Playoff Seeding Scenarios 4/11/25

1. Thunder 100%
2. Rockets 100%
3. Lakers (92%), Clippers (4%), Nuggets (3%)
4. T-Wolves (43%), Nuggets (23%), Clippers (21%), Warriors (6%), Lakers (5%), Grizzlies (3%)
5. Clippers (39%), T-Wolves (25%), Warriors (15%), Nuggets (9%), Grizzlies (9%), Lakers (3%)
6. Nuggets (27%), Warriors (21%), T-Wolves (20%), Clippers (17%), Grizzlies (15%)
7. Warriors (32%), Nuggets (29%), Grizzlies (18%), Clippers (15%), T-Wolves (6%)
8. Grizzlies (55%), Warriors (26%), Nuggets (9%), T-Wolves (7%), Clippers (4%)

Tonight's games are going to be huge in shifting around this seeding. As of this morning, we're most likely to play the Warriors or Grizzlies, but there's still a large chance we could be facing the Nuggets who aren't even eliminated from being the 3 seed! The west is crazy, and regardless of how the last two games shake out, it's going to be a blood bath.

By Team in order of likelihood:

Clippers - 5,4,6,7
Nuggets - 7,6,4, 5/8
T-Wolves - 4,5,6,8,7
Warriors - 7,8,6,5,4
Grizzlies - 8,7,6,5,4

Edit: Forgot the source like a dummy!

Source: www.playoffstatus.com

 

I forgot the source, but I edited. I definitely am not sitting here calculating these myself lol. Good looking out.

 

That's my understanding too. This is who is likely to end up at a certain seeding at the end of the regular season.

 

Most important games tonight:

Timberwolves and Nets (Timberwolves have a wide range of seeding possibilities)
Nuggets and Grizzlies (Both teams alive for a lot of seeds)
Blazers and Warriors (Also has draft implications)
Kings and Clippers (Kings can lock up the 9 seed I believe and

I'm not putting much stock into the percentages themselves, but the possibilities really. I think there are better resources like where you can enter wins and losses and let it calculate the seeds, but I couldn't find a good one this year.

 

I'm skeptical of both sites to be honest. I think it's just interesting to see who is in line for what, and playoffstatus will also list out which teams are not in control of their destiny for a specific seed. So it has Minnesota as the 4 or 5, but not in control of their destiny for either, which is interesting. The percentage themselves doesn't mean much to me other than what is more or less likely to happen in an overall sense. I'm not going to Vegas to beat on the Warriors being the 7 or anything like that lol. I think both sites feel like it'll be GSW/MEM against us either way. Maybe Denver.

 

I've been looking for something like this to toy around with. Thank you so much!