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People make too of a big deal about what happened in the 2007 draft

Discussion in 'Houston Astros' started by T-Slack, Jul 8, 2012.

  1. T-Slack

    T-Slack Member

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  2. cardpire

    cardpire Member

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    yeah, saying it set them back a couple years was always overstating things (even more so in hindsight). nevertheless, it was still a complete catastrophe of a draft, and something that should never happen.
     
  3. xcrunner51

    xcrunner51 Member

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    Besides the fact that it failed to produce any ML'ers, a rarity in and of itself, it also failed to put basically any talent into the system. A bad draft should at least provide organizational depth. That's why people say it set the organization back years.

    Almost the entire list of players the Astros signed that year is out of baseball.

    At a rough glance, I can only see 1 player who ever made it to AAA. That would be Collin Delome, who many believe kept being promoted solely because he was the only pick doing anything from that draft. Even he was released from the Astros system earlier this year.
     
  4. xcrunner51

    xcrunner51 Member

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    From 2000 - 2009, there were some bad drafts but each draft produced at least one ML player. 2010-2012 is too early to evaluate, but early returns are promising.

    Major Leaguers
    2000 - Chad Qualls, Eric Bruntlett, Michael Bourn (unsigned)
    2001 - Chris Burke, Kirk Saarloos, Charlton Jimerson, Brooks Conrad, Lance Cormier (Unsigned), Matt Albers
    2002 - Mitch Talbot
    2003 - Jason Hirsch, Josh Anderson, Edwin Maysonnet
    2004 - Hunter Pence, Ben Zobrist, Troy Patton, Chad Reineke, JR Towles
    2005 - Bogusevic, Tommy Manzella
    2006 - Chris Johnson, Bud Norris
    2007 -
    2008 - Jason Castro, Jordan Lyles
    2009 - Dallas Keuchel, JD Martinez

    It's stunning that not one single 2007 draftee got a cup of coffee in the bigs.
     
  5. jim1961

    jim1961 Member

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    I think you also must look at it another way.......Its not so much that we didnt add any talent (which we didnt), but that every other club did.

    One has to keep in mind that every team drafts players. And even those years where you feel your club did pretty good, that must be weighed against how good other teams did, especially those in your division or conference.

    A way I look at it sometimes is lets say that every club gained the same amount of ground in a given draft (more or less), you could say your club didnt gain anything. You merely held serve against your opponents. If your team has a weak draft, basically other teams gained ground on you. In a draft where you gain squat, every other team leaped ahead of you (in terms of farm bolstering). This what made the 2007 draft not just a disaster, but a set back. A two year one? Maybe not that much, but a significant amount.

    2012 was the first draft in a looooooong time where I feel the Stros really gained ground on most (every?) club.
     
  6. sealclubber1016

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    That one draft was just the coup de grace.

    In reality is was almost a decade of craptastic drafts that left us in our situation.

    Other than the 2004 draft, which was good our drafting was terrible

    All ML players with a positive WAR drafted from 99-07

    Chad Qualls 3.9
    Brian Bogusevic 2.3
    Chris Sampson 1.8
    Bud Norris 0.8
    Eric Bruntlett 0.7
    Kirk Saarloos 0.6
    Mike Gallo 0.6
    Edwin Maysonet 0.6
    Mark McLemore 0.4
    Charlton Jimerson 0.3
    Josh Anderson 0.2
    Mark Saccamanno 0.1

    Zero all stars. Most of these guys barely even dented the bigs.

    No organization can survive a decade of that.
     
  7. xcrunner51

    xcrunner51 Member

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    Thank God we have Luhnow. His reputation is drafting players who will be big league players.

     
    #7 xcrunner51, Jul 8, 2012
    Last edited: Jul 8, 2012
  8. xcrunner51

    xcrunner51 Member

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    I think even dating back another 10 years behind that, the Astros weren't known as strong drafters. A significant portion of the talent that propped up the '97-'01 teams was the international crowd. We got Moises and RJ with international pipeline talent. Hidalgo and Abreu were internationals.

    Biggio and Berkman stand out as the only legitimate HOF contenders that we drafted.

    It's really sad our system produced only two all-stars in 10 years (Pence/Zobrist).
     
  9. cardpire

    cardpire Member

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    such a great hire. i hate to geek out on the guy like bozos in the GARM do on morey, but it's hard not ro. also love how our owner is silent and has made it apparent that luhnow is the guy running the show. i literally still have not heard crane speak since opening day.
     
  10. Buck Turgidson

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  11. xcrunner51

    xcrunner51 Member

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    95 - Tony McKnight, Barry Wesson, Jeriome Robertson
    96 - Wade Miller, Roy Oswalt
    97 - Puma, Tim Redding
    98 - Lidge, Dave Matranga, Morgan Ensberg, Keith Ginter, Colin Porter
    99 - Mike Gallo, Jason Lane

    Fair enough, that's certainly better than the 2000's. There's 4 all-stars in that bunch and one border-line HOF player (Puma).

    But I'd still argue that the giant nosedive in talent that occurred in the early 2000's was mainly a result of losing a competitive advantage in Latin America. The Astros were the first club to build an academy in Venezuela. That head start produced Johan Santana, Bobby Abreu, Freddy Garcia, Carlos Guillen, Melvin Mora and Richard Hidalgo. That's 6 all-stars. Once everyone else starting building academies in VZL our system went to ****.
     
  12. Buck Turgidson

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    ??? '99-'03 ('04 draft was solid) was a disaster. That's 5 drafts and ~250 players and it's pretty easy to count the significant draftees on both hands. Chad Qualls was the best of the bunch.
     
  13. Buck Turgidson

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    btw, the '96 draft was Hun's first with the Stros.

    I agree about Venezuela, we lost our competitive edge there and then failed to spend the money to make up for it in the DR and elsewhere.
     
  14. xcrunner51

    xcrunner51 Member

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    I think you're underrating them. The '04 class having two all-stars makes it one of the best the Astros have ever had and stands as an above average draft for any organization.

    Those other years consistently put out about 2-3 big league players, many who made solid or memorable contributions on the field. I will always remember Chris Burke's 18th inning HR in game 4 of the '05 NLDS. I will always remember Bruntlett's 4-6-3 double play in game 4 of the '05 NLCS.

    The average draft year of any organization is not that much better 2-3 big league players a year if at all. If you read the Luhnow article I posted it says that STL despite cranking out a ton of major leaguers in the draft, only 1-2 were impact players. I'll admit that for that 5 year period, '99-'03 was light in impact talent and thus below average. But they were not disasters like '07.
     
  15. xcrunner51

    xcrunner51 Member

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    Take STL for example, the Cards had the same number of all-stars from '99-'04 that the Astros had (2). They had Danny Haren and Yadier Molina, we had Pence and Zobrist.
     
  16. shutkip

    shutkip Member

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    2000 also had Todd Self who had a quick cup of coffee with the Astros in the 05 season...

    Geez we've drafted badly :(
     
  17. RunninRaven

    RunninRaven Member
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    Jeriome Robertson won 15 games one time.
     
  18. shutkip

    shutkip Member

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    With a > 5 ERA :eek:
     

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