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On/Off +/- Numbers for OKC-HOU series

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by durvasa, May 4, 2013.

  1. durvasa

    durvasa Member

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    The numbers in parentheses is minutes for when player was on the court or off the court. Of course to put these numbers in the proper context, keep in mind who each player was playing with and against and the game situations in which they were on the floor.

                  On             Off         Net
    Harden:     -1.8 (200)   -20.4 (40)    +18.6
    Parsons:    -2.3 (191)   -14.7 (49)    +12.4
    Asik:       +2.1 (167)   -19.1 (73)    +21.2
    Beverley:   +0.9 (167)   -17.6 (73)    +18.5
    Garcia:     +0.1 (128)   -10.1 (112)   +10.2
    Delfino:   -14.2 (120)    +4.7 (120)   -18.9
    Lin:       -30.9 (70)     +6.7 (170)   -37.6
    Brooks:    +11.1 (57)     -9.6 (183)   +20.7
    Smith:     -43.7 (52)     +6.7 (188)   -50.4
    Jones:      -2.8 (35)     -5.1 (205)    +2.3

                  On             Off         Net
    Durant:     +5.4 (213)    -0.2 (27)     +5.6
    Sefolosha:  -0.4 (168)   +17.5 (72)    -17.9
    Ibaka:      +1.8 (162)   +10.5 (78)     -8.7
    Jackson:    -1.4 (135)   +12.7 (105)   -14.1
    Martin:     +4.5 (134)    +5.1 (106)    -0.6
    Fisher:    +12.7 (100)    -1.0 (140)   +13.7
    Perkins:    +5.2 (89)     +4.5 (151)    +0.7
    Collison:  +20.6 (68)     -1.5 (151)   +22.1
    Westbrook: +22.9 (68)     -2.8 (172)   +25.7
    Liggins:    -5.4 (46)     +7.2 (194)   -12.6
     
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  2. BigggReddd

    BigggReddd Member

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    haha at Lin's
     
  3. Air Langhi

    Air Langhi Contributing Member

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    Why are there decimals. Are they averaged?
     
  4. Pull_Up_3

    Pull_Up_3 Member

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    lold hard at smith

    Asik was our MVP
     
  5. BigggReddd

    BigggReddd Member

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    And this also tells us Collison is a lot better than Smith
     
  6. durvasa

    durvasa Member

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    Yes, its point differential per 100 possessions.
     
  7. jayhow92

    jayhow92 Member

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    Smith was trash.
     
  8. napalm06

    napalm06 Huge Flopping Fan

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    MVP = Omer Asik.
     
  9. Fair Dinkum

    Fair Dinkum Member

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    Can someone explain to me why +/- numbers are useful?

    Isn't it just your team's score minus the other team's score when you're on the court?

    ex. I sub in and through no fault of my own, my teammate turns it over 3 times and the other team scores on fast breaks, then they make two miracle 3s (not my man). I get subbed out and I'm -12 through no fault of my own.

    Its such a flawed statistic.
     
  10. justtxyank

    justtxyank Member

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    This tells me what my eyes saw:

    Asik and Garcia were huge game changers when they were in in a positive way, Lin was terrible, and the biggest difference maker for OKC was Westbrook. Dude was so explosive it seemed impossible to guard him. Only person who slowed him down was himself, whereas Durant seemed truly bothered at times by Garcia.
     
  11. napalm06

    napalm06 Huge Flopping Fan

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    Its value is that it is a leading indicator. It evokes further consideration into what is happening on the court when a player is out there.
     
  12. durvasa

    durvasa Member

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    Yes. And maximizing your team's ability to outscore the other team when you're on the floor should be the objective of every player.

    Of course. Which is why one should take into account minutes played and who each player was playing with and against. Context matters. I tried to make that point in the first post.
     
  13. SuperStar

    SuperStar Member

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    Pretty much confirms what my eye test saw. Smith and Lin were beyond awful momentum killers when they were on the court.
     
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  14. tigernet

    tigernet Member

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    More accurate way to compare is to split current result into two parts: With Westbrook, Without Westbrook since he is a game changer.
     
  15. thething

    thething Member

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    It is no surprise Nick Collison is high on this list.

    He is always one of the tops in the league in this statistic. He deserves more minutes.
     
  16. roxallways

    roxallways Member

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    I'm not huge on +/- but I feel these accurately depict player impact in this series. Smith and Lin killed momentum every time they set foot on the court. Neither one of them had no business playing really after first couple of games unless it was garbage time. I feel Jones should have had Smith's minutes. Smith did nothing to warrant McHale to keep sending him out there.
     
  17. sirbaihu

    sirbaihu Member

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    Thanks for the data work!

    Fair Dinkum, the stat works better and better with larger sample sizes and six games is not a great sample. But, just as your example makes sense, it also makes sense that if you (for example) enter the game, commit two turnovers which lead to scores, then leave the game, your negative +/- will indeed offer useful info about your performance.
     
  18. Nice Rollin

    Nice Rollin Member

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    Greg smith can't play
     
  19. AXG

    AXG Member

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    Moral of the story, don't play Lin or Smith.
     
  20. Fair Dinkum

    Fair Dinkum Member

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    Please use PER and WS. They are far far more useful (but also not perfect).

    This is Houston after all with Morey and his team of MIT statisticians.

    Please STOP with this +/- nonsense when we base so many of our player evaluations on advanced stats.
     

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