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[NY Times Magazine] The Many Narratives of McCain 2008

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout: Debate & Discussion' started by aghast, Oct 22, 2008.

  1. aghast

    aghast Member

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    Something about chickens and hatching, but there's a devastating summary of the many narratives of the McCain campaign that reads like a political obituary, from the NY Times Magazine. As it details insider information, the McCain campaign must be leaking like a sieve, which means that the McCain advisors are all turning against each other, telling reporters why they should not be blamed for the potential loss.

    It's a history of the McCain campaign, separated by the ever-changing political narratives in play for the McCain campaign and the reasoning behind them. It argues that McCain has yet to stick to one over-arching political narrative upon which to hang his campaign.

    "The Making (and Remaking) of McCain":

    Good narrative: Bush campaign 2004
    Good narrative, Obama campaign 2008:
    Six competing narratives, McCain campaign 2008:
    Key paragraphs:

    On the night of her RNC speech:
    My question: which of these master narratives, by itself (or incorporating the subsidiary themes), do you think would have been most effective in branding John McCain 2008? I realize the election is not a foregone conclusion, but I don't think many would argue that McCain's campaign has been handled all that well.
     
  2. rimrocker

    rimrocker Member

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    The fact is America hates the Iraq War. Running on that alone would not have changed the outcome.

    The celebrity thing was just stupid because there was too much counter information about McCain's thirst for celebrity and nobody really thinks Obama acts like a celebrity.

    Hard to run against the party that screwed up Washington when you're the presidential nominee of that same party. The Country-first argument falls prey to the same dynamic.

    The tax thing was a stupid reach to an old and outdated playbook. The current economic news and Obama's early fusillade of ads to counter this anticipated argument made this one DOA.

    Obama was definitely vulnerable on experience and judgment, but McCain kept shooting himself in the foot with that one as well, first by making confusing statements about Sunni-Shia and other things, and then by picking Palin on a whim. He would have had to run an extremely smart and disciplined campaign to make this work in the current environment. Not likely, but possible. However, he didn't come close to running a smart and disciplined campaign, depending on people who read too many wingnut blogs and thought the path to victory led through either idiots or in recreating past races.

    [edit: I should add that the best thing he could have done was to take control of his own party and run his own race... however, he ceded too much power and decision-making to people he thought could gain him credibility with the base or people who had worked for Bush that he thought knew how to win elections.]
     
  3. BigBenito

    BigBenito Member

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    I forget where I read this...

    But he should have just gone with Obama's 'present' votes. Pushed hard that obama isn't willing to take chances/act/was an empty suite. They could have easily tied in the experience card/celebrity attacks as well.

    They could easily have done this long before Obama started pushing the calm vs. erratic meme.

    If McCain could have taken that stance, it changes the perspective on every incident in the election (biden, georgia, economy.)

    But, instead McCain hopped around like (checking fatty's thread) maggots when you fry them in hot grease.

    His campaign strategies hurt the way your tongue hurts after you accidentally staple it to the wall.
     
  4. subtomic

    subtomic Member

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    I think McCain could have made the "maverick" thing work better (even with Palin on the ticket) if he hadn't supported Bush's reelection in 2004. If he intended then to run for President in 2008, he should have stayed way, way in the background. He also should have been much more public (via interviews) about his disagreements (pre-surge Iraq strategy, torture) with the administration - maybe even to the point that when Americans saw him on TV, they would sigh and say 'there's McCain challenging the President again." However, assuming he didn't overexpose himself too much, he would have then set the stage to make a much more convincing "maverick"-focused campaign.

    Of course, that might also have meant that he'd lose support from the die-hard Republicans and he might not have even gotten the nomination. And for many Americans, they don't care that the surge is working - it's simply the fact that the war has gone on too long for their tastes. And for a multitude of reasons, the default (thought not accurate or nuanced) impression people have is that Democrats are against the war and Republicans are for it. So McCain is tied to Iraq the same way Bush is no matter how different his position is.
     
  5. aghast

    aghast Member

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    Yeah, I see the Palin choice as his undoing as well, especially on the experience front, and agree with your edit.

    I really like the opening to his latest ad:

    <object width="425" height="344"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/RfdBvJvNS2c&hl=en&fs=1"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/RfdBvJvNS2c&hl=en&fs=1" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowfullscreen="true" width="425" height="344"></embed></object>

    "The last eight years haven't worked very well, have they?"
    ["aw shucks" dung-eating grin]
    "I'll make the next four better."

    And by "really like," I mean it lacks all coherence.

