Very cool interactive map from the Wall Street Journal (no registration required). http://online.wsj.com/public/resources/documents/info-battleground04.html
It's pretty darn close. The margin of error is higher than the difference between the two in most of those polls.
I just saw on MSNBC that, according to Zogby ( the only pollster to nail the last election), if the election were held to day, Kerry would win in a landslide, 320 to 218 EC votes.
Hence the reason why Bush's mouthpiece today warned of Al Qaeda's impending attack---no specifics, no place or time, but that THEY'RE GONNA ATTACK---and tagged onto that message the fact that the terrorists might be trying to influence our election as they did Spain's? How could he possibly know that? Why bring it up?
the map on the WSJ site is based on an internet poll, then "weighted" by zogby to reflect the general populace. you sure you wanna place a lot of stock in the results?
He nailed the last one. It's too early to tell, as far as I'm concerned, but no sitting President has ever been this far behind the 8 ball at this point.
perhaps not a sitting president, but how about a sitting VP? in 1988, Dukakis, the last charismatic pol from massachusettes to run, led GHWB by 16 points at the same point in the election. we know how that turned out.
If this was October, call me. But otherwise, most people in this country have other things on their mind than the election. It doesn't become relevant to them until say around November.
I was surprised to see Kerry doing so well in "swing" states, but virtually every race is within the margin of error. I'm cautiously optimistic. Of course, considering that Bush has flushed this country down the toilet and he's *still* in the race tells me that it's anyone's game.
More than two years after the recession officially ended, the U.S. economy finally seems to be breaking President Bush (news - web sites)'s way. Job growth has accelerated rapidly in recent months, creating an economic tailwind behind his campaign. Yet as the president tries to reap the political benefits of the strengthening national economy, he still has a problem in some places: Several of the swing states that could determine the outcome of the election are not participating fully in the revival. "The recovery hasn't started in the state of Ohio; it really hasn't," said Dick Kelch, president of Ashton Plastic Products in Xenia, where his 30 employees are working 30-hour weeks until business gets better. "I don't know anybody that's expanding. I know guys that are cutting back again and again and again." "Is the economy improving for us? Hell, no," said Susan Deister, a software project manager in Columbus who has changed jobs twice since her position at bankrupt WorldCom Inc. was eliminated in 2002. Among the 17 states expected to be most closely contested this fall, four states — Florida, Arizona, Nevada and New Mexico — have been thriving since Bush took office. But others are trailing the nation in economic growth and job creation. Four swing states — Ohio, Michigan, Pennsylvania and West Virginia — are still considered to be in recession 2 1/2 years after the national recession officially ended. http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tm.../20040528/ts_latimes/economylagginginkeystate
