Check the "Playoff Machine" for scenarios. Here is my outcome. Post yours. We have to win out and get a little help. Keep hope alive! link
Not sure what you did to get that result, I couldn't get anything but the Jags and Colts. lol. Not that it matters. If the Jags suddenly start losing, and the Colts continue throwing picks....we need to win out...(duh). little to no chance....but....ya never know.
a three way tie at 9-7 gives the Jags the nod. head to head 9-7 record with the Colts gives the nod to the Texans. head to head 9-7 record with the Jags gives the nod to the Texans.
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Not exactly. The Jags lose to the Texans + Colts and the Colts lose one of their games to the Titans. We would win the division with a 4-2 division record while they both would have 3-3 division records.
Matt Schaub has been undefeated in week 14, elevating his team to 6-7 each year, since he's been a member of the Houston Texans. Texans has defeated a playoffs-bound team each year in the last 4 games of the season, each having a record going into the game of: '06 Colts (11-3) '07 TB (8-4) '08 TEN (11-1) '09 NE (10-5) Balty is 8-4 after today's game, and is coming into our houses, with us wearing battle red!! Heads are gonna roll, starting with Flacco's!
I didn't realize how much of a mess the NFC West was until looking at that picture in the OP. Whoever comes out of that conference is going to get completely annihilated... which is why I'm going to be pulling for the NFC West representative all the way through! :grin:
Obviously, we have to win out, but the rest of the scenario's aren't all that far-fetched. Jacksonville (currently 7-5, 3-1 div, 6-3 AFC) 12/12 vs Oakland (W) 12/19 at Indianapolis (1-0 h2h) (L) 12/26 vs Washington (W) 01/02 at Houston (1-0 h2h) (L) JAX overall: 9-7, 2-2 vs other two teams, 3-3 div, 7-5 AFC Indianapolis (currently 6-6, 1-2 div, 4-4 AFC) 12/09 at Tennessee (0-0 h2h) W 12/19 vs Jacksonville (1-0 h2h) W 12/26 at Oakland L 01/02 vs Tennessee (0-0 h2h) W IND overall: 9-7, 2-2 vs other two teams, 4-2 div, 7-5 AFC Houston (currently 5-7, 2-2 div, 4-4 AFC) 12/12 vs Baltimore 12/19 at Tennessee (1-0 h2h) 12/26 at Denver 01/02 vs Jacksonville (0-1 h2h) HOU overall: 9-7, 2-2 vs other two teams, 4-2 div, 8-4 AFC I think that gets us in, but it will come down to the third tiebreak criteria (record against common opponents). Seems like if it's a three-team tie, our common opponents would be the NFC East, AFC West, and Tennessee, right? We're 1-3 against the NFC East, 2-1 (to date) against the AFC West, and 1-0 (to date) against the Titans. So assuming we win out, we'll be 6-4 in common games. Indy: Currently 4-3 with two games remaining against the Titans and one against Oakland. Will need them also finish 6-4 in common games even though they'll be favored in all three games. They might drop one of these games if the teams (all run-heavy teams) decide to give them the Week 1 Arian Foster treatment. That's probably our only hope! Jax: Currently 3-5 with a games remaining against Washington and Oakland. We need them to lose the Oakland because it hits them in Conference record as well. So let's assume they'll finish 4-6. That gets us in based on the fourth tiebreaker. I thought I was going to root for J-ville to beat Indy, but it looks like we'll need them to win, but that speculation at this point. Might know more after this weekend. Jerome Solomon had a blog posting on this today as well.
Are you sure about that? Even if the Colts win all three of those games, if they lose to Jacksonville, they would be 1-3 in games against HOU/JAX, whereas the Texans and Jags would each be 2-2. So that would kick the Colts out of the tiebreaker before it got to the common games step, wouldn't it? http://www.nfl.com/standings/tiebreakingprocedures Between HOU/JAX, each would hypothetically be 4-2 in the division and split with each other, so it would come down to common games... which we would also win, as I understand it.
It's hard to project it out, but I have Indy beating J-Ville so that would mean the JAX/IND/HOU series would be all square at 2-2 vs the competition. So we'd have to move to division record, then games vs. common foes, etc. Agreed? Thoughts? Anyone?
"I got nothing to lose, it's just me against the world, baby!" Monday night might not be winnable, but it's must win. Did I just make a Yogi-ism?!?
Positives: The Texans have won each time they reached 5-7. The last two games the D line has played a lot better; Flacco isn't cool as ice under pressure. We're at the point in the season where GK takes off the stupid hat and calls a more aggressive game. Arian Foster's coming off a good game against the 3rd best rush D. Negatives: Home games are a tossup. Nationally televised games are a tossup. Whenever Arian Foster isn't touching the ball.
Oh I agree, I think the Colts win that game. Just saying, the Colts have to lose a game period... as I understand it, it doesn't necessarily have to be TEN or OAK. (Though again, I also agree that at OAK is their most losable game.) Just pointing out for technicality purposes.