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Pentagon's Defense Science Board Report

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout: Debate & Discussion' started by Chump, Dec 7, 2004.

  1. Chump

    Chump Member

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    For the many of us opposed to US Policy in Iraq from the beginning, this report will bring no surprises - as what is happening is bascially what I feared and thought would be the results of our invasion

    I post this report in the continuing hope that it will open some eyes and encourage critical thinking about the affects of US policy on other people and invoke some empathy.


    http://www.acq.osd.mil/dsb/reports/2004-09-Strategic_Communication.pdf

    Opinion surveys conducted by Zogby International, the Pew Research Center, Gallup (CNN/USA Today), and the Department of State (INR) reveal widespread animosity toward the United States and its policies. A year and a half after going to war in Iraq, Arab/Muslim anger has intensified. Data from Zogby International in July 2004, for example, show that the U.S. is viewed unfavorably by overwhelming majorities in Egypt (98 percent), Saudi Arabia (94 percent), Morocco (88 percent), and Jordan (78 percent). The war has increased mistrust of America in Europe, weakened support for the war on terrorism, and undermined U.S. credibility worldwide. Media commentary is consistent with polling data. In a State Department (INR) survey of editorials and op-eds in 72 countries, 82.5% of commentaries were negative, 17.5% positive.

    Negative attitudes and the conditions that create them are the underlying sources of threats to America's national security and reduced ability to leverage diplomatic opportunities. Terrorism, thin coalitions, harmful effects on business, restrictions on travel, declines in cross border tourism and education flows, and damaging consequences for other elements of U.S. soft power are tactical manifestations of a pervasive atmosphere of hostility.

    Although many observers correlate anti-Americanism with deficiencies in U.S. public diplomacy (its content, tone, and competence), the effectiveness of the means used to influence public opinion is only one metric. Policies, conflicts of interest, cultural differences, memories, time, dependence on mediated information, and other factors shape perceptions and limit the effectiveness of strategic communication [...]

    There is consensus in these reports that U.S. public diplomacy is in crisis. Missing are strong leadership, strategic direction, adequate coordination, sufficient resources, and a culture of measurement and evaluation. America's image problem, many suggest, is linked to perceptions of the United States as arrogant, hypocritical, and self-indulgent. There is agreement too that public diplomacy could be a powerful asset with stronger Presidential leadership, Congressional support, inter-agency coordination, partnership with the private sector, and resources (people, tools, structures, programs, funding). Solutions lie not in short term, manipulative public relations. Results will depend on fundamental transformation of strategic communication instruments and a sustained long term, approach at the level of ideas, cultures, and values.

    The number and depth of these reports indicate widespread concern among influential observers that something must be done about public diplomacy. But so far these concerns have produced no real change. The White House has paid little attention.

    We call it a war on terrorism, but Muslims in contrast see a history-shaking movement of Islamic restoration. This is not simply a religious revival, however, but also a renewal of the Muslim World itself. And it has taken form through many variant movements, both moderate and militant, with many millions of adherents, of which radical fighters are only a small part. Moreover, these movements for restoration also represent, in their variant visions, the reality of multiple identities within Islam.

    If there is one overarching goal they share, it is the overthrow of what Islamists call the "apostate" regimes: the tyrannies of Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Pakistan, Jordan, and the Gulf states. They are the main target of the broader Islamist movement, as well as the actual fighter groups. The United States finds itself in the strategically awkward -- and potentially dangerous -- situation of being the longstanding prop and alliance partner of these authoritarian regimes. Without the U.S. these regimes could not survive. Thus the U.S. has strongly taken sides in a desperate struggle that is both broadly cast for all Muslims and country-specific.

    This is the larger strategic context, and it is acutely uncomfortable: U.S. policies and actions are increasingly seen by the overwhelming majority of Muslims as a threat to the survival of Islam itself.

    American direct intervention in the Muslim World has paradoxically elevated the stature of and support for radical Islamists, while diminishing support for the United States to single-digits in some Arab societies.

