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Peggy Noonan: Sins of omission and the 9/11 commission

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout: Debate & Discussion' started by basso, Mar 25, 2004.

  1. basso

    basso Member
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    I thought this essay was important enough to merit it's own thread, particularly the part about leadership, and the willingness to do what's necessary, however unpopular, to protect the american people. we know bush will risk his poll numbers to take a principled stand. would kerry?

    http://www.opinionjournal.com/columnists/pnoonan/?id=110004864

    --
    PEGGY NOONAN
    Hearings Won't Make Us Safe
    Sins of omission and the 9/11 commission.

    At this week's 9/11 hearings, the much-anticipated finger pointing between Democrats and Republicans did not really occur. There was partisan jockeying and sniping, but in general a certain politesse prevailed--Madeleine Albright understands the position Colin Powell was in, Mr. Powell understands the forces at work as Ms. Albright's State Department wrestled with a proportional response to actionable intelligence.

    At first I was surprised, then relieved--a partisan dogfight would only inspire America's foes. But two days in I wondered if the central dynamic of the hearings didn't come down, simply, to this: Government takes care of government. People in government who've achieved a certain position in foreign affairs tend to treat gingerly people in government who've achieved a certain position in foreign affairs. They are on the same social circuit, have experienced similar pressures and stresses, have read similar data, talk to the same journalists. They belong to a brotherhood, and at the hearings you could tell. (An uneasy brotherhood, though: It was hard not to find yourself wondering, as you watched the testimony, if a lot of these people didn't have something on each other.)

    Everyone seemed distressingly reasonable. The testifiers all offered long and understandable stories as to why they took the decisions they took, or didn't take decisions, or couldn't possibly have taken them. About halfway through Sandy Berger's testimony I remembered the words of the film director Jean Renoir: "The terrible thing about life is that everyone has his reasons."

    The hearings did no damage to common-sense assumptions about 9/11. Common sense suggests that those who led the nation for eight years before 9/11 bear greater responsibility than those who led the nation for less than eight months. Nothing in the hearings disturbed that notion. In fact, I thought Ms. Albright's testimony tended to underscore it. She spoke of the "megashock" of 9/11 and repeatedly suggested there was no political will on the part of the American people before that date to attack the Taliban or invade Afghanistan.

    She's right. There was no movement among voters to take out Al Qaeda. Most people didn't know what al Qaeda was. But that of course is where leadership comes in.

    One summer day in the late 1990s I had a long talk with an elected official who was a friend and longtime political supporter of President Clinton. I asked him why, if Bill Clinton cared so much about his legacy, he didn't take steps to make America safer from terrorism. Why didn't he make it one of his big issues? We were at lunch in a New York restaurant, and I gestured toward the tables of happy people drinking golden-colored wine in gleaming glasses. They're all going to get sick when we get nuked, I said; they'd honor your guy for having warned and prepared.

    Yes, the official said, but you have to understand that Clinton is purely a poll driven politician, and if the numbers aren't there he won't move.

    Too bad, I thought, because the numbers will someday be there.

    The lunch was off the record, and I appreciated the official's candor; he didn't try to spin me. I wasn't shocked by what he said--Mr. Clinton was a poll driven animal. But you didn't have to be psychic to know bad things were coming; you only had to be watching the world. I found myself marveling at Mr. Clinton's thinking, which in the short term was savvy and in the long term spoke of a kind of moral r****dation.

    It is not the job of a president to say, "I'd like to do what's necessary to protect our country, but the people won't understand it or appreciate it." It is the job of a president to say, "I have to do what is necessary to protect our country, and so I'll try to persuade the people as to the rightness of my thinking. But if it comes to that I'll do what's needed and pay the price."

    Mr. Clinton did not do that. He did not attempt to rouse the American people.

    Abraham Lincoln once said that public opinion is everything. Lincoln, however, did not sit around musing that he'd like to abolish slavery but the people don't want it, or that he'd like to hold the country together but voters don't like body bags, and anyway what's the exit strategy? (In fact Lincoln, in his war, had an exit strategy: Kill them until they give up, then leave.) Lincoln tried to form public opinion. He spoke to people. He persuaded.

    Ronald Reagan had his head kicked in every day for taking steps he actually believed were right, such as helping the Nicaraguan democrats against the communist Sandinistas. He paid the price, enduring cries of "warmonger" and "cowboy." But in the end the Sandinistas were vanquished and democracy came, and something like peace.

    Mr. Clinton never wanted to pay the price. He wanted to be popular. And so he campaigned hard on child safety seats and midnight basketball. Baby issues.

    Why did the government fail to see 9/11 coming? Some individuals did--writers, thinkers, military experts. But those we elected, and those they appointed, by and large did not. Why?

    This is the great question. The hearings did not answer it.

