dont think theres any chance it will happen.

    but then again, the astros had almost no chance of making the playoffs at one point in the season also...
     
  9. halfbreed

    halfbreed Member

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    Actually they mentioned on the Texans radio broadcast last week that we have been officially eliminated from playoff conention. I think we'd lose the tiebreakers or whatever.
     
  10. NJRocket

    NJRocket Member

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    You have a better chance of finding Bin Laden at a Rockets game wearing a throwback Jim Peterson jersey than the Texans making the playoffs
     
  11. MadMax

    MadMax Member

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    vandemeer was on yesterday afternoon saying they're still mathematically in it. went through the different scenarios that have to happen, and they're quite far-fetched...but still not mathematically out of it.
     
  12. Stack24

    Stack24 Member

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    Good analysis i was about to say the same thing.
     
  13. juicystream

    juicystream Member

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    Well some would say I am a disturbed individual.
     
  14. edc

    edc Member

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    About as likely as the Rockets falling bass-ackwards into home court in the playoffs.
     
  15. RocketManJosh

    RocketManJosh Member

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    Believe! ... haha ... I have to admit I don't believe at this point it is possible
     
  16. Miguel

    Miguel Member

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    Come on, you guys are no fun.
     
  17. MadMax

    MadMax Member

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    i'm with you, miguel. part of the fun of sports is the hope for the unlikely. i will watch to see how all these other teams fare...just in case! :)
     
  18. Miguel

    Miguel Member

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    Exactly. That's why I continued to watch the Astros even though they were 4 games under .500 with 46 games to go. That's why I continued to watch the Rockets vs Spurs even though the Rockets were down by 10 with 1 minute to go.
     
  19. swilkins

    swilkins Member

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    I really appreciate the time into this post.

    It's ok to dream about a slim chance.
     
  20. Fegwu

    Fegwu Member

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    You are amazing. I still have not figured if you are related in some way to RudyT or a memeber of his former coaching staff.

    Is there something you are not telling us?
     

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