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Statistics of winning the series for teams leading 3-1

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by smartfish, Apr 27, 2009.

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  1. smartfish

    smartfish Member

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    Came across in interesting read by UHoustonFan posted on thedreamshake.com. Link at bottom.

    1. Teams leading series 3-1 have a 174-8 overall series winning record.
    2. For game 5, teams leading series 3-1 have a 0-6 record when playing on road.
    3. In the first round, teams leading series 3-1 have a 22-2 overall winning record.
    4. In the first round, teams starting playoff without homecourt have a 4-2 overall series winning record when up 3-1.

    My take: let's be the first team leading 3-1 to win game 5 on road.

    http://www.thedreamshake.com/2009/4/27/856277/were-in-good-shape-houston-but
     
    #1 smartfish, Apr 27, 2009
    1 person likes this.
  2. Gimmmethemike

    Gimmmethemike Member

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    AMEN! LET IT BE SO LORD!
     
    #2 Gimmmethemike, Apr 27, 2009
  3. BrooksBall

    BrooksBall Member

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    We were one of those 8 losing teams.

    Just win the 4th game.
     
    #3 BrooksBall, Apr 27, 2009
  4. BucMan55

    BucMan55 Member

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    When were we up 3-1??? We've been down 3-1 before, in 1995 but not up 3-1. Unless we went on to win the series(Utah WCF 1994)

    Tracy was up 3-1 against Detroit, but as far as I know thats the only connection to the current team with any kind of 3-1 losing stats. We were down 3-1 last year with game 5 at home, so Utah was one of the losing teams for the game 5 stat.
     
    #4 BucMan55, Apr 27, 2009
  5. The_Yoyo

    The_Yoyo Member

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    when was this?

    or are you just wording this wrong

    i cant remember when the rockets had a 3-1 lead and lost the series. they've came back but never lost.

    the four teams that did it that come to mind first are:

    rockets over the suns
    knicks over the heat (though this series was marred by suspensions)
    pistons over the magic
    suns over the lakers
     
    #5 The_Yoyo, Apr 27, 2009
  6. BrooksBall

    BrooksBall Member

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    My bad... I stand corrected. For some reason I thought we went up 3-1 on the Mavs a few years ago.
     
    #6 BrooksBall, Apr 27, 2009
  7. ThaShark316_28

    ThaShark316_28 Member

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    #2 is incorrect....Rockets led 3-1 in the 1986 WCF and won game 5.
     
    #7 ThaShark316_28, Apr 27, 2009
  8. ThaShark316_28

    ThaShark316_28 Member

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    I didn't click the link because it didnt work....

    i posted my reply to the OP before i copied and pasted...

    Should have put the words "first round" in your post.
     
    #8 ThaShark316_28, Apr 27, 2009
  9. JeopardE

    JeopardE Member

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    I knew it had to be. Something about "no underdog in NBA history has ever won game 5 when up 3-1" didn't seem believable to me.
     
    #9 JeopardE, Apr 27, 2009
  10. Bamushake

    Bamushake Member

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    You guys are probably thinking about McGrady's 2003 playoffs with Orlando when they were up (as the 8th seed surprisingly) 3-1 against the #1 Pistons then went on to lose every game by 20+ points
     
    #10 Bamushake, Apr 27, 2009
  11. BrooksBall

    BrooksBall Member

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    It was one guy... me... and I realized I made a mistake.
     
    #11 BrooksBall, Apr 27, 2009
  12. ChrisP

    ChrisP Member

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    IF these numbers are accurate...

    It's not surprising that none have won game 5 on the road in the first round. The better team (better record, at least) facing elimination at home... while the road team has 3 games to win 1... the intensity factor will be heavily in the home team's favor.

    Even if we win, we might not get this honor. Mavs/Spurs tip off a half hour before us.

    Speaking of which, how weird is it that there have only been 6 road teams up 3-1 in the past, but there are 2 just this year? (again, if the numbers are right)
     
    #12 ChrisP, Apr 27, 2009
  13. t_mac1

    t_mac1 Member

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    most won't get to watch this game anyways b/c it's on NBATV :mad:
     
    #13 t_mac1, Apr 27, 2009
  14. smartfish

    smartfish Member

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    #14 smartfish, Apr 27, 2009
  15. smartfish

    smartfish Member

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    You are right. I should've put "first round" for this one.
     
    #15 smartfish, Apr 27, 2009
  16. Pizza_Da_Hut

    Pizza_Da_Hut I put on pants for this?

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    So odds are we drop the next game? I'd say that's extremely likely. Look at it this way, if we win game 5, we would have to win 3 games in a row against a very balanced team. 3 in a row, against any playoff contender is really hard. Look, LA couldn't even go three in a row against Utah!! To counter that, Portland NEEDS 3 in a row to stay alive. So while the odds are against us, they are stacked much higher against them. A win in game 5 would really push the moral up and give us momentum coming into LA. I'm just glad the first two games against LA will be in LA (assuming we go on).
     
    #16 Pizza_Da_Hut, Apr 27, 2009
  17. ClutchCityReturns

    ClutchCityReturns Member

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    So this is the one that truly applies to us.

    66.7% isn't as high as I would like, but then again history doesn't actually effect the present so...ehh.
     
    #17 ClutchCityReturns, Apr 27, 2009
  18. Cowboy_Bebop

    Cowboy_Bebop Member

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    There's just no way we will lose 3 straight games. We will win against Portland.
     
    #18 Cowboy_Bebop, Apr 27, 2009
  19. Carl Herrera

    Carl Herrera Member

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    Team coached by Rick Adelman have a 0-11 record when starting the series without home court advantage.

    Lets be the first Adelman-coached team to win a series without Home Court Advantage.
     
    #19 Carl Herrera, Apr 27, 2009
  20. BucMan55

    BucMan55 Member

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    There could be two of those instances this year. Mavs over Spurs, and Rockets over Blazers....



    Wow.
     
    #20 BucMan55, Apr 27, 2009
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