    It was a failure of imagination, a failure to envision that a terrible thing could happen, that a particular terrorist group meant to do what it said it would do. There was a sunny and empty-headed assumption that America would stay lucky; after all, we'd been lucky since terrorists hit the World Trade Center in 1993, and that wasn't so bad--just a handful killed. It was a failure to take our enemies seriously. All of us each day have so much we want to do, but the terrorists each day wanted to do one thing: get America. That was an advantage. There was a pass-the-buck mentality that prevails in government, with everyone quick to go on record warning of a threat and then letting the warning itself act as a replacement for action.

    And to make it all worse we had, from 1993 to 2001, an essentially unserious president who had no clue what to do with the power he had accrued, or even the popularity, and who squandered both in a need for personal drama and trauma. He had eight solid years to move, but he did not do the hard things he had to do. He left it for the next guy.

    The hearings should not have been held, for one reason: Our country at this moment in history should not be focusing time and attention on who made mistakes and why and when. Not that these things don't matter; they do, desperately, and history will be full of the story. But we have a war to fight, a country to protect, and that is what should have precedence. As government officials last week rehearsed their testimony the enemy was planning new horrors for Americans to endure. Right now we should be preparing--taking protective action in our ports and around our nuclear facilities, at our borders, etc. American officials should not be busy testifying; they should be busy making sure every citizen has a CBN suit, a regulation gas mask and data on how to recognize and respond to a chemical, biological or nuclear incident.

    The most pressing thing at the moment is making America safer. Instead, our officials are otherwise engaged. As they were before 9/11.

    Ms. Noonan is a contributing editor of The Wall Street Journal and author of "A Heart, a Cross, and a Flag" (Wall Street Journal Books/Simon & Schuster), a collection of post-Sept. 11 columns, which you can buy from the OpinionJournal bookstore. Her column appears Thursdays.
     
  2. SamFisher

    SamFisher Member

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    Not that it has much bearing on Kerry and Bush issues, but to turn to the "Clinton did nothing on terror" allegations for a second..

    Rather than just focusing on what active coutner terror strategies that Clinton did or didn't implement, one of the things that is left out by critics and boosters are Clinton's efforts (which were substantial) to broker an Palestinian-Israeli solution.

    There appears to be a fairly broad based consensus among most Middle-East scholars & experts that the Palestinian question lies at the base of Islamic rage against the US & the West and some sort of acceptable resolution thereof is pretty much a pre-requisite to defusing the situation. Not so much in stopping specific terrorists and terrorists groups but by making Arabs in general less sympathetic to their causes and hence affecting their economic and political lifelines.

    Clinton's efforts in that regard, though ultimately unsuccessful, were more expansive than any of his predecessors, with the possible exception of Carter, before or since.
     
  3. basso

    basso Member
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    agreed, and he should get credit for that. the fact he wasn't successful though, with all the effort expended, might suggest the need to take a different tack, and as bush has tried to do, "fundamentally alter the equation in the middle east." it's much too soon to judge the success of that effort.
     
  4. GladiatoRowdy

    GladiatoRowdy Member

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    But it is a perfect time to evaluate the actions that Bush took to get the support of the American people. Massaging "intelligence" and cherry picking data contained in intelligence reports is not the right way to go about drumming up support for a war. Support for war should be based on honest, reliable intelligence that has been corroborated by more than just the people who have a vested interest in the war.

    According to Bush and Co., the ends justify the means, but to many of us, the means were dishonest and lacked any measure of the "integrity" that Bush claimed he would bring to the White House. No ends are important enough to justify THESE means.
     
  5. basso

    basso Member
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    so the process by which we deposed a murderous genocidal tyrant is more important than the fact he's gone and no longer a threat to his people, the region, and the rest of the world?
     
  6. FranchiseBlade

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    I'm glad that Clinton can do nothing foil the LAX plot, capture the people who attacked WTC in '93, prosecute them and see them locked away, and include anti-terror measures in crime bills as well as increase spending to fight terrorism, start a panel that came up with a plan to send special forces on the ground into Afghanistan to go after Al Qaeda, etc.

    As for Bush doing what's necessary, It seems obvious at this point that Iraq was far from necessary.
     
  7. B-Bob

    B-Bob "94-year-old self-described dreamer"
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    I thought the first four paragraphs were interesting. I mean that.

    And then we get the same old tired partisan Clinton as antichrist routine. (yawn).

    But thanks for those four grafs.
     
  8. GladiatoRowdy

    GladiatoRowdy Member

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    YES, OF COURSE!

    If we lie and distort intelligence to invade another soverign nation, then we are no better than Saddam was when he invaded Kuwait.
     
  9. No Worries

    No Worries Member

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    we are no better than Saddam

    Sure, we are better. We won and will get to write the history.
     
