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Rotation Thread: Who will pick for SF/CM, and Isn't Walt still a Rocket?

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by heypartner, Oct 23, 2001.

  1. heypartner

    heypartner Member

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    Is Walt still our backup SF? Or did TMo pass him up?

    Of course Walt hasn't been passed up. As much talk as there always is to get rid of him, he is still on the team, and he is Rice's backup. Remember, teams only use 9-10 players in their regular rotation....go check that, it is true.

    Willis
    Williams
    Moochie

    are all proven vets with key roles...15-25mpg. That is 8, and we haven't even gotten Griffin into play, yet. Griffin will get the far majority of the remaining minutes. And as unpopular as it may sound, Collier will get the rest of the system minutes, to make ten.

    Sure TMo and Torres could quickly prove to be better than Shandn (TMo because of his size, and Torres because of his scoring), but with Rice starting over the Wizard now...I wouldn't even expect Shandn to get many minutes.

    <b>System Considerations for PT centers around who is going to pick for Francis and Mobley</b>

    Rudy will insist on there being at least one big man to pick for Francis and Mobley in the game at all times. Cato has never been a picker, and Willis I don't think has the range to really be closely guarded off the pick and fade from 20 feet out that we love to do. Thomas, Mo, Bullard and Collier were the primary pickers last year. Note how those players were always playing PF or C when utilized as such. That is why the play is called 24-High....it is for the 2 and 4 and is high out on the wing requiring a good shooter as the picker.

    So far last game, I have seen Cato do a pick at the elbow and quickly (immediately) roll *to the basket*, which we could presume Willis can still do; but until I see it in the regular season, we have to believe that what we saw last game was more a decoy, since Cato's pick was immediately followed by another one from Kenny coming from the free throw line. I saw this twice. Until we see it regularly to call it a new twist to our system, I don't see Cato and Willis doing much picking for Francis and Mobley. So, that leaves Thomas and Collier and possibly Griffin to help with this key part of our system. I'd love to see Griffin play into this major role, but it takes too much reading defenses for him to do it just yet.

    As for Rice being the picker, the trouble with that is it pulls one of your weakside threats over to the strongside. We could still work with this. I could definitely see him doing picking above the FT line for Moochie when all 3 guards are in at once.

    <b>Get excited about the future, but first we must win Game 1</b>

    As the system stands right now (and it really hasn't changed much in structure from any Rudy word out yet), our personnel changes have only enhanced what we played with last year. As bright a future Griffin has, we will not change the system for him just yet. That doesn't mean he won't play, just that you might not change your sytem for him. Besides, we don't need to. He looks to have a good shot....he'll be open, but we aren't going to run Rasheed low post turnarounds to him ...

    With Mo' down, I'd expect Rudy to concentrate more on his stacked SF position with Rice/Walt now rather than worry about adjustments to suit Willis or to make Griffin a playmaker. This all points to using practice time to work on beating zones from the perimeter, to include with new ways of driving and passing. This brings me back to the point of needed successful picks out high, and Collier getting more PT than most of us expect. A pick out high to get the doubles (or the zones) off Francis by someone who can't shoot can be ignored, trapped, and disarmed.

    If Griffin excels in this roll, and we work out some new twists with Rice doing the picking, then Collier might see little to no time as the season progresses, allowing us later to work one of our shooters into the rotation (TMo/Torres). No matter how you slice it, imo, I think we need 3 picking big men (including Rice) getting rotation time all season long to get the most out of our perimeter system of setting up the guards. (No wonder they really wanted Marc Jackson, and he wanted us...*sigh*) It should be interesting to see how this plays out. I just don't see Willis or Cato having key roles in our offensive system, albeit a lot of PT.

    <b>TMo and Torres</b>

    I suspect players like TMo and Torres will work there way in via filling injury time. So far, my bet is on Torres beating out TMo for PT. We certainly will not involve them as playmakers or primary pickers that much. These two guys make 11 and 12. Show me a team that plays that deep. They both seem to be high-energy, athletic guys with a desire to play defense. And they both are doing very well from 3 pt land. hmmmm.

