It seemed like the Texans valued quantity of picks versus quality of picks in this draft. It would explain why they were reportedly trying to trade down from the 1st pick and wanted a higher price (that obviously didn't work out) and why they didn't trade up from the 33rd pick. What say ye? Would you rather one pick who has the potential to be exceptional or a bunch of picks who have the potential to be really good?
It's all a matter of opinion. In my opinion if the Texans would have traded back with Buffalo they still could have drafted a player with potential to be exceptional. The first defensive player off the board rarely ends up being the best one. The consensus defensive pick doesn't always end up being the best defensive player. Just look at when J.J. came out. So many was ranked ahead of him.
Texans got 11 picks and probably would be happy to start camp with 7-8 rookies from a deep draft. So trade up. Remember that the Texans had four 2013 draft picks (OT Williams, OL Quessenberry, WR Bonner, OLB Williams) who got hurt and missed the regular season. Without any regular season experience, these four guys are essentially rookies as well. OBie did not draft them so they may be easy cuts in the end.
I don't know how much of a future Bonner has, but Quessenberry is promising. In addition, OLB Williams has some elite level speed (which might make it worth him to keep around to see if he develops). OT Williams was a good prospect, but who knows after microfracture. I would still keep him around a year; some people do bounce back well from surgery.
For our situation, quantity. There are too many holes to address. For Seattle's situation, quality. Since they already have everything.
In Rebuilding . . .you go for Quantity but IMO . . the Texans should not be in Rebuilding mode They have solid peices all over the place they need to plug some holes Rocket River
this, that is why price tag for 1 was high. They need to take Carr and worry about extra picks later. Hell maybe Kubiaggy gives us a 6th rounder for TJ
LOL @ having "MANY" that are 'meh' compared to having "FEW" that are 'the best.' LOL! That's laughable. :grin:
I think the hope the teams have is that one of the "meh" players become one of the best at their positions. Russell Wilson, Tom Brady, etc. were all "meh" picks that turned out to one of the best at their positions.
And what is the hit rate on those guys again? Out of how many guys did Wilson and Brady emerge? And over how many years? Why scout if you aren't gonna have confidence in your scouting process? If your process identified the talent, take it. It is a gamble anyway.
But according to your logic, the more picks you have the better chance you have of getting an all-pro.
According to my logic, the percentage chances of success are so small that even doubling your chances in the lower rounds isn't significant. Again, it is about the hit rates. 2% vs 4%? 25% vs. 50%? State lottery vs Powerball?
I'll put it like this: I want my team to find difference makers. Difference makers/playmakers generally come from the first 2 rounds. The other guys fill out the roster, hopefully not being high mistake guys. If my scouts really like a guy, I would rather them draft the guy they are hot for than shoot for 2 guys they are luke warm for. If they are hot for 3 guys and I can have 2 of them, then, fine I will take 2 of them. If they are hot for 1 QB and a couple of guys at any other positions, then I roll with the QB. Quality vs. quantity? It is about percentage chance to hit (round) and position. A single first rounder can have a better chance to hit than 2 3rds, etc. As a general rule? Take who you like, without reaching in the first 3 rounds. Gamble with the rest. There are a number of great articles on the topic that will make much better fodder for discussion than the random BS we all pull out of our arses: No Team Can Beat the Draft How Good Are Teams at Picking the Best? The Chance of a Bust in the NFL Draft
Exactly...And in a deal for 1-1, you'd be getting 3-4 picks in rounds 1-2. So, there's no reason you can't have both...In fact you should with a competent GM.