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January 2007 -January 2008 Largest 1-year Climate Change in History

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout: Debate & Discussion' started by weslinder, Feb 27, 2008.

  1. weslinder

    weslinder Member

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    There's a lot of spin in this article, but the presented facts are what's interesting.

    [​IMG]

    http://www.dailytech.com/Temperature+Monitors+Report+Worldwide+Global+Cooling/article10866.htm

    Temperature Monitors Report Widescale Global Cooling

    Twelve-month long drop in world temperatures wipes out a century of warming

    Over the past year, anecdotal evidence for a cooling planet has exploded. China has its coldest winter in 100 years. Baghdad sees its first snow in all recorded history. North America has the most snowcover in 50 years, with places like Wisconsin the highest since record-keeping began. Record levels of Antarctic sea ice, record cold in Minnesota, Texas, Florida, Mexico, Australia, Iran, Greece, South Africa, Greenland, Argentina, Chile -- the list goes on and on.
    No more than anecdotal evidence, to be sure. But now, that evidence has been supplanted by hard scientific fact. All four major global temperature tracking outlets (Hadley, NASA's GISS, UAH, RSS) have released updated data. All show that over the past year, global temperatures have dropped precipitously.

    A compiled list of all the sources can be seen here. The total amount of cooling ranges from 0.65C up to 0.75C -- a value large enough to wipe out nearly all the warming recorded over the past 100 years. All in one year's time. For all four sources, it's the single fastest temperature change ever recorded, either up or down.

    Scientists quoted in a past DailyTech article link the cooling to reduced solar activity which they claim is a much larger driver of climate change than man-made greenhouse gases. The dramatic cooling seen in just 12 months time seems to bear that out. While the data doesn't itself disprove that carbon dioxide is acting to warm the planet, it does demonstrate clearly that more powerful factors are now cooling it.

    Let's hope those factors stop fast. Cold is more damaging than heat. The mean temperature of the planet is about 54 degrees. Humans -- and most of the crops and animals we depend on -- prefer a temperature closer to 70.


    Historically, the warm periods such as the Medieval Climate Optimum were beneficial for civilization. Corresponding cooling events such as the Little Ice Age, though, were uniformly bad news.
     
  2. El_Conquistador

    El_Conquistador King of the D&D, The Legend, #1 Ranking

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    The bottom line is that we should have a debate on climate change. Making a one-sided movie and rounding up celebrities to pressure us into making policy decisions that will have very negative economic impacts on our economy is foolish.

    Any cutbacks or self-inflicted punishments we levy against our great nation does nothing to alleviate 'global warming' when China and India are racing to build coal-fired plants and put cars on the road as soon as possible. It's like trying to put out a bonfire by urinating on it.
     
  3. texanskan

    texanskan Member

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    Al Gore

    pwn3d
     
  4. weslinder

    weslinder Member

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    John McCain

    pwn3d
     
  5. bucket

    bucket Member

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    Here you go.
    http://www.ipcc.ch/
     
  6. rhadamanthus

    rhadamanthus Member

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    What a ridiculous assertion. Judging by that graph than, in 1983 we also "wiped out" a century of warming. In 1988 we "added" a century of warming"

    It's called scatter. Pointing out the extremes on either end of the scatter range is an absolutely assinine way to attempt to ignore the TREND.
     
  7. bigtexxx

    bigtexxx Member

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    So does this render Obama's green economy spending a complete waste?

    His economic plan looks even worse than before, if that is possible.
     
  8. pgabriel

    pgabriel Educated Negro

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    didn't you say something about thoughts being dominated in another thread
     
  9. bigtexxx

    bigtexxx Member

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    The liberals heads are buried in the sand again when it comes to an issue like this one - are they willing to objectively look at the data?
     
  10. pgabriel

    pgabriel Educated Negro

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    I'm not a liberal, i'm willing to look at this objectively, weening off oil is about more than global warming
     
  11. orbb

    orbb Member

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    hard scientific fact my ***. Data like this is meant to be averaged over decades before coming to conclusions.
     
  12. Major

    Major Member

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    John McCain's website. Issues / Environment:


    John McCain has a proud record of common sense stewardship. Along with his commitment to clean air and water, and to conserving open space, he has been a leader on the issue of global warming with the courage to call the nation to action on an issue we can no longer afford to ignore.
     
  13. justtxyank

    justtxyank Member

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    He'll always have Manbearpig

    [​IMG]
     
  14. Ottomaton

    Ottomaton Member
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    I thought this was going to talk about a one year gain, and I clicked on the thread to point out that one year is a single data point, and you can't make judgments on that. I said the same thing a couple of years ago when there were all the hurricanes and people were trying to blame that on global warming.

    The same is true of a one year loss.

    This means nothing, as much as one side or other wants to spin it as 'proof'. One data point isn't a statistically valid sample.
     
  15. Refman

    Refman Member

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    Agreed. There are many good reasons to find an alternative fuel source which may be renewable.
     
  16. justtxyank

    justtxyank Member

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    Agreed. I'm also in favor of working to clean up the environment and moving towards a more conservation minded society for reasons beyond global warming. I just think the sky is falling rhetoric should probably mellow out a little bit.

    I know this is one year, but to me there is enough evidence out their to muddy the water on this issue.
     
  17. rimrocker

    rimrocker Member

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    Uh, no.

    Here's the Goddard Institute for Space studies on 2007:
    and...
    and...

    http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/2007/

    There is nothing on this page that supports the odious post you cited.

    And once again we see the refuge the deniers take in anything that is not heat related. The predictions about Climate Change don't just foresee a gradual change, but also an increase in extremes. So record cold weather in winter is not a proof against the Climate Change seen happening by the IPCC and others. This clown takes January temps and intentionally applies the January trend to the previous year in spite of overwhelming evidence to the contrary.

    And really, of course ice is going to form in the Arctic during winter and of course that ice will cover more territory because the summer saw a record ice melt. And ice is growing in the interior of Antarctica because the temps are warmer and the atmosphere is producing more precip.

    Also, there's nothing on the Goddard site that suggests solar activity has more of an influence than what's going on here on Earth.

    Finally, I linked ot the Goddard site above. Here's the Hadley site:

    http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/hadleycentre/

    and the UAH site:

    http://climate.uah.edu/jan2008.htm

    Which says:

    Hardly enough to "wipe out a century of warming."

    And please reference the above links and show me anything that supports this:

    This is not really even junk science. It's just made up crap dressed up with a chart that the author clearly does not expect his readers to read, much less understand... and all in the aim of what? Scoring a political point by keeping the intentionally ignorant on the reservation.

    Disgusting.
     
    #17 rimrocker, Feb 27, 2008
    Last edited: Feb 27, 2008
  18. danny317

    danny317 Member

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    so will there be a super storm a la "the day after tomorrow"?

    good thing we live in texas. mexico isnt that far away. :p
     
  19. rimrocker

    rimrocker Member

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    More on the Sun:
    http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/comment/columnists/anjana_ahuja/article649400.ece
     
  20. rimrocker

    rimrocker Member

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    Hilarious.
     

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