Rockets vs Sixers Finals it looks to be. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-nba-predictions/ Well what blows my mind is how do the Blazers go 40-42, but you know i can see it cause the west has drastically changed.
Blazers have a great coach. Year after year, Stotts makes it work with less talent than other teams. I'd rather have him coach my team than much-overrated Carlisle.
Correction... Losing Aminu, Harkless, Kanter, Curry, and Nurkic will miss most of the season. In... Whiteside and Bazemore. They definitely got worse.
Yeah. Depending on Whiteside and Bazemore to be consistent is a risk I'd be skeptical to take. Kanter is a big loss... A lot of these new good teams will deal with injuries all year. I hope we are fortunate... I like our durability.
So, could someone help me out here? It shows that at full strength we have the highest Carmelo rating. Then why is it that the Sixers have a higher chance of winning the finals? Is it because their path to the finals easier or is it because there is a greater chance they wont be facing us in the finals? Or is it that their net rating is hire? Also, Im aware that at the end of the day this is just a model and things could look very different when the season starts.
As long as they don't say 70%, it's good (Just getting the obvious and unfortunate joke out of the way, @justtxyank )
Clippers at 47 wins? I don’t automatically buy into the “Clippers are gods” storyline, but even with building chemistry needed, that win total seems a little low.
According to projects.fivethirtyeight.com: 10/15/2018 - predicted Warriors-Raptors finals, Warriors championship 10/13/2017 - predicted Warriors-Cavs finals, Warriors championship 10/24/2016 - predicted Warriors-Cavs finals, Warriors championship 100% on calling the finals matchups in the last 3 years, 66% on winners (due to injuries). Let's also not forget that they're actually giving the 76ers the edge over the Rockets in the finals. If only we had used that Chinanu Onuaku TPE - DAMNNNN.
I really hope that the model is correct this year but TBF a lot of outlets picked Warriors vs Cavs in 16&17. Those aren't amazing predictions. I'm pretty sure that you could have predicted those matchups. Warriors v Raptors was a better call only because the Raptors weren't the obvious choice to come out of the East last year. This year should test out the Carmelo model more than the previous few years imo.
Just my 2 cents here …. The finals matchups the last few years have been kinda easy predictions , especially the West representative once Durant joined GSW. The East representative wasn't hard to predict either with Lebron being the games best player able to carry a team in a weak conference. And then Toronto being the team to challenge Lebron year after year …. getting a breakthrough when Lebron went west. This year … things are different. No Warriors juggernaut and Lebron is in a much tougher conference and not the same guy who can carry a team anymore. Toronto couldn't keep their best player … They'll be middle of the pack. This year is as wide open as we've seen in the last 10 years. So much hangs on Embiid's health in Philly , he's a hell of a player but injury after injury … hard to put money on that. And they lost Butler. They aren't as good as last year. Boston - did they regress ?? Hard to say swapping Kyrie for Kemba. Brooklyn got better but we wont see their full potential until the next year. They could be anywhere 3-6. Then you look at the West - its tougher than ever without the super team in Oakland. Rockets , Nuggets , Jazz , Clippers' , Blazers , Fakers and even GSW could be a top seed and SA , NO , Sacramento and Dallas could all sneak into the top 8. If 538 gets it right this year they deserve props …. the last few years , not so much , they were obvious choices.,