    I think he squandered the one thing going for him at the beginning of the campaign in an otherwise off Republican year: an overwhelming press bias, in his favor. He shut off communication to his so-called "base," literally closing the curtain on them, and the campaign press stopped overlooking the many weak spots in his mavericky-plated armor. Then they became jilted lovers stuck on the same months-long road trip.

    e.g. Bizarre Time Interview
    Also, as a viable political slogan, which is better:
    or
    I like Benito's.
     
  6. aghast

    aghast Member

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    Yeah. I read somewhere (well-sourced article, but I forget the paper) that McCain was preparing to seek revenge on Bush in 2004, but after 9/11, realized he wouldn't have a chance, would be seemingly unpatriotic if he ran. He changed course, campaigning for him so that he could run with the institutional backing in 2008.

    As to your second point, I was amazed at how quickly the dominant media narrative went from "the surge is bringing down violence" to "we're winning in Iraq," without defining victory, soon after McCain adopted the same framing. I agree the public is largely against the war, but I think if he'd stayed with this narrative, and the press was compliant in spreading it, it might have proven more effective.
     
  7. pgabriel

    pgabriel Educated Negro

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    the funny thing is before mccain did anything irrational, before picking a running mate, before the "i'm suspending" my campaign, before he held any spotlight, obama broke the temperment argument out at the convention. it was risky because it could have been conceived as a personal attack, but mccain has played right into it.
     
  8. bnb

    bnb Member

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    There are lots of things McCain could have done to make him more palatable to people who wouldn't have voted for him anyways.

    I'm surprised he did as well as he did so far. Obama's a great candidate in his own right, has a three to one funding advantage, and McCain's dragging the legacy of 8 years of team Bush and a suffering economy to a tired 'base' and energized opposition.

    The tax and spend liberal tack may have had more traction -- especially with healthcare on the agenda -- but I think even a Bloomberg/Powell ticket running under the GOP banner would have been tromped by Sen Obama. Maybe not such an epic landslide -- but I think this election was always about Obama and not Sen McCain.

    I doubt there was anything McCain could have done to make pgabs, aghast or rimrocker actually cast a vote for him this year.
     
  9. rimrocker

    rimrocker Member

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    No way I would have voted for any Republican this year... but that doesn't mean McCain automatically loses. He did have a slim chance.
     
  10. ghettocheeze

    ghettocheeze Member

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    Everything went wrong with Bush and McCain supported him so naturally he is at a disadvantage. Now if the war was fine and dandy and economy was booming then freaking McCain would be a hero. He took these positions 4 years ago when everyone thought this war would be over soon. That's called politics, sometimes its pays off but at times it can also bite you in the rear end. Republicans cannot hide from the record of supporting this war but Democrats can easily flip-flop blaming faulty intelligence, Donald Rumsfeld, Collin Powell etc...a problem which doomed the last Democratic Presidential Nominee. Now 4 years later Obama comes in the picture as fresh guy with a clean slate no rap sheet on voting either way on the stuff that affects Americans today. Hypothetically if he were in the Senate back in 2003 and voted for this war like all of his party as it was the right thing to do at the time. what would be the outcome of Obama's campaign today? You can't design a campaign to go after this guy's political career cause he has none. No record for any major issue. In politics that man is called a "virgin" and a majority of Americans wish to make him the President.
     
  11. aghast

    aghast Member

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    Yeah, I think Obama was hoping that the media would dredge up what it had long overlooked, i.e. evidence of McCain's temper.

    Just found this, published in 1997:

    Washintonian article
    I'd read reported rumors of fisticuffs with Renzi, and telling colleagues to F--- themsleves, but I would pay PPV-level money to see McCain square off with Thurmond. The only winner: America.

    Speaking for myself, this is very likely true. Prior to this campaign, based on issues like immigration reform and McCain-Feingold, I had a higher opinion of McCain than just about any other Republican Senator not named Hagel or Chafee. This campaign soured me on him, though, definitely.

    However, if Obama had nominated a Palin equivalent, which in my mind is a terrific orator (as long as a teleprompter is pre-loaded) lacking in any relavent substance for the office, I could see myself voting for the McCain of 2000. Might be a longshot, but a distinct possibility.

    However, I've never been the target of the McCain campaign. There was very little to no chance that I would've voted for Bush in 2000 or 2004, given any mildly palatable alternative. And, personally, that's what happened. The country disagreed; I'm curious why the country doesn't seem to be disagreeing with me this time.
     
  12. aghast

    aghast Member

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    Agree in general with the notion of Obama's blanker slate. According to a recent PBS Frontline, Axelrod suggested Obama run in 2008 for this very reason, before he'd accumulated too lengthy of a Senate vote tally that might prove politically troublesome.