    <b>Kill the Messenger</b>

    So, go ahead, yell at me now, get it off your chest...because you'll be yelling at Rudy later...Collier will get some minutes picking for Mobley, and TMo will rarely be played over Williams or the 3 guard line-up.

    Small lineups that we've seen in preseason are due to injuries. Our small lineup will likely move Rice to 4 with 3 guards, or have Griffin in there with the 3 guards. For systemic reasons, I can't see TMo playing with Griffin (barring injury), and I can't see Cato playing with Willis.
     
    #1 heypartner, Oct 23, 2001
    Last edited: Oct 23, 2001
  2. WoodlandsBoy

    WoodlandsBoy Member

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    You forgot garbage time. You will see TMo and Torres during garbage time to keep Rice's foot from getting worse.

    You forgot Langhi. Do you think he is going on IR???
     
  3. Toast

    Toast Member

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    I agree with most of what you said, except you need to place an asterisk in there for when we have uneven matchups. When we play the Spurs, for instance, I wouldn't be surprised to see both Cato & Willis on the court at the same time.

    But I definitely agree that barring injuries, we won't see too much T-Mo or Oscar Torres (again in certain instances, we might see them play a tiny bit because of an uneven matchup).
     
  4. barbourdg

    barbourdg Member

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    Crispee in your projections where does Langhi Fit in (or fit out)?

    I would be amazed if TMo & Oscar hit the IR list. You have to ride momentum, and if Walt goes back to his inconsistency, then no way he gets the minutes over our rising stars. Tmo & Oscar have already been showing they have more game than Walt (at this point in his career). Walt has a small advantage on the 3 point line, but Bullard wasted him every year.
     
  5. mr_gootan

    mr_gootan Member

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    I think you're analysis is exactly right, but mostly for the end of the season and the post-season.

    Symbolic knock-on-wood, I believe we'll have significant injury time in the form of sores and strains in the beginning of the season, forcing us to play a run and run offense just to win games approaching the all-star break.
    (Really Phx/LAC - like).

    I envision three distinct 9-man rotations before we get into the playoffs, with everyone on our team becoming integral at one phase or another. Everyone's going to earn their money this year. (Even Cato :mad: )
     
  6. ricerocket

    ricerocket Member

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    With injuries Torres and TMo will get theirs through spans during the season.

    Who says the Rockets are through trading? Maybe Walt and Langhi are headed somewhere? For picks?
     
  7. barbourdg

    barbourdg Member

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    Walt & Langhi, do seem to be the odd men out. Especially in the Rockets future.

    Crispee, I would make you a bet that Oscar will be Cutino's backup. He is the only other 2 we have (unless you count Francis during certain lineups). I think Moochie will have his minutes diminished, unless he can show some consistency in his offensive shooting.
     
  8. Dallas Rocket

    Dallas Rocket Member

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    Rudy loves what Walt brings, and he really came up big in a lot of key games last year. He has a lot of experience and I gotta believe he'll be in the regular rotation unless he totally disappears. Toward the end of last year he began driving more and I think his rebounding numbers were up. I know he is a defensive liability but his offensive skills can be pretty good, and he comes up with a few steals.

    I don't think he'll be odd man out vs. TMo, certainly not early in the season. If that ever happens we will be even better than I anticipate;)
     
  9. Joe Joe

    Joe Joe Go Stros!
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    Hopefully, Morris can win some minutes from Walt. He is the SF of the future.

    I don't think he'll be a regular, but for some reason I think when he comes in, Rudy will give him some minutes. Morris could also be used to pick if griffin isn't ready to play big minutes as the PF.

    dammit, I want to see who plays. i want to see other teams try to scramble together a defense to cover everyone.
     
  10. heypartner

    heypartner Member

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    TMo's shot had bad rotation tonight.
    Griffin had excellent rotation.

    TMo is big. I do like him. Unfortunately, he is on a team that demands that his position makes shots; I'm rooting for him. His shot seemed fine Sunday, but not yesterday.

    btw: who says Griffin can't play center some day. The kid luvs to control the paint. Like LARocketsFan, achebe, Darkhorse and Clutch (and everyone else who is watching these preseason games) have already reported, Griffin is a natural shot blocker. He gets up so fast with little chance of fouling.

