Updated: May 3, 2005 Even with Clemens, Astros far from a contender By Phil Rogers Special to ESPN.com http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/columns/story?columnist=rogers_phil&id=2051922 Put the finest racing engine in the family four-door sedan, add bald tires, a car seat or two and an air freshener and you've got the automotive equivalent of Roger Clemens and the 2005 Houston Astros. That is, a fine piece of machinery wasted by mismatched parts. No one on this planet is pitching better than the 42-year-old Clemens. Witnesses to this fact include Andy Pettitte, who says he has never seen his old friend pitch better for an extended time. Clemens won two of his seven Cy Young Awards while pitching alongside Pettitte, but he's been sharper this season than in 2001 or 2004. Despite having a 1.03 ERA, Roger Clemens has just one win in five starts. Yet Clemens was 1-1 after five starts, including an 0-1 record in his last four starts. During that time he had started three 1-0 losses and last Friday's 3-2 loss to the Cubs and Greg Maddux. No wonder at least one of his veteran teammates is already admitting the obvious. "He doesn't belong on this team,'' the unnamed Astro said after one of the recent losses. That player had a point. Clemens, it seems, lost his one and only chance to get his hometown team to the World Series when he couldn't protect a 2-0 lead in Game 7 of the NLCS in St. Louis last October. With Carlos Beltran and Jeff Kent leaving as free agents, it's hard to see the Astros having enough firepower to compete against St. Louis and possibly the Cubs in the NL Central. The more likely scenario is that the Astros remain back in the pack, then deal the Rocket to either the Yankees or Red Sox before the July 31 deadline. No one will admit that this is the case this early in the season, just as Arizona couldn't afford to publicly start shopping Randy Johnson after his perfect game last May. But like the 2004 Diamondbacks, these Astros just don't have enough hitting to win consistently, even behind a dominant pitcher. During their 10-13 start, the Astros averaged only 4.0 runs per game, 15th in the 16-team National League. They were also 15th in home runs, 11th in on-base percentage and 11th in slugging percentage. A season ago, when the Astros added Beltran in late June and nipped the Cubs in the wild-card race, they were sixth in runs, seventh in homers, seventh in on-base percentage and sixth in slugging. The drop is understandable considering the Astros are without Beltran and Kent, who either scored or drove in 40 of the 67 runs Houston scored in its 12 playoff games last season, and also have missed injured left fielder Lance Berkman. First baseman Jeff Bagwell, second baseman Craig Biggio and catcher Brad Ausmus aren't getting any younger, either. Berkman, who tore up his knee playing flag football this past offseason, is beginning a Triple-A rehab assignment. But this is hardly a lineup that is one man short. Consider that shortstop and right field are the only positions where the Astros' OPS has been in the top half of the NL. Left field, where Luke Scott, Chris Burke and three others have combined for a .207 average and one homer in 91 at-bats, has been the biggest hole. But Houston also ranks 11th in OPS at first base (where Bagwell isn't exactly earning his $18 million), third base and in center field; 10th at catcher and ninth at second base. Rookie GM Tim Purpura must feel like the Little Dutchboy trying to plug all those holes. This, of course, is exactly what happens when you pour too much salary into one player. The Diamondbacks paid Johnson $16 million of a total payroll of $70 million last season. That's 22.9 percent. The Astros hope Lance Berkman can be a spark for their offense once he returns to the lineup. Imagine two Johnsons and you've got the mess Purpura inherited from former general manager Gerry Hunsicker, who could no longer handle owner Drayton McLane's meddling. Both Clemens and Bagwell are $18-million players this season, and McLane's total payroll is about $77 million. That's 23.4 percent per player – or almost half of the payroll for two players, one of whom won't play in at least 130 games and the other of whom is hitting .265 and on pace for 20 homers. This is a formula for a midseason trade to rebuild, not one for success. Houston had lost six games in a row – beginning and ending the streak with losses in Clemens' starts – before beating the shell-shocked Cubs on Saturday and Sunday at Minute Maid Park. The Astros defeated Pittsburgh (the only team in the NL with a less productive lineup) on Monday and will finish their home stand with two more games against the Pirates. But then they'll depart on a killer trip to Atlanta and Florida. Purpura insists there's plenty of time to turn things around. "We're pressing," he told the Houston Chronicle's Richard Justice on Friday. "Everyone is trying to go up there and hit a five-run home run." Clemens, too, believes things will get better. "We've got a lot of veteran guys on that hitting side who know what they're doing," he said. "They're going to keep grinding." But it takes depth to win, and the Astros are not a deep team. They are a team with aging, big-name players that could not afford to replace the big guns it lost after last season. Phil Rogers is the national baseball writer for the Chicago Tribune, which has a Web site at www.chicagosports.com.
