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How many Iraqi deaths must occur before Operation Iraqi Liberation is a failure?

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout: Debate & Discussion' started by glynch, Mar 28, 2003.

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  1. glynch

    glynch Member

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    This is sort of a companion thread and owes it origin to the one that asked: "How many US deaths would it take before the US pulled out?" I've phrased it differently as I don't think Iraqi deaths will ever cause us to withdraw.

    I think that we can all agree that if we kill all the Iraqis or even a majority we can't be said to have liberated them. If the war could stop now with a few hundred or few thousand, you can say that Operation Irqi Liberation has been a success, provided those still alive are largely "happy Iraqis" who are glad we did it and enthusiastically welcome our forces as liberators.

    Realistically how many Iraqi deaths would be so many that Operation Iraqi Libertion would be deamed a failure from a liberation point of view? My best guess is that it would be no more than a million and perhaps as low as a few hundred thousand.

    I think a million would be too much even if they were all largely members of the Republican Guard, regular army, Fedayeen irregulars, hard core Baath Party members and ethnic members of Sadam's from Tikrit. Some figures put the number of Iraqis connected with such group who are liable to fight or resist at well over a million.

    As another thread has suggested , maybe we could start them fighting against themselves and even arm all the sides. If we could blame the various factions, I think that we could possibly spin over a million deaths, but it could be dicey, given the overwhlmingly negative world opinion going into the war.
     
  2. giddyup

    giddyup Member

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    We have a long way to go to catch the failure of Saddam's regime.
     
  3. rimbaud

    rimbaud Member
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    Exactly 67.34.
     
  4. goophers

    goophers Member

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    I think a lot depends on the specifics of the fighting. If a few hardcore Iraqis are coercing the civilians to stay and fight by murdering their families, then I think the deaths could go quite high because it will be the final death throes of an evil regime. However, I think the number could be as low as 10's of thousands if reporters show US troops discarding the rules of war or show a couple of instances of US troops going crazy on civilians (which I hope and pray won't happen, and believe it will not occur). Basically it depends on the troops and officers sticking to the liberation plan and not fighting civilians.
     
  5. Mr. Clutch

    Mr. Clutch Member

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    At the point that we kill a lot more than Saddam is planning to murder.
     
  6. El_Conquistador

    El_Conquistador King of the D&D, The Legend, #1 Ranking

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    glynch, is it your personal desire to have this war labeled as a failure? Do you actually want to see our troops *fail* in their mission? Do you want Iraq to win? Your propaganda overwhelmingly points in that direction. Your blatant refusal to support American troops is evident. Your utter contempt for the Commander In Chief of our armed forces is evident. The time for debate ended when the first soldier stepped foot into Iraq. The Bush Administration has repeatedly stated that they will not rest until Saddam is out of power and the Iraqi people have been liberated. There is *no* turning back. No amount of lunatic fringe extremists laying down in the middle of Fifth Avenue or the Embarcadero will change that. Americans will not quit or give up, as you would like to see them do. They are above that.
     
  7. sinohero

    sinohero Member

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    glynch,

    How well must the war go for you to consider it a success?

    or would you ever?
     
  8. DaDakota

    DaDakota Balance wins
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    As many as it takes.

    DD
     
  9. RocketMan Tex

    RocketMan Tex Member

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    Don't know the answer to the original question, but to me there is only one Iraqi death that must occur before Operation Iraqi Liberation is deemed a success, and that is the death of one Iraqi named Saddam Hussein.

    If there are thousands of Iraqi deaths over the next month or so, yet Saddam is not killed, or even found, I do believe that the opinion of the American public will turn against this war.
     
  10. AroundTheWorld

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    Whether one was against the war or for the war beforehand - pulling out is not an option at this point. The US have to go through and win this war now - rather sooner than later. The faster it is over, the less suffering and civilian casualties there should be. Many things will have to be analyzed after the war - but I believe that now is the time to support the allied troops fighting in Iraq. It just does not seem like a viable option - and I think it shouldn't even be for peace activists - to consider pulling out and letting Saddam "win" this conflict. The damage of that happening would be enormous. After the war will be the time when one will have to analyze decisions made by the parties involved and when one can discuss guilt and responsibility. I believe this will be necessary. But now is not the time. In my opinion, all Nato allies should at least not openly take a position that could be misconstrued as siding with Iraq's current government at this time.
     
  11. Pole

    Pole Houston Rockets--Tilman Fertitta's latest mess.

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    I have to agree with this.....although I think his capture might be as good or better than his death.
     
  12. RocketMan Tex

    RocketMan Tex Member

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    You bet...his capture would be the ultimate thing to go for. I just believe that Saddam would put a bullet in his own head before he allowed himself to be captured.
     
  13. Baqui99

    Baqui99 Member

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    I don't know, but we'd better find a way to take out Uday.
     
  14. glynch

    glynch Member

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    The time for debate ended when the first soldier stepped foot into Iraq Jorge

    Jorge, I understand that many believe this, but many American citizens who oppose the war don't think so.

    Your thought on the matter is not original. The same position was put forward during the Vietnam War. Fortunately many Vietnamese and American lives were spared as the anti-war movement kept pressing the case even as the war waged on. I believe history has shown that the war was not necessary at all. Similarly history will likely regard this war as unnecessary.

    For those who claim we must go forward now. We're not talking about suspending the law of gravity. Let's suppose a cease fire was worked out now. It is still possible to resolve some of the issues that have so divided the world, the UN, the Security Council and the American people. Bush and Tony might even have to resign, but the issues transcend their political careeers.
     
  15. DaDakota

    DaDakota Balance wins
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    Glynch,

    You are living in La La land.

    I appreciate your consistency.

    Too bad most of the people in this republic don't agree with you.

    DD
     
  16. HayesStreet

    HayesStreet Member

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    Sure, like the violent peace protestors we saw on the TV yesterday, lol.



    First, peace activism very well may have INCREASED deaths of Vietnamese and Americans. Ho said himself post-war that he considered quitting claims on the South but was sure the 'peace movement' would eventually sap American will to continue the fight. So it is entirely possible many less would have died but for the 'anti-war' opposition. Second, historians who conclude the Vietnam War was unnecessary mostly point to the flaws in the domino theory (N Vietnamese action being nationalistic in origin, not marxist expansionism). That is fundamentally different from the perceived security risk of a nuclear armed Iraq, and is fundamentally different from the removal of a genocidal regime. Trying to draw a parallel between the two in a sweeping stroke is mass mischaracterization.



    Sure, let's send a real loud message to all potential aggressors out there that we have NO political will at all. Hey, we could even re-live the 70s! Disco's back!
     

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