    Didn't see much of Torres last night. Except one memorable move where he shows, once again, how well he can dribble in traffic including weaving through seams. I think the best way to explain him is "Instinctive with athleticism." The guy moves with a purpose, with or without the ball.

    Langhi? So far, I'll take the Rudy approach: "He's a good kid. Works hard. Does whatever we ask. Has surprising athleticism and a sweet shot." (IR)

    Cato seems to be taking the "no jumping on headfakes" a little to far. He is not even challenging stuff by just jumping straight up. And when he did go for one, he let a 6' PG get him off his feet and jumped forward to block the shot. Not only did he not get the block, but he got the foul. Oh well, at least he is recognizing his weaknesses. Sometime this means the player just needs some success under his belt before it all starts making sense.

    I did like some of his rebounding. He is getting up there. As a side note, he also seems to be having fun. <b>We saw him smile!</b>

    I'll tell you all my personal surprise showing of the night...Mobley's defense. He is high energy everywhere on the court. Bad shooting night, but he gave on all other aspects of the game. I only saw Stackhouse get by him once. Mobley got a hand on Stackhouse's dribble more times than Stack dribbled past him. 4 steals (at least one in one-on-one situations with Stack). Well done.

    <b>As for reports on the system</b>

    We did see guard ISOs again. About 3-4 for Mobley, and some borderline ones that got a late pick to convert to 24-high. I don't recall any ISOs for Moochie, though.

    Other than that, there are picks coming from everywhere for the guards to get to the center of the court. The pick with Cato to immediately roll off to the basket (mentioned above) was repeated again to play like a backdoor cut. Strange the way that works. It works because Cato's man will try to trap Mobley for a split second allowing Cato to dive from 20 feet out to the hole. I'll tell you: I don't expect that to work too much in the season, but it will stop the early traps. Doesn't look like it will be able to force Mobley's man to switch though. However, following Cato's somewhat "decoy" pick with a real one from Thomas is a nice twist though.

    Kenny and Mobley ran three excellent 24-highs in the 1st quarter that left Kenny wide open on the wing. K9 had a clear drive to the basket, yet waited for the defender to recover as if he really wanted to practice his one-on-one or something. Kenny,,,take it to the hole!! On the 3rd attempt, he did take it, resulting in a easy dish to Cato coming weakside right down the heart of the lane. Cato then got hammered, or it was a monster dunk.

    I found disappointment in not using a high pivot man (Kenny) this time, like against SA. Makes me wonder if Kenny being positioned above the FT line as a prime passer was a response to SA's 3-2 zone that they threw at us. Nice to see that Rudy is diverse enough to go almost an entire half worth of ball using a high pivot man,,,and that does speak well for Thomas's ability to play that role when called for.
     
  11. Joe Joe

    Joe Joe Go Stros!
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    You know there is some assistant NBA coach out there with Crispee's scouting reports of the rockets going "Damn, we can't even stop the decoy pick".

    Damn it sucks being in Austin! I caught more Rocky Mountain Revue action than I have preseason action.
     
  12. tycoonchip

    tycoonchip Member

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    I think Rice already fills up for walt at that spot. i honestly don't think we need walt anymore since we got rice. i think we should trade him langhi d.jones or torres. heck giv'em collier while we're at it. if we can trade all those for picks i'd be pleased or maybe another five cause it looks like we're full already
     
  13. DearRock

    DearRock Member

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    I like this thread because it has alot of meat.

    Crisp, I have to think that Collier is not going to be in the rotation just because of that. I really do believe that Langhi can play that role just as well without the baggage.

    I believe that OT and Tmo are going to see time right now. First we are hussling more both on offense and defense. One of our competitive advantage is speed. As a result the rotation is going to be longer so we reduce the risk of injuries. Griffin, Tmo and OT are too good, defensively and overall, for them not to be big contributor right now. It is unusual to have so much talent on a team which will allow a lenghty rotation. Rudy T has to demand more intensity per minutes from everyone, with nobody taking a play or two off.

