Back before the season, Jonathan Feigen did a month-by-month prediction of the Rockets season. His end record was 43-39, and a probable 8th seed. Looking at it: Month......m.pred.......overall pred......m. actual......overall actual......diff Oct/Nov...7-8.....................................9-6.......................................+2 Dec........10-5.............17-13..............8-7................17-13...............-2 Jan..........8-7..............25-20............. 8-7................25-20................0 Feb..........6-7..............31-27 Mar..........7-9..............38-36 Apr...........5-3..............43-39 February will tell, but from what I've seen, I think the Rockets should be able to avoid a losing month. That means 2-3 more wins over Feigen's preseason prediction, and possibly as high as a sixth seed.
Man,so far he's dead on overall and hasn't missed by more than 2. Great predictions,but let's hope he's way under on his wins from here on out!
That's why I posted! I looked at the thing a month ago and thought it was a curiosity that they equaled the predicted record. That they continued that run through January is almost uncanny! I think "way under" is unlikely, but if they go +2 in Feb., Mar., and April they will have 49 wins, which is (IMHO) the max we can hope for this season.
Looks like Feigen's predictions are dead on! The Rox should go 5-7 for the rest of the month, finishing 6-7.
Feigen's prediction of 43-39 will not be enough for the Rockets to make the playoffs. But if the Rockets are going to bring no intensity in 2nd halves of big road games, they most certainly will not make the playoffs anyway. February and March are brutal months for the Rockets. It doesn't look good.
OMG!!!! Rockets are actually 1 game WORSE THAN FEIGEN's PREDICTION for February. Otherwise, Feigen's predictions are dead on. Rockets 5-8 in month of February.
Month......m.pred.......overall pred......m. actual......overall actual......diff Oct/Nov...7-8.....................................9-6.......................................+2 Dec........10-5.............17-13..............8-7................17-13...............-2 Jan..........8-7..............25-20............. 8-7................25-20................0 Feb..........6-7..............31-27 5-8 30-28 Mar..........7-9..............38-36 Apr...........5-3..............43-39
They've already got seven wins in March. One in the last four gets them back even with the predicted record, two or more makes me at least as good a prognosticator as JF
Wow...he's good. But now with Maurice Taylor and Cuttino Mobley both injured, our final record will be worse than that.
At this rate, I don't even know if the Rockets will finish with a .500 record. 43 wins is way out of reach at this point, since the Rockets would have to go 5-2 with Smith coaching. It's hard to believe that Feigen actually overestimated the Rockets.
I remember thinking after the first couple of months, "ok, this guy's not bad". Then it was, "wow, impressive". But the whole time I figured the guy would be so far off by the end of the year. After all, the Rockets were all healthy for the first time in a while and they were trying to adjust their gameplans to take advantage of Yao's talents. So by the end of the season they would have improved enough to win about 50 games or so and make a decent showing in the first round. I figured, "oh Feigen of little faith". Funny, it all seemed so logical back then. Who would've thought some really thick skulls would get in the way?
2 of the last 4 records I have nailed including this years.....and one other I got within one game...the only one I missed was last years 28-54 debacle. If you step away from fanhood when making a prediction it is not really that hard. DD
Then please tell us as soon as you can about next year's team DD. I don't want to get my hopes up about them getting back to the playoffs for sure, only to watch them flame out.
