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How much is a championship worth vs. how much Yao is worth to Les

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by jopatmc, Dec 9, 2010.

  1. jopatmc

    jopatmc Member

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    So, here's the question I find myself asking today. How much is a championship worth to Les without Yao versus how much a non-contending team is with Yao? How much monetary difference is there to Les? Can that be quantified somehow? And if it can be quantified/approximated somehow, then how much would it be worth to Les to give up monetarily by trading Yao to be a true championship contender?

    I am assuming that if we do not trade Yao, we will not contend for this particular model. The ideal scenario, as I see it, would be to keep Yao and win a championship. That is the tantalizing dream for Les. If he can win a championship WITH Yao, then his net worth goes up very significantly from what it is right now, since Yao and Yao's team would be that much more popular in China and around the world.

    But what if they know that Yao is permanently limited and will always be injury prone and there is a deal/deals on the table that would make us into true championship contenders immediately? How much would it monetarily "cost" Les if he traded Yao and lost monetarily Yao's branding power but he became a championship contender automatically in the category of the Lakers/Celts/Heat for the next 6-8 years because some other team was willing to give up a King's ransom (pun intended) for Yao?
     
  2. DaDakota

    DaDakota Balance wins
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    I said the same thing in the "Superstar a real strategy" thread.

    It is very questionable to me whether Les is a "Win at all costs" guy or a "Win if I can make money" guy.

    I think how he handles Yao will clearly define it.

    DD
     
  3. jopatmc

    jopatmc Member

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    That leads me to believe that you think we could trade Yao and become a championship contender. What do you think his trade value is? What would a team be willing to give up for him that would allow us to be a championship contender?
     
  4. abc2007

    abc2007 Member

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    Some rockets fans are over-confident! How can you be so sure that Yao want to stay in Houston?!
     
  5. tinman

    tinman 999999999
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    Les got lucky he inherited Steve Patterson's team.
     
  6. jopatmc

    jopatmc Member

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    What's that have to do with anything? I'm talking about right now. Yao is under contract. Doesn't matter whether he wants to stay in Houston. He's stuck here unless we trade him or let him expire.
     
  7. tested911

    tested911 Member

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    Corporate foreign $$$$ from possibly the largest foreign investor in the World Vs One (1) Championship ring... If I was a owner realistically it would be about the $$$$ because that is why you bought the team in the first place.. But as a fan I would trade Yao in a damn heartbeat...
     
  8. tinman

    tinman 999999999
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    we won two championships then les decided to change the uniforms to those ugly pajama ones because he thought it would make money.

    have you noticed that the word "HOUSTON" is not on our jerseys?
     
    1 person likes this.
  9. Don FakeFan

    Don FakeFan Member

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    The chance of winning a championship ? It is incredibly small. You have to be very lucky, very patient, very smart. It will take years, decades or generations.

    I will bet this:
    the chance of Rockets winning another championship in Les' life time = 0%.

    However, Yao is a sure thing. $$$ is a sure thing.

    You always go for the money than go for something happens 1 in a billion tries.
     
  10. Prince

    Prince Member

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    Basketball is business, it's always business time for Les..

    <object width="480" height="385"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/WGOohBytKTU?fs=1&amp;hl=en_US"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/WGOohBytKTU?fs=1&amp;hl=en_US" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" width="480" height="385"></embed></object>
     
  11. MadMax

    MadMax Member

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    ugh. how depressing.
     
  12. jopatmc

    jopatmc Member

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    Yes, chances are small. But in this case, let's assume there is a trade on the table that they know brings us to top contender status, that has too many assets coming back that will yield us a Carmelo type talent along with possibly some young very talented bigs. Say, for instance, they knew they could trade Yao/Aaron/Hill/Budinger and one of the Knicks picks and they would get back Melo and Nene, a legit superstar, a legit top big man, and we still have assets left over to turn another deal to make us even better. If they did a deal like that and won a championship, how much would Les suffer or would he suffer monetarily by losing Yao but getting a ring?
     
  13. chenjy9

    chenjy9 Numbers Don't Lie
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    We don't actually own the picks I though, just the right to swap them.
     