  10. giddyup

    giddyup Member

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    I know where you're trying to get with this, but ....... geez!

    Did Saddam have any reason whatsoever to invade Kuwait other than his personal gain? Did we have any justifiable reasons to topple Saddam?

    Saddam intended to keep Kuwait. Are you saying that the US intends to keep Iraq?
     
  11. mc mark

    mc mark Member

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    We're building 14 permanent military bases there and that's just a start.

    What do you think?
     
  12. basso

    basso Member
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    my gawd, do you really think there's no difference? do you really think, after defying umpteen un resolutions, killing hundreds of thousands of his countrymen, serially invading his neighbors, sending payments to palestinian "martyrs" and their families, giving refuge to abu nidal, abu abbas, and the WTC '93 bombmaker, that saddam's itaq has the same presumption of sovereignity as, say, denmark? if so, then the word has lost all meaning...
     
  13. Oski2005

    Oski2005 Member

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    Since you have so much sympathy for the suffering of the Iraqi people, why don't you start some threads demanding that we invade other countries where tyrants similar to Saddam are doing the same thing to their people?


    You can keep mentioning that and act like the only motivation for going into Iraq was to help people, but you can't change the recorded history that was filled with talk of WMD's. Facts are facts and we were told that Iraq was a threat to the safety of the United States. Turns out that wasn't true and all the advice given to the Administration was counter to all the talk of impending danger that came from them. Now comes the part where you spin all of what I just talked about.
     
  14. basso

    basso Member
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    not at all, the real justification for the iraq war WMD and the unacceptable possibility, in the wake of 9/11, that they might give them to terrorists. the fact WMD have not been found is irksome, but ultimately has no bearing on the case for war. we know iraq had WMD. how and when they got rid of them is the real question, and no one, not richard clarke, not john kerry, not hans bix, not david kaye, not andymoon, not saddam himself has come up with a plausible explanation for why they're not there. we simply do not know. i find this uncertainty as troubling as the earlier thought they were in baghdad. did saddam give them to al queda? were they spirited across the broder to iran or syria? all of us should be ill at ease until we find out, unless you subscribe to the ostrich brigade's view that they never existed.
     
  15. FranchiseBlade

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    Actually David Kaye and others have given explanations as to how the WMD were gotten rid of.

    1. Some destruction in GW 1.

    2. Much eliminated with the inspectors prior to their removal in '98

    3. Some destroyed with Clinton's attacks in '98
     
  16. No Worries

    No Worries Member

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    the fact WMD have not been found is irksome,

    GWB has dreams of WMDs dancing through his head. That has to count for something!
     
  17. Sishir Chang

    Sishir Chang Member

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    Wake up and smell the spin.

    GW Bush's willingness to do the unpopular thing to protect the American people or any other principled stand is questionable.

    The invasion of Afghanistan, a political no brainer, there would've been rioting in the streets if that hadn't happened.

    The invasion of Iraq though in spite of what we read on these forums up til this fall did have the support of most Americans. While it was a divisive issue the Admin knew that they could count on a core of about 40% that would support them no matter what and then by playing on fears about 9/11, mushroom clouds and etc. they could easily garner enough support to get a solid majority.

    We also have to look at the timing of the Iraq situation. Everyone knew since 1991 that Saddam was a very bad man and nearly everyone thought he still had WMD. Prior to the 2002 State of the Union Address the GW Bush Admin had not made a big deal out of Saddam publicly and even after that the Admin didn't get serious about a possible invasion until the fall of 2002. If Saddam was such a threat why wait until then? We could've pressed the overthrow of Saddam in the springof 2002 or even attacked him in the winter of 2001-2002. Or why not wait to attack him later and give the Admin more time to work on refuseniks like France, Germany and Russia?

    What we did see though was right at the start of the traditional campaign season, Labor Day, a sudden push for a Congressional vote, pressure on the UN and a buildup of forces in the theatre. We also saw a Senate narrowly controlled by Dems. a House narrowly controlled by Repubs and Congressional elections that could swing either way. The vote for the Iraq resolution was called for close to the election, unlike the '91 war when the first Bush and Congress decided it was of such importance that it should be cast after the 90 Congressional elections. Repubs then use the issue to relentlessly hammer away at Dems calling those who voted against it traitors and the Dem party as a whole putting Americans lives at risk.

    In other words rather than being a conscientious decision to make an unpopular decision for the safety of Americans the Iraq issues becomes a wedge issue for Repub candidates. The result the Repubs recapture the Senate and shore up their House Majority.

    The buildup continues and once troops are engaged support for the war rises taking GW Bush's approval ratings to an all time high. In the meantime GW Bush collects good photo ops on May 1st, 2003 while also vowing not to repeat the mistakes of his father by both not letting the issue of Iraq slip the public mind and developing a domestic agenda.

