Is it too early to start watching this? The latest forecast has it on a very similar track as Rita. Having been hit hard by that one People in my area are already getting nervous.
According to Masters' report this morning, it has to walk a pretty thin tightrope to develop significantly. The wind sheer has kicked up cooler waters north and south of it along its projected route. There are some warm water pockets, though, in the gulf that could kick some development in if this thing gets there. After all the doomsday predictions, I am digging that this is only the 3rd named storm of the season, and the projections for it developing are hazy at best. http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=441&tstamp=200608 The Hurricane Hunters found much stronger winds than expected in Chris this afternoon. The 2:50 pm EDT eye report indicated a central pressure of 1007 mb, down 2 mb from the most recent advisory. Most surprising were the winds in the southeast quadrant, which were in the 55-60 mph range. Radar out of Guadeloupe shows this intense band thunderstorms rather nicely. The northern side of Chris is still devoid of thunderstorms due to the dry air and wind shear. The storm's appearance on satellite imagery is improved from this morning, and shows the beginnings of a Central Dense Overcast (CDO) feature typical of strong tropical storms. Wind shear has dropped another 5 knots this afternoon, down to 10-20 knots, so some continued strengthening is possible. The latest set of model runs are quite divergent on what Chris might do, and I think we really need to wait until the next set of model runs is in before we can rely on the computer models. Unfortunately, tonight's flight of the NOAA jet was cancelled, so we'll have to wait until Wednesday night for the jet to fly. Most of the computer models are still dissipating Chris by five days from now.
please please don't hit texas again.... otherwise i might have more leaves and twigs in my yard from the fearsome hurricane!
Ahhh, memories. Hurricane season thrills and scares the hell outta me all at once. Such an odd feeling. Maynard said it best: Eye on the TV 'Cause tragedy thrills me Whatever flavor it happens to be, like... "Killed by the husband" "Drowned by the ocean" "Shot by his own son" "She used a poison in his tea... then kissed him goodbye" Cause I need to watch things die... from a distance Vicariously I live while the whole world dies You all need it too, don't lie
does anyone still really trust the models after how consistently wrong they were last year? I don't think you can be wrong that often about storm development and call it a fluke. I guess we will see how this one goes.
Crap, I was like trying to find the perfect picture for a similar joke. Not that it matters now, but here was my effort. Don't call me Chris
You dudes are too soft. I am in St. Croix(Virgin Islands) right now, waiting on this storm to come, and looking forward to enjoying it. I been through 8 hurricanes, so this is nothing. Besides, hurricanes get stronger over warm waters, Texas (nor Louisiana) will never see a full stregth hurricane.
Well, windstorm insurance is required to buy a home on the Gulf Coast, I think. I didn't have flood insurance last year when I took off to Austin for Rita, so the whole time I was thinking, "please God, if you're going to take my house, blow it down and don't flood it".
I'm getting a new driveway next week. I fully expect the storm to come our way to hamper those plans!