    My proposed rotation breakdown is as follows:

    C - Cato 28, Willis 17, Griffin 3
    PF - Thomas 28, Griffin 17, Morris 3
    SF - Rice 29, Morris 14, Langhi 5
    PG - Francis 32, Moochie 16
    OG - Mobley 31, Torres 8, Williams 9

    This is simply a guide to be affected by matchups, injuries, foul trouble, etc. The thinking on Torres and Williams is to play Torres in the first half and Williams in the second half. Some may have a problem with Francis and Mobes playing those minutes, but I am expecting to have some blowouts and a disciplined approach by Rudy T to keep these guys injury-free. That discipline is also needed for the rookies to be given the time, who by season-end can be relied upon to contribute.
     
  14. Pipe

    Pipe Member

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    I basically agree with Crispee's view of the rotation. It may be unsettled at first due to the injury situation, but I generally see an 8 man rotation (Willis, Walt, and Mooch off the bench), with EG getting spot minutes and perhaps more, depending upon how well EG progresses, how well K9 plays, and how well Cato and Willis play together (I see Cato at the 5 and Willis at the 4). Collier, TMo, and Torres will have to scrap for time, but should get some opportunities due to injuries, blowouts, or when Rudy wants to shake things up if the team comes out flat or to take advantage of a mismatch. Langhi is at the far end of the bench.

    I like our youngsters, but getting playing time is not necessarily going to be easy (unless there are alot of injuries), especially since the team did not have the luxury of playing together much if at all during the preseason. Rudy will go with experience early in the season.
     
  15. ricealum

    ricealum Member

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    Originally posted by crispee
    Teams usually go with 7-9 players for one of two reasons:

    <ul><li>They're really good and know exactly what they'll get from those 7-9 guys (like the Jordan-Pippen Bulls)
    <li>They aren't deep enough to play more (which applies to 80% of all basketball teams)</ul>

    I don't see the Rockets fitting either category, Over the first four months of the season I think we'll see as many as eleven guys get minutes (not every game, mind, but overall). As the playoffs near, and when, not if, we make it in, our rotation will drop to 8, maybe 9 if we play like the '93-96 Sonics. We will go through stretches where Walt just isn't getting it done and langhi plays a lot, or where Mobley is hurt and Torres plays a lot. We'll also be experimenting with different defenses, as most teams will, and how to attack them. That means a lot of different lineups, most of which will eventually be abandoned.

    Exzcellent point, and a major reason we wanted Jackson, as you said. I think we're a better team with Willis that Nwakando; however, he would have made a good picker. He knocked Rice out of a practice with a hard pick! Maybe that's why he got cut...

    I suspect you're right. I was a little surprised to see we waived Jones, but I suppose it was partly to be nice and let him latch on with someone where he can get some PT. He's got as good a resume as Moochie, but we just -- BAM! -- cut him. Obviously Rudy felt as you do that he had no realistic shot at any PT. Unless we keep Brown, which is highly unlikely, this is a sign that we'll have five forwards on the team: Thomas, Griffin, Rice, probably Williams, and either TMo or langhi, but not both. The only way both can play is if Collier starts off the season on IR.

    I do expect TMo and Torres to play and get a chance to prove themselves against real opponents. We are so deep right now (potentially) and have so many new faces that Rudy will have to do a lot of experimenting.

    Interesting ... I had thought we'd see Willis and Cato on the court at the same time a bit this year, but I see your reasoning. Neither is a strong high post threat and neither can drive like Kenny. I like the TMo/Griffin combo long term but having two rooks on the court as your forwards could be dangerous. That alone will probably limit TMo's PT, unless Walt's shooting goes south. Then you may see TMo and langhi scrapping for the backup 3 minutes. As for Rice at the 4, I hope we don't see much of that as I don't think he's likely to be 100% physicall until later in the season. And that's if we limit his minutes. I hope we see him at around 24 a game until April; we need him to have a shot a beating the Lakers or Spurs (our likely first round opponents).

    Or am I getting a little ahead of myself on this playoff thing? :cool:
     

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