    However, I disagree factually with a few of your statements. McCain claimed the Iraq war would be easy/pay for itself, and though infrequently critical, never called for Rumsfeld's ouster, and added many caveats (e.g. there might not be enough troops / might not succeed) to cover himself if the surge did not pay off. Also, Obama spoke out against the Iraq war at a time when it was not expedient to do so, i.e. before the war started. Though Illinois was/is more liberal than the rest of the country, it was by no means the politically safe move, especially in that era of frenzied Toby Keith sing-a-longs. Obama was correct on this issue.

    If losing one's virginity requires acquiescing/advocating a disastrous war that has robbed us of blood and treasure, I'm gonna go with the virgin. May the next four years be that selfsame honeymoon.
     
  13. ghettocheeze

    ghettocheeze Member

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    You have taken my meaning of "virgin" completely wrong. In politics its referred to someone who never put his neck on the line on any issue because sooner or later everyone gets crushed for voting one way or the other. It has nothing to with voting for the war in Iraq. You alluded to the fact by quoting Axelrod and finally confirming my position on Obama's inexperience and willingness to play career politician first instead of focusing on bringing changes regardless of what office he holds. MLK the man who Obama so often quotes, brought change without demanding he be placed on a higher position in order to do so. Barrack Obama makes these promises and tells his story but demands that you empower him as President before he can do anything at all.

    Honestly, before Obama took the nomination, I was leaning towards the Dems and a moderate Democrat President would have done it for me but Barrack Obama in my view is a fraudulent politician running on a platform where his rhetoric overshadows his politics. The reason McCain and the Republican are still in this election is because Obama is a liberal extremist and that has a lot of people deeply troubled.
     
  14. aghast

    aghast Member

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    Seriously, if one wishes to bring about reform, is it better to be the CEO of a company or a picketer in the lobby? Or, more accurately, partner at a law firm or one of the 100 associates? Also, why does he need to aspire to be MLK, Jr.? MLK largely dealt with the civil rights struggle/poverty and, later, protested the Vietnam War, and many of the reforms he helped initiate were not realized until many years after his death. Good for the country, not so great for MLK. The president of the United States is far more effective in bringing about reform than a social crusader, and Obama is not pigeonholed into just being a civil rights advocate, or, for that matter, Cindy Sheehan.

    In terms of politcal and personal courage, again, Obama put his neck on the line by speaking out against the Iraq war when it was a minority opinion and not the best move politically (at a time when he had aspirations for national office). In response to the Wright snippets, Obama wrote and spoke about the racial divide in this nation in a way that could easily have backfired, rather than playing it safe and letting it blow over.

    "A More Perfect Union"

    What makes him fraudulent? Where do you find the discrepancies between rhetoric and his stated policies / record? I would like to know: how do you define liberal extremism? As a self-described liberal, I find Obama to be mildly center-left, more akin to Bill Clinton than, say, Paull Wellstone. Or Freddy Engels.
     
  15. FranchiseBlade

    Supporting Member

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    It seems like part of what you don't like about Obama is the change and working with others. It's been his mantra all along that there is more that unites us than divides us, and that he should and we should focus more on the common ground we have than on the divisive issues. So much of the legislation he's been behind was indeed welcomed by large majorities of people. That's his style of governance and has proved effective.

    That being said, he did stick his neck out a number of issues, including talking to car manufacturers in Michigan about increasing fuel efficiency standards. That isn't a popular position amongst that constituency, yet Obama said it directly to them when addressing them.

    Obama has already brought changes and he isn't in a position of power. His whole idea of uniting the country and lashing out against negative divisive campaigning has been effective, and seems to be working. It worked in the primaries, and political crowds at debates actually booed Hillary when she went on the attack, and gave her a standing O when she spoke nicely about her opponent. That was an amazing thing to see at a political debate in this day and age.

    McCain/Palin's negative campaigning hasn't been effective the way negative ads have been in the past, and we can hope that kind of change continues. Just look at the tone of Bachman and the reaction it's received. Obama's speech against a red state and blue state America in favor of a United States of America is coming to fruition. So the change has already started, and he isn't the President yet.
     
  16. ghettocheeze

    ghettocheeze Member

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    You bring up CEO as an example but Obama hasn't done anything at the company to deserve this promotion. He tells everyone about this change he is going to bring if elected Senator of Illinois and then after winning the seat goes under the radar for two years and raises no issues that might tarnish his image and voting record since he plans on securing the White House. This is the kind of stuff that got a buffoon like Bush elected in the first place. Now we are heading done the same path again with a guy playing career politician first over serious reformer. You heard the man's chief of staff in his own words tell you that they planned this whole thing from the start and wanted to avoid all conflicts so Obama slowly worked the system, greased his fellow politicians and rose to this level because he has brownie points with everyone in Washington. That in itself is fraudulent to the people who voted him as Senator and what we call in the lame term a sell out.
     