    Flash forward to January 2004. Things in Iraq are not going well. US soldiers are still dying long after the regime has falllen, civillians and other Iraqis are being killed and leading Shiite clerics are opposing the US installed authority and GW Bush's approval ratings are dropping in the face of withering Dem attacks. In a sudden surprise move the Admin says that sovereignity will be handed over to the Iraqis on June 30th 2004 after long refusing to name a timetable for handover. The swiftness of the date is important because previously the Admin had been preaching patience regarding Iraq and had been saying that a handover might be years away and would require stability. So the Admin announces this rapid plan even though everyone acknowledges Iraq is still a long way from being stable and secure. Further many even in the Admin acknowledge that an unstable unsecure Iraq will be very detrimental to US interests.

    Looking at this politically this will allow the Admin to say that they accomplished their mission of liberating the Iraqi people well ahead of the 2004 election. That way throughout the fall of 2004 they can still say Mission Accomplished on Iraq while distancing themselves from any possible fallout of problems that may occur after handover since that will be the responsibilities of the Iraqis. What is unknown is what could happen in Iraq after a handover occurs. There is the real potential of an Iraqi civil war and in ensuing chaos Al Qaeda taking could take advantage of that like they did in Afghanistan. That is a very frightening one to the US but the Admin is pressing ahead with the handover anyway.

    So if you look at the timeline of events it seems not only possible that partisan political advantage was sought from the Iraq issue. With the speed and the timing of the handover there is also a very real possibility that the GW Bush Admin is gambling with US security in order to rid themselves of a major headache well before the 2004 elections.
     
  18. GladiatoRowdy

    GladiatoRowdy Member

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    The biggest difference is that Saddam did not have to lie in order to drum up support for his war as he already had complete control of his country.

    GWB and his crew misled the American people to drum up their support for this action since it was clear that the "humanitarian" reasons were not enough for Americans to want to topple Hussein.

    For which they were being sanctioned already. In addition, the UN was doing their part to see that the resolutions were upheld including performing the weapons inspections. If there was a cause for war based on the UN resolutions, the UN would have supported this action and we would not have had to kick the weapons inspectors out to invade.

    We are the ones that broke the cease-fire agreement, not Saddam. He had allowed the inspectors back in and had also offered to allow 2000 CIA and FBI agents to comb his country (all of it) for WMDs. It was up to the UN to find Saddam in breach of the resolution, not us.

    With WMDs that the United States sold him. BTW, all of this happened while we still supported Saddam in the '80s. This did not qualify for a reason to invade his country because if it did, we should have invaded BEFORE GWI.

    I think it has to be more than 2 invasions to warrant the discription of "serially invading." Even so, we supported the war against Iran and sold weapons to Saddam so that he could pursue that war. There was a good reason to take action after he took over Kuwait, but GHWB built a large coalition of partners willing to devote troops and cash to the effort and we kicked him out of Kuwait.

    Again, no good reasons to invade.

    Give me a break. Saddam quashed all of the Islamic fundamentalism there was in his country, making it very difficult for terrorists there. Even if he knew that there were terrorists living in Iraq (which I am not convinced that he did), it does not rise to the level of invasion. Are you really saying we should have invaded because there were 3 suspected terrorists living in Iraq?

    If that is the case, we should have invaded Saudi Arabia instead. Bin Laden's entire family lives there and I would suspect that so do more than a few terrorists.

    sovereign - adj - 1 - Self-governing; independent: a sovereign state.

    dictionary.com, dude. That is the definition of sovereign and by that definition, Iraq was a sovereign state until we invaded.
     
  19. GladiatoRowdy

    GladiatoRowdy Member

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    A threat that the CIA rated as nearly nonexistant because Saddam did not want the US to invade again. This point was disproven before the war even.

    A question that could have been answered just as eisily by taking Saddam up on his offer to have 2000 CIA and FBI agents comb his country. WMDs were THE ONLY case for war as far as I was concerned, given that I didn't support the invasion of Iraq until Cheney went on Meet the Press and started talking about mushroom clouds. WMDs were the only case for war for a lot of people, seeing as how the public's support for the war didn't materialize until administration officials started making the rounds crowing about WMDs every chance they got.

    If I remember correctly, the NIE report (David Kay's report) specifically said that the chemicals detailed would have expired at least 5 years before the invasion. We knew that before we invaded, the UN inspectors were aware of it, but the administration just kept on talking about the "massive stockpile" of weapons that we were aware had expired. In order for there to have been active weapons, there would have had to be an active program to keep the stocks fresh. That obviously was not the case.

    IOW, we invaded because Saddam's regime neglected to fill out the proper paperwork.

    They existed and expired, per the NIE report.

    Look at the facts for once instead of listening to the talking heads, Lord Ostrich in Charge.
     

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