    Muslims do not "hate our freedom," but rather, they hate our policies. The overwhelming majority voice their objections to what they see as one-sided support in favor of Israel and against Palestinian rights, and the longstanding, even increasing support for what Muslims collectively see as tyrannies, most notably Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Pakistan, and the Gulf states.

    Thus when American public diplomacy talks about bringing democracy to Islamic societies, this is seen as no more than self-serving hypocrisy. Moreover, saying that "freedom is the future of the Middle East" is seen as patronizing, suggesting that Arabs are like the enslaved peoples of the old Communist World -- but Muslims do not feel this way: they feel oppressed, but not enslaved.

    Furthermore, in the eyes of Muslims, American occupation of Afghanistan and Iraq has not led to democracy there, but only more chaos and suffering. U.S. actions appear in contrast to be motivated by ulterior motives, and deliberately controlled in order to best serve American national interests at the expense of truly Muslim selfdetermination.

    Therefore, the dramatic narrative since 9/11 has essentially borne out the entire radical Islamist bill of particulars. American actions and the flow of events have elevated the authority of the Jihadi insurgents and tended to ratify their legitimacy among Muslims. Fighting groups portray themselves as the true defenders of an Ummah (the entire Muslim community) invaded and under attack -- to broad public support.

    What was a marginal network is now an Ummah-wide movement of fighting groups. Not only has there been a proliferation of "terrorist" groups: the unifying context of a shared cause creates a sense of affiliation across the many cultural and sectarian boundaries that divide Islam.

    The information campaign -- or as some still would have it, "the war of ideas," or the struggle for "hearts and minds" -- is important to every war effort. In this war it is an essential objective, because the larger goals of U.S. strategy depend on separating the vast majority of non-violent Muslims from the radical-militant Islamist-Jihadists. But American efforts have not only failed in this respect: they may also have achieved the opposite of what they intended.
     
  2. HayesStreet

    HayesStreet Member

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    Since Afghanistan is a co-factor it seems spurious to claim Iraq as the cause of this increase in anti-americanism. It also brings to the forefront the question of whether Islam itself (at least in its manifestation in the middle east/subcontinent) IS compatible with freedom. It certainly is catchy to say its not 'freedom' that they hate, but that is the effect in the places where radical islam takes hold.
     
  3. Mango

    Mango Member

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    I am unsure if anybody has the <i>solution</i> of how to integrate the Islamic countries into the rest of the world. Events/actions pre 9-11-2001 don't seem to have been very successful.

    <hr color=green>

    OK..............

    What actions by other countries have aided the Muslim World (particularly the Middle East) in the improvement of the political situation (democracy & similar), respect for human rights, etc? If U.S. policy is faulty, then what country (or GO) would be the role model to follow?
    <hr color=green>

    So many successes in U.S. Foreign Policy over the decades such as:

    * Berlin Airlift

    * Marshall Plan

    * North Korea - South Korea

    * Getting Japan back on its feet (post WW II)

    * NATO during the Cold War

    etc

    It seems that events such as those have raised expectations for success in the ME. Is it possible that the reluctance of some in the Muslim World to join the Modern World and have a degree of acceptance for others is a definite impediment to changing the situation ( using diplomacy)? I realize there is a spinoff question:

    <i>Should the Western World try to integrate the Muslim World (particularly the ME) into the Modern World?</i> With the human contacts and hydrocarbon demand that have created a linkage with countries such as Saudi Arabia.........it would be quite difficult for things to go in reverse and the <i>door</i> to be closed between the Western World and the ME. With the changes in Afghanistan over the past several years, it would be difficult to disengage now.
    <hr color=green>


    With the founding of the Muslim Brotherhood (Egypt) in the 1920's and the activities of the Ikhwan (Saudi Arabia) slightly earlier than that, the struggles in this <i>Islamic Restoration</i> have defintely started years ago.