  17. aghast

    aghast Member

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    No sitting senator has been elected since JFK, because voting on the various amendments and alternate versions of bills has historically been spat back in a candidate's face. E.g., Kerry voted for it before against it (true, he voted for an alternate version of the bill). Or, Obama voted to cut off troop funding (misleading, as he preferred a funding bill with a timeline built in). That's why governors have largely been preferred. I do agree with your assessment of Bush, though; I would say his name recognition and, as cited in the article, extreme message discipline was the prime mover in his rapid ascent, though. Not the case with Obama.

    Actually, Axelrod wasn't quoted, but another source(s) attributed the sentiment to him. You can view the program here

    However, Tom Daschle was quoted similarly (I love that Republican efforts to beat Dem leader Daschle in '04 proved a pyrrhic victory, as Daschle's experienced staff became freshman Obama's experienced staff, and Daschle was able to serve as a mentor.)

    The idea was to strike while the iron was hot. It does no good to wait four or eight years if one is capable of achieving higher office now. Needed reforms shouldn't wait out of a misguided attempt to appear to defer to one's political elders. Look at Biden twenty years ago, or T. Kennedy. Once they missed their first shots, they didn't get another one for quite some time, or never. Or, conversely, look at Bobby Kennedy for the proof of this sentiment.

    To the larger point, I believe your view presents a mutually exclusive option. Either he's a liberal extremist, or, as evidenced by his first years in Congress (e.g. w/ Hagel loose nukes, Coburn-Obama to track federal spending), he's willing to work across the aisle to achieve the reforms he desires. Is Obama a sleeper cell liberal extremist, biding his time by pretending to be a moderate, who on some pre-determined day will let this liberal extremist mask slip? I don't comprehend this. Wouldn't he continue his "moderation" ploy as president, so that he could continue to achieve necessary reforms with Republican help and public approval (or, more likely, he is/was a moderate all along)? What you call gutless pandering, I call effective politicking, building consensus. Unless Democrats get to 60 in the Senate (fingers crossed), he's still going to need to govern with Republican aid. And even if the Senate goes filibuster-proof, that would likely only last two years, especially if Obama can be painted as governing too far to the left.

    I'm still curious to know what kind of moderate Democrat you would have liked this year. Biden? H. Clinton? Lieberman (I)?

    On the original topic, Republican strategist Mike Murphy (according to the article, oft-rumored to be brought into the McCain campaign), suggests a renewed McCain branding.

    Via Swampland:
     
  18. Old Man Rock

    Old Man Rock Contributing Member

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    Is there anyone besides a commited Obama supporter who reads NYT. I am not mocking but they are so far in the tank for Obama that they lost all credibility. They make Abc look like Fox News. CNN is the smartest news because they try to hold an occasional unbias story even they are clearly leftist. I can see how an Independent might be swayed by them.

    Anyway you won't hear this from NYT or MSM but there is a report that Obama ia citizen in America but his father may not be Barack Obama Sr. I won't post any links but if you go to the Gawker site there is a story on it. If you remember Gawker are the ones who posted all of Palins personal emails. They have posted info about nude pics and say it is all bogus. The only thing is Gawker desn't usually post stuff about bogus Obama stuff that is most likely false.
     
  19. aghast

    aghast Member

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    The same paper, not the magazine, that just front paged an article on Obama-Ayers connection, that's been quoted frequently? The same paper that fronted the Wright issue in several articles? The editorial board is for Obama, sure. David Brooks & Bill Kristol aren't exactly DNC delegates, however. The same paper that cheerleaded us into a disastrous war, thanks to Judith Miller & Curveball? It's a red herring to blame the paper as leftist. It's still, on balance, the best national daily, and with the Washington Post drives the news discussion, both "leftist" and Fox News/Rush.

    Gawker has credibility, on any issue? How is this related, unless you believe it's a McCain campaign plant?
     
  20. Old Man Rock

    Old Man Rock Contributing Member

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    It's not really but I also felt it wasn't worthy of it's on thread. Still there are some serious implications about Obama's citizenship that are being challenged in the federal courts and there is no mention of it anywhere. I don't know if it is true or not but I just thought somebody might make an attempt to report it. It is in the Daily KOS as well. They are disputing it. But what I find interesting is that it has only been reported in some right wing blogs and normally they don't get responded to.
     

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