  14. liljojo

    liljojo Member

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    If we don't trade Yao, there's always the (fairly strong) possibility that no other teams offered anything reasonable for him. I have no doubt that Les puts winning above everything else. That's why we went and got Yao in the first place. At this point though, I'd rather let him play (or sit) out his contract, because I doubt we can get equal value in return.
     
  15. AggieRocketsFan

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    The only way we turn into a contender by trading Yao is if we get an all-star center back in return.

    I think all-star centers are pretty rare right now and none are on the trading block.

    Keep Yao and sign him to a reasonable contract to be a role player next season. He is our best choice to fill the middle until Jordan Hill makes some giant strides or we find a better center in the market.
     
  16. MadMax

    MadMax Member

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    How does this make sense? Are you saying in today's NBA, you have to have an all-star center to be a contender?

    I don't think that's right at all.
     
  17. Don FakeFan

    Don FakeFan Member

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    Is Miami guaranteed a championship? They have Wade, LeBron and Bosh.
    If yes, Les can forget about championship because Florida will keep it before Yao's career ends.
    If no, Les can forget about championship too because Melo is not bigger than Wade+LeBron+Bosh.

    Again, there is absolutely no chance for Rockets to win a championship in next ten years.

    Les will do the same calculation.
     
  18. jopatmc

    jopatmc Member

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    Ludicrous. If that is so, then Les will make sure Morey keeps us under the lux tax too. And he's already committed to paying it if it makes us a contender. Now, I'm sure you think he is lying. But, I don't. Ideally, Les wants to win a championship with Yao. This I am positive of. He would do anything to make that happen, pay $25 million in luxury tax. Wouldn't matter if he could get a ring with Yao. I'm wondering how much he is willing to pay to get a ring without Yao.
     
  19. AggieRocketsFan

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    I didn't really make myself clear on that...

    What I really meant is we will still not be a contender if all we have is Chuck/Hill/Miller. We will still need to upgrade the center position big time if we lose Yao. Maybe not so much an all-star quality center, but at least one that is close to that caliber.

    Here are the centers from the possible contenders in each conference:

    Duncan
    Chandler/Haywood
    Gasol/Bynum
    AlJeff/Okur

    Perkins/Shaq/JOneal
    Dwight Howard
    Miami big 3 (no center, which is one reason why people doubt they will be contenders this year)
    Noah
    Al Horford

    It just seems that Yao is still our best option in the middle at this point. Yao is still going to consistently present matchup problems if we can somehow keep him on the court in the post-season, even if it is only 20mpg.

    If Nene goes up on the block once Denver falls apart, we need to pursue that asap.
     
  20. Old Man Rock

    Old Man Rock Contributing Member

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    Your thread assumes we could get a superstar if we dump Yao. FIrst no ones giving us a superstar for Yao. Second Lebron or Wade ain't walking through that door anytime soon. Third the only way we get a superstar in the immediate future is to suck so much we can get a top 3 pick and get lucky at that. Fourth even if we draft a potential superstar it will be generations and a lot of luck for us to return to championship form. 5th without Yao we are at least a 500 team so no lottery players walking through that door.

    I am starting to believe there is a good a good chance Yao's foot will never be the same. Of course I have no medical background but it just seems to long with too little progress and now he is not even practicing. Even after he said "I'LL BE BACK". But irregardless of that Yao is still or best bet to contend. Yes a return of that healthy Yao force makes us a real contender again. As slim as that possibility might be it is still a lot more likely path to a championship than the other alternatives.

    Morey said, like it or not we are on the Yao train. There is not real way to get off. Bosh was supposed to be a step in that direction but he didn't want it. Melo is a rental. So the Yao train is it. And if it breaks down it is unlikely we will suck so much to get a top draft pick. Plus it isn't like Morey didn't want to sign Lebron or Wade or Bosh. Like it or not we are stuck with the hope that Yao leads us to the promiseland. SO might as well get use to it and enjoy this team we have. We are not so bad and we will get Brroks and might even pull a trade that gets us iguodala. That makes us a decent playoff team.
     
    #20 Old Man Rock, Dec 9, 2010
    Last edited: Dec 9, 2010

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