I dont think 48 wins can get a playoff spot with the way all the teams above us have been playing. We need some teams to get decimated by injuries.
1. Thanks for the post. 2. That's scary, because I would predict about one less win than you per month, which would put us at 45 wins. 3. Thanks for the link. Yes, we definitely have had a hard schedule, for those of us interested in stats! Bad news for San Antonio and Phoenix, they're at 22 and 29 respectively, in terms of difficulty, with an under-.500 schedule so far. A lot of our competition have had over-.500 schedules too. The schedule might not give us that much room to gain on most of them. When we play these teams ahead of us, we have to beat them, or it will really damage our effort to gain on them.
Eh, there is no way that 48 wins keeps us out of the postseason. It wont get a seed any higher than number 6, but it will get a postseason bid. Meanwhile, .500 in the East gets you home court in the first round.
Also remember that toughness of schedule does not even out for the teams. It is uneven at the end of the year, because no team schedule is identical. We play some of the top teams the most often: San Antonio, Dallas, New Orleans. We play teams with better records than us. But San Antonio doesn't have to play San Antonio. Within a conference and a division, winning teams have a relatively easier schedule than losing teams. I think our schedule difficulty offers less hope for advantage than just counting the wins, game by game. It's all about winning games.
Well, at the end of the year there is a minor difference, but it will even up. No not totally, but it will. Is there an elite team we have not faced yet?? There are still some teams that havent played all the elite teams.
i respect your post...hoepfully thats the number of wins we get or more i think we have a chance to break 50 games this year...i believe
Once the west stop playing the East so much, they going to start playing each other and someone going to lose every night. I think 45-46 wins will get you in.
I dont care how many wins we get, as long as we get the 5th seed and play the NW divison winner which is likely the Nuggets or Portland.
I think 48 is realistic. We've already played 3 against the Mavs, 2 against the Spurs, Suns, and Lakers, and Warriors, who we've struggled with in the past. We've played 5 out of the 6 total games against the top 3 teams in the east. That is a ton of tough teams we've already played 36 games in. Add the fact that 22/36 have been on the road, and we're looking about as good as one could realistically expect. We have 4 games to play against the Sonics, and at least a few more against the Clippers, and Kings. 3 games against the wolves. I'm not saying we're going to win every one, but those are mediocre/bad teams who we can beat even on a bad night. The only teams that we haven't played much that concern me are the Hornets. We usually do pretty well against the Nuggets and Blazers. We are within striking distance, and if guys continue to play well, i.e. Rafer, then we're in great shape.
Between 47 and 52 wins. When you look at the schedule, that's an obvious outcome to predict. Like I said, I dont care how many wins, the more important thing is how Tmac integrates. If he doesnt fit in, call it over the season, Yao takes a nice long rest, tank the rest of the season, get some values in a trade, and hope for a good lotter pick next year. We will be back in business in two years.
If T-MAC can buy in the current system,I believe the actual record will much better than your prediction.
Check out the end of season schedule rankings for 06-07. It is more even than what we've got right now, as you say, but it's not even. We ended with the 6th toughest schedule last season. What did that do for us? Nothing. http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/stats/rpi?season=2007&sortColumn=sos
I think 48 is about right, but with a little luck and some continued good play, we could still get 50.
I think we can at most get 50 wins. Portland and Lakers probably won't get more than 45 wins. Utah is struggling but could get about 45-47 wins. If we can at least get 48+ wins, we'll get a playoff spot.