    The report never seems to address what the goals of the <i>Islamic Restoration</i> are supposed to be. Bin Laden has mentioned Andalusia and most people (Western viewpoint) would consider
    restoring that situation as absurd. If it is the intolerance, rejection & isolation of other religions/viewpoints that extreme Wahhabism subscribes to, then the precludes much interaction (if any) with the Western World and would hold/restrict/r****d what most in the Modern World would regard as progress.
    <hr color=green>


    A strange grouping of countries because <i>apostate</i> roughly means someone who has fallen away from their religion or other faith. Saudi Arabia is quite conservative and for the <i>Islamists</i> to install governments/laws/social customs/business policies etc even more conservative could be a troubling element for other parts of the world.

    Jordan, Egypt and the Gulf States have some part of the populations with strong religious leanings, but not nearly to the degree of Saudi Arabi and could be considered <i>apostates</i> by extreme <i>Islamists</i>

    Pakistan has a very small minority Christian, Hindu and other populattion that is threatened and sometimes attacked by those of strong religious feelings. I would view Pakistan as in the middle between Saudi Arabia and the other countries mentioned in regards to being an apostate.


    Iran (Shia) isn't mentioned and if the word <i>Islamists</i> is code for Radical Sunni Islam, then it seems that Iran should be mentioned. The Gulf States are tyrannies and Iran isn't?


    Any reason why Syria was not mentioned?
    <i>The Assad Dynasty</i> isn't known to be very friendly to Sunni Islam.

    If Jordan is lumped in as part of the group of tyrannies, then it seems that Syria should definitely make the list.



    In regards to the (above mentioned) governments lacking the ability to survive if the U.S. didn't have some type of tolerance for them................it is a puzzling statement. What exactly is the U.S. doing to keep Musharraf (Pakistan), Mubarak (Egypt), Gulf States leaders, King Abdullah (Jordan), Saud Dynasty (Saudi Arabia) in power?

    There are some people in Syria that strongly dislike the Assad Dynasty and the U.S. isn't mentioned as friendly to Syria, yet the political situation stays the same.

    There are some people in Iran that dislike the rule by the Religious leaders, yet that situation doesn't change. The U.S. hasn't been too thrilled with the political situation in Iran for several decades.

    <hr color=green>

    What exactly has the rest of the world been doing for change in the Islamic countries (particularly the ME and Afghanistan)? Is the report implying that actions prior to 9-11-2001 were satisfactory?

    <hr color=green>

    There seems to be a thaw in diplomatic relations between Israel, Egypt and the Palestinian leadership (Post Arafat). We can only hope for the best. If things eventually are agreed upon a variation of the 1967 borders, then the Arab World will have <i>won</i> for the Palestinians what it already had in 1967.............

    <b>Right of Return</b> issue:
    As long as Arafat had people parading around and rattling keys, it cast <b>serious doubts</b> on his sincerity to <i>cutting a deal</i> with Israel.



    The U.S. support for Pakistan has ebbed and flowed over the decades. I think there was an incident in which Pres Clinton avoided meeting Musharraf after the '99 Coup, but I don't recall any efforts by the U.S. to change that political situation. Not sure how the U.S. would even attempt to do that and keep the <i>Islamists</i> happy.

    Is the U.S. supposed to put Benazir or Nawaz in power? Neither of those would be satisfactory to the Islamists.


    Egypt, Jordan..........Didn't the British & French decide the politcal realities in the ME (post WW I)? Still find it strange to consider Jordan a part of the <i>tyrannies</i> when Syria & Iran failed to make the list.



    Struggle for Democracy -- Iraq & Afghanistan
    Perhaps it is because there are some <i>Islamists</i> that aren't interested in helping it grow and are working hard to prevent it?

    <hr color=green>



    An <i>Islamic Restoration</i> was mentioned earlier in this article, yet I fail to see how it is substantially different than earlier Extreme Islamic movements that preceeded the U.S. as a world power.
     

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