http://www.sloansportsconference.com/?p=681 The video above is from 2011's Basketball Analytics panel, and with the trade deadline coming up I thought it would be an interesting discussion if we take the information given in this video and relate it to current trade scenarios we know right now for the rockets. The video itself is an hour long, but the first 15 minutes are primary discussed on how analytics effect trades at the deadline, and from there they also talk about team and general management behavior 48 hours to a few weeks up to the deadline which is very interesting. For a short summary here are a couple discussion points I wanted to see in this thread based on what I've heard from the video. 1) Analytics in basketball (in its current form) are primarily a risk management tool with 3 variables - How the trade will effect team's current basketball performance - How the trade will effect team's financial projections - How the trade will effect team's future basketball performance So how viable do you think our trade scenarios are based on these 3 variables. 2) NBA is not an efficient market because not all teams talk equally to each other, it's more of an emphasis on a trust factor. Teams who have analytics may be less willing to deal with another team because they may think you are taking advantage of them, especially since analytics are still very young and not as reliable when it comes to player evaluation (see full video to understand more about player evaluation analytics). There are numerous times where teams take the lesser deal because they don't talk to other teams. So how do you think this fact plays into trading scenarios looking at the teams we are trading with and the history of trading we have with them? What about the trade history of the other teams we are competing with for that player? I'm just hoping we get a more targeted discussion with some logical answers!