No wonder at least one of his veteran teammates is already admitting the obvious. "He doesn't belong on this team,'' the unnamed Astro said after one of the recent losses. Unnamed Astro huh? I wonder if it could be a made up Astro.
This article lost some luster after the Stros dropped Phil Rogers' beloved Cubs 2 out of 3, knocked out Kerry Wood for 6 weeks with shoulder problems, whipped up on Mark Prior for 8 ER... all without Lance Berkman. Frankly, Phil should be writing an article about whether or not the Cubs should call it quits... they have no closer, their offense (while better than ours) isn't something to brag about, they have no starting pitching if Wood can't come back at full strength and if Prior goes out with yet another injury, Nomar is done... Need I go on?
I think it is reasonable to assume the Astros would be at least 13-11 if Berkman had been healthy, perhaps even better considering their record in 1 run games is 3-8. The upcoming road trip will say a lot due to the quality of pitching they will eb facing at Atlanta and Florida.
If the Astros add Berkman to the lineup I think it makes them a .500 team. We are not contenders but not far from it.
More on Clemens from ESPN.... http://insider.espn.go.com/mlb/colu...lumns/story?columnist=stark_jayson&id=2052208 Trading for Clemens won't come cheapBy Jayson Stark ESPN.com Archive Roger Rumblings Roger Clemens hasn't phoned his moving company yet. But it sure is funny how the open speculation is already beginning on where Clemens will wind up in July: Yankees? Red Sox? Braves? Uh, not so fast, folks. There happens to be a little clause in Clemens' contract that adds $3 million to his $18-million salary if he gets traded. So just that clause alone, says Houston GM Tim Purpura, makes it "highly unlikely that's going to happen." One thing that clause means is that Clemens is totally unaffordable for Atlanta. And even the Red Sox would be unlikely to want to add a guy at the deadline who had another $9 to $12 million coming. So that would leave – guess who? – the Yankees. But even they would have to think long and hard about whether the Rocket is worth the price. Obviously, they're the one team out there that has the cash in Boss Steinbrenner's checking account to afford him. But how much would it really be worth to them to add one pitcher – even one as dominating as this man? Say the Yankees traded for Clemens in early July – about halfway through the season. He would have $9 million left in salary, plus that $3-million incentive clause – plus another $5 million or so in luxury tax. That's $17 million for a three-month rental. True, the Astros could pay some of that money. But why would they? Considering the potential public-relations nightmare they would be risking in trading Houston's No. 1 icon, they would need to be blown away to consider moving Clemens and paying him to pitch somewhere else. But the Yankees don't have enough attractive young players to blow anyone away. Oh, it's true the Rocket could engineer this whole scenario if he pushed hard enough. But you should also remember that Clemens hasn't forgotten that he had to cajole the Yankees just a little too hard to bring him back for the 2003 season. So if the Yankees suddenly find themselves desperate for one final reunion, he would no doubt enjoy watching the Yankees squirm and drop that $3-million relocation fee in his wallet. We'll no doubt start hearing the rumors in June if the Astros are still scoring 1.29 runs per game for Clemens. But if the Rocket is going to finish the year as a hired gun, just bear one thing in mind: He'll be the most expensive hired gun in history.
More articles from Cub-loving columnists about the Astros. Where are the Cubs, Phil? They're under .500...one game above the 'stros you're declaring a disaster. They've scored a grand total of 123 runs to the Astros' 108 this season. Kerry Wood just went down...but he sucks anyway, so it doesn't matter. You've given up 120 runs this season to the Astros 94. You have NO closer. Not even a guy who looks like one. I'm sure they'll trade Prior by the All-Star break...insert something cute here about car fragrances or something.
