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K-Brick's Decline: A Child-like Statistical Analysis

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by JCDenton, Mar 26, 2010.

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  1. JCDenton

    JCDenton Member

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    Much has been said about Kevin Martin (aka K-brick) by both his detractors and defenders, but all too often immature posters engage in pathetic personal attacks rather than basing their opinions on the facts. This thread is so that we can all discuss if K-brick has the potential to be a major contributor to a championship team, or if he is already peaked and is in steep decline. If you cannot discuss this in a mature way, you will be asked to leave my thread.

    One (absurd) claim that I see constantly being made is that K-brick has the potential to return to form and be healthy during the remainder of his very expensive contract. Unfortunately, these are mere fantasies. Please direct your attention to the highly detailed graph I have prepared.

    [​IMG]

    This graph features the start year of each season on the X-axis, and the number of games K-brick played on the Y-axis. The 2009 year may be subject to minor variation if he is somehow able to recover and play another game or two. As you can no doubt see, K-brick peaked in 2006 and has been in steady decline since then. If we extrapolate this decline over the remainder of his contract, it is difficult to imagine a scenario where he can even stay on the court for 20 games in the final year. During that year, he will be paid $13 million, presumably under a new CBA where a $13 million salary is a proportionally larger percentage of the cap than it is today.

    It would appear that for all his genius, Morey could not see the forest for the trees. He looked at K-brick's raw efficiency stats without looking at the number of games they were accumulated over. He ignored a key variable, something I consider the mark of a statistical amateur. Indeed, K-brick's salary per actual game played is off the charts and he would need to be a player of Lebron's quality to be worth his contract.

    I regret to be the bearer of bad news, so perhaps someone else could come up with some players who have shown steady decline for three straight years only to turn it around. Even though the statistical evidence proves that K-brick is washed up, perhaps we can hold on to some slight ray of hope by clinging to anecdotal evidence.
     
    #1 JCDenton, Mar 26, 2010
  2. ClutchCity3

    ClutchCity3 Member

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    Cool story bro.
     
    #2 ClutchCity3, Mar 26, 2010
  3. tmac1

    tmac1 Member

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    fail.
     
    #3 tmac1, Mar 26, 2010
  4. RedRedemption

    RedRedemption Member

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    What the hell? Already with the criticism? He has been here for what, fifteen games and you already criticize him? He's joining a new team, and a new system. He's not going to score 40 every night and shoot 60%, he also just recovered from a wrist injury that kept him sidelined for several months. No doubt, he will be rusty. Seriously dude, the season is over, no chance for the playoffs, no need for knee jerk threads.

    Also, having a fancy graph doesn't give your opinion any more merit than if you hadn't wasted your time making a graph.
     
    #4 RedRedemption, Mar 26, 2010
  5. Rockets2K3

    Rockets2K3 Member

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    Fixed it for you.
     
    #5 Rockets2K3, Mar 26, 2010
  6. BmwM3

    BmwM3 Member

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    Everyone knows Kevin Martin is injury prone. The graph wasn't necessary. Hopefully next year playing along side Yao he will stay healthy as he will no longer be the focal point of defenses.
     
    #6 BmwM3, Mar 26, 2010
  7. darkwarrior

    darkwarrior Member

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    ROFL at your "highly detailed" graph. It's a games played per year plot. Whoopee friggin doo. Anyone with half a brain could make one in less than a minute. You don't need a graph to know that K-mart has been playing fewer games per year since 06. Jesus Christ. You actually get paid to do this??? And you have the balls to call Morey an amateur. LOL.
     
    #7 darkwarrior, Mar 26, 2010
  8. AroundTheWorld

    AroundTheWorld Member

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    [​IMG]
     
    #8 AroundTheWorld, Mar 26, 2010
  9. Kojirou

    Kojirou Member

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    [​IMG]
     
    #9 Kojirou, Mar 26, 2010
  10. elindio23

    elindio23 Member

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    ...balls...
     
    #10 elindio23, Mar 26, 2010
  11. anon3803

    anon3803 Member

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    He talks about objectivity and non-anecdotal evidence, but half of his post is clearly biased bashing of both Morey and Martin.
    [​IMG]
     
    #11 anon3803, Mar 26, 2010
  12. redao

    redao Member

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    [​IMG]
     
    #12 redao, Mar 26, 2010
    11 people like this.
  13. H-townhero

    H-townhero Member

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    how do you still have member status with all the random bashing threads of various rockets players with pathetic statistical evidence.

    although clearly you are a troll and have caught many people in your web of r****ded threads (including me now! :mad: ), congratulations.
     
    #13 H-townhero, Mar 26, 2010
  14. Francis3422

    Francis3422 Member

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    JC Denton and Brian Chapman hump each other.

    A player of Martins caliber (even at 10 Mil-13 Mil over the next few years) is a steal.

    He is the best player on the team IMO. He needs a training camp to really get chemistry with his new teammates and a true refresher of the system. Next year I think he will move without the ball more and be more effective. He has played great coming in on the fly IMO.
     
    #14 Francis3422, Mar 26, 2010
  15. spankyou

    spankyou Member

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    I actually read that lil text, common sense but interesting nonetheless.
     
    #15 spankyou, Mar 26, 2010
  16. KingCheetah

    KingCheetah Atomic Playboy
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    [​IMG]
     
    #16 KingCheetah, Mar 26, 2010
  17. roflmcwaffles

    roflmcwaffles Member

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    So what is considered a mature discussion? I really don't want to be asked to leave out of an internet thread, that would really hurt me bad.
     
    #17 roflmcwaffles, Mar 26, 2010
    1 person likes this.
  18. BmwM3

    BmwM3 Member

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    Wait, this is the same guy that blamed Smoothie for making that Morey/Walsh video for supposedly messing up the trade.

    I don't take anything he types seriously.
     
    #18 BmwM3, Mar 26, 2010
  19. AggieRocketsFan

    AggieRocketsFan Member

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    Yao is playing ZERO games this season... If he continues that trend, does that mean he will play NEGATIVE games next season?

    Sorry JCDenton but your "statistical analysis" is terrible. And your "highly detailed" line graph is not highly detailed at all.
     
    #19 AggieRocketsFan, Mar 26, 2010
  20. OremLK

    OremLK Member

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    So this is just an "injury-prone!!!111" thread couched in vaguely statistical terms?

    Morey already addressed this issue in many interviews. They got his medical files from Sacramento and studied them carefully and concluded that his injuries were not chronic, just the kind of freak things that happens when you play the game hard. Morey said he knows that Martin is going to have some injuries occur just because of the way he plays (looking for contact) but that there isn't a long-term issue to be concerned about like with T-Mac or Yao.
     
    #20 OremLK, Mar 26, 2010
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