Forecast based on these assumptions ----------------------------------- <<Assumptions>> 1.Houston wil not win a game against the teams from both East and West with the best record. 2.Defeat all the losing teams in the East (below .500). 3.The Rockets will not defeat the West top4 teams twice at home. 4.The Rockets will be defeated by the winning teams at their homes if the teams have Allstar PF. 5.Houston will defeat the team with the worst record in the West. 6.Houston will defeat the losing teams in the West if the games are at home. 7.Houston will be defeated by the losing teams in the west if the games are away and the teams have Allstar PF. Date Opponents Result Assumption # ---------------------------------------------------- 7 Tue Minnesota ?? Home ?? 8 Wed @ Orlando L Away 4 10 Fri @ Atlanta W Away 2 11 Sat Denver W Home 5 13 Mon Boston ?? Home ?? 15 Wed Phoenix W Home 3 17 Fri L.A. Lakers W Home 6 20 Mon @ San Antonio L Away 4 21 Tue @ Dallas L Away 4 24 Fri Detroit ?? Home ?? 26 Sun @ Chicago W Away 2 27 Mon @ Memphis L Away 7 29 Wed Dallas L Home 1 31 Fri Minnesota ?? Home ?? 2 Sun Sacramento L Home 3 4 Tue @ Minnesota L Away 4 5 Wed @ Cleveland W Away 2 11 Tue Utah ?? Home ?? 12 Wed @ Utah L Away 4 14 Fri Miami W Home 2 18 Tue @ L.A. Lakers L Away 7 19 Wed @ Phoenix L Away 4 21 Fri Dallas L Home 1 22 Sat Memphis W Home 6 24 Mon @ Boston L Away 4 25 Tue @ New York W Away 2 27 Thu @ Washington W Away 2 2 Sun San Antonio ?? Home ?? 4 Tue @ Detroit L Away 4 5 Wed @ Toronto W Away 2 8 Sat New Jersey L Home 1 12 Wed L.A. Clippers W Home 2 14 Fri Chicago W Home 2 16 Sun Phoenix L Home 3 18 Tue @ Seattle ?? Away ?? 19 Wed @ Portland L Away 4 21 Fri @ Golden State L Away 7 23 Sun @ Sacramento L Away 4 24 Mon @ L.A. Clippers L Away 7 26 Wed L.A. Lakers W Home 6 27 Thu @ San Antonio L Away 4 29 Sat Denver W Home 5 31 Mon @ New Jersey L Away 4 2 Wed @ Milwaukee W Away 2 4 Fri @ Philadelphia ?? Away ?? 6 Sun Orlando ?? Home ?? 8 Tue Portland ?? Home ?? 9 Wed @ Utah L Away 4 12 Sat Seattle ?? Home ?? 15 Tue Memphis W Home 6 16 Wed @ Denver W Away 5 ----------------------------------------- Undetermined - 11 games ----------------------------------------- 7 Tue Minnesota Home 13 Mon Boston Home 24 Fri Detroit Home 31 Fri Minnesota Home 11 Tue Utah Home 2 Sun San Antonio Home 18 Tue @ Seattle Away 4 Fri @ Philadelphia Away 6 Sun Orlando Home 8 Tue Portland Home 12 Sat Seattle Home ------------------------------------------ The result based on forecast ------------------------------------------ Current: 17-14 Forecast for the remaining games: 18-22 After forecast: 35-36 To win 45 games, Houston must win 10 out of those 11 games!!! A-Train, you are dead on. Houston will not make the playoff.
Way, way too much conjecture for this post to mean anything. I don't mean to belittle the effort you've put in, but there are far too many intangibles to do this kind of projection.
Ya see, one problem this board has overall is that most of the posters are as inconsistent as The Rockets. After a loss, a lot of posters will predict that the Rockets won't make the playoffs, yet after a couple of wins, people start to give the Rockets home court in the first round. I've been consistent with my "no playoffs" prediction since November, and I'll stick to it until they actually get in. When this team doesn't make the playoffs, nobody except for Yao Ming is safe...
