If lin is a solid,consistent player,that's a bonus. Nothing he has physically say star. He doesn't have any special traits. We're talking about a guy who played 4 yrs of college ball, not some 1 and done college kid. If he just gets consistent,then it will be a bonus.
Some have even called me a LOH, and I think Lin has some star qualities. He has a nice acceleration and can get to rim pretty easily. He finishes pretty well with contact also. If he could make teams pay for coming under screens, I think it would open his game a bunch.
PG and Center are two of the most difficult positions to learn in NBA. Keep this in mind: Any rookie or second-year PG or C who play consistently good are ones heading for HOF. Day in and day out, he has to face at least 29 different matchups and defense. This along will cause inconsistency. It's totally unrealistic to ask Lin to play with consistency w/ 82+ starts.
No doubt Lin has star potential while Beverley has not. However star potential doesnt always pan out, it can be either a star or bust. Given Lin's bball iq, I highly doubt he will turn out to be a bust eventually, he will stablize as an average pg in the worst case senario.
He isn't of the same caliber obviously (yet) but they ARE similar in playstyle. You really can't see Lin developing a killer floater / mid range jump shot / okay 3pt like Parker? And becoming a much more controlled in terms of playmaking?
Inconsistency isn't a sign of stardom, but continuously showing flashes of brilliance throughout the season and improving monthly are a sign of stardom. If it was just up and down, then that may just be the other teams playing poor defense in some games and good defense in others. But every month Lin has improved statistically and shown more occurrences of his flashes of brilliance regardless of the team his plays which should be a big sign that he's going to become a star in years to come.
I agree, CX.... I posted some of this in another thread. He's the 10th ranked PG vs. PLAYOFF TEAMS and the 7th ranked PG vs. the top 8 teams in the West. http://www.hoopsstats.com/basketball/fantasy/nba/playerstats/13/2/eff/9-1 http://www.hoopsstats.com/basketball/fantasy/nba/playerstats/13/2/eff/12-1 As you mentioned, shooting is an area that is often improved with young players. Lowry shot 26% on threes during his first four years in the league. But, he's been a 38% three point shooter since (last two plus years). If Lin is able to do something similar (as Jason Kidd, among other also did), his ceiling is much higher than some believe.
Guys who put up good stats on crappy teams don't impress me...Collison's team record was what, like 13-24 during those 37 games? As a starter (plus Lin's first New Jersey game when he came in early), Lin's team s record is 49-38, and he's been the 1st-3rd most important player on those teams...
Not worth it's own thread because I'm sure it's been posted before, but Nate Silver's analysis from last year is a good read for anyone who hasn't seen it. http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/02/11/jeremy-lin-is-no-fluke/
Lin needs to continuiously improve his shooting before he can take more shots without annoying his coach and teammates. In 2012-2013 season, his PPS ranks 18/19th, PPG 20th, FGA 25th, among all PGs. If he takes one more shot per game, he will rank around 20th on FGA. Given his PPS is 1.22, which will give him 14 PPG, ranking him 16th among PGs. So his scoring efficiency is a tad above and his oftensive numbers a tad below average as a starter for his position (he ranks 16th on assists) for the season so far. Not so bad really considering his early season struggle. One area he needs to and can improve is his free throws. The 0.784 FT% ranks him 28th, 3.2 FTA ranks him 23rd. Given driving to the basket being his strength, he isn't creating enough opportunities going to the line.
Pshaw, what does that Nate Silver know? Republicans dismissed him as an effeminate geek who didn't know how the real world worked, and look how well they did in the last election!