How the "Experts" fared in their Mock Drafts

OK with the Rockets having no lottery pick or 1st round pick this year I had to find someway to make watching the draft more intersting. I gathered mock drafts from around the net from so called NBA experts to see how well they would actually do in predicting the first 13 picks.

I found mocks from the likes of Andy Katz, Jay Bilas, Stein, Chad Ford, nbadraft.net, TSN, CNNSI, Fox Sports, MSNBC, Houston Chronicle, Dallas Morning News, USA Today, AZ Republic, Boston Globe, etc., etc. I looked at 29 mocks total.

So who had the most correct picks out of the top 13? Well almost everyone had the first 4 picks correct (Murphy from the Houston Chronicle was one of the very few that didn't have Bosh going to Toronto).

The mock draft experts this year were tied with 9 of the 13 top picks correct. Tom Enlund from the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel and Ian Thomson form cnnsi.com got the most picks correct. Burlison from Fox Sports should also get mention for nailing the first 8 picks correctly.

Some of the suprisingly bad mock draft "experts" were Jay Bilas who has been doing the draft reporting on ESPN. After the first 4 picks that nearly everyone got he only had one more correct pick. I'm sure that after every player was drafted he was saying to himself, "dang, another one I missed." Chad Ford also from ESPN (actually an ESPN insider) had zero correct picks after the first four. Maybe ESPN should give a discount on his "insider" info.

One of the most glaring mistakes these experts made was over-estimating Maciej Lampe. Of the 29 mocks I looked at, 13 had Lampe going fifth to the Heat and 24 had him going in the lottery.