1. Welcome! Please take a few seconds to create your free account to post threads, make some friends, remove a few ads while surfing and much more. ClutchFans has been bringing fans together to talk Houston Sports since 1996. Join us!

Europe is Doing Better With the Outsourcing Problem

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout: Debate & Discussion' started by glynch, Aug 1, 2005.

  1. glynch

    glynch Member

    Joined:
    Dec 1, 2000
    Messages:
    18,075
    Likes Received:
    3,605
    I know this goes against the elitists and their propaganda that Americans have to just accept Chinese pay scales, as accepted by many.
    *******
    No Flat World in Europe
    by Thomas Geoghegan Released: 24 Jun 2005

    The no vote on the EU Constitution by the French, then the Dutch. The fall, or seeming fall, of the Schröder government in Germany. Is Europe melting down? My friend V in Berlin says, "Relax -- it's just democracy." Yet there is alarmist talk now that the EU might break up, or the euro be withdrawn.

    To hear the violent rhetoric from the business elites in Frankfurt and London, Europe's a shambles. In fact, things are pretty nice. Yes, French unemployment is at a very distressing 10 percent. But in Europe, while it can be much harder to get a job, it is much harder to lose one, too. In a two-year period, your chance of being jobless, laid off, is probably greater in America than it would be in France, and certainly greater than in many European countries.

    We may have lower unemployment at any given point, but it is a kind of "rolling" unemployment, shorter but still heart-stopping, that over time will affect a larger proportion of us. Would French workers want "lower" US-style unemployment, which means a greater likelihood of layoffs, firings, drop-offs into poverty for a half-year at a time every other year? I think not.

    Indeed, except for Germany (dragged down by the cost of unification), Europe or the "euro-zone" part of it has been doing at least as well as the United States in the past ten years. This is among the stunning findings of a January 2004 Goldman Sachs study, Euroland's Secret Success Story. As set out in the study, it's true of productivity growth -- a bit under 2 percent a year in both, if adjusted for the business cycle. It's true for growth in GDP per capita (2.1 percent). And, yes, it's true even for investors: In Europe you get the same return on capital. It's true despite Europe's higher nominal unemployment and shorter workweek. Indeed, if one could put a cash value on this extra leisure, one could argue the standard of living is going up faster there.

    But that understates the case for Europe. While too few of us in America experience any rising GDP per capita in our own lives, the egalitarian Europeans do. Outside Britain, their people at the top are not doing nearly as well as ours. That may explain the violence of their rhetoric. In France the gap between "top" and "bottom" is slightly decreasing. It might have continued to do so in Germany, too, but for the skewing of all measures by East Germany. Yes, German unions have had to keep wages down of late. But that's at least in part because in the early 1990s they pushed them up too high, even by my left-of-center standards. In total job growth, too, Europe's been doing better than the United States.

    Some economists even argue America overstates its productivity growth and GDP per capita. For example, Europe doesn't get our unfair productivity boost from people working off the clock. Or the GDP growth from building far more prisons. It's plausible that in the past ten years most of Europe has done better than the United States -- even as Europeans keep working fewer hours.

    Still, the business elites say the European model has to go. In a flat world, as Thomas Friedman proclaims, it seems obvious that high-wage Europeans will have to make a bonfire of their cushy way of life if they want to keep their precious industrial base.

    There's one problem with using the US and UK models for saving Europe's industrial base: Both have wrecked their industrial bases. Some, or a labor lawyer like me, would argue that we wrecked ours not because our labor costs were too high but because they were too low. In the low-cost United States a firm can shut down and pay workers next to nothing -- and the investors can open up a Wal-Mart. By contrast, in high-cost Europe, with expensive "closing plans" and labor vetoes in Germany and France, it is much harder than in the low-cost United States for a firm to go out of its industrial business altogether.

    Over and over I hear intelligent people in America ooh and aah over the China miracle, and China's export prowess. "Oh, China is what's happening." "China changes everything." I don't mean to scoff, but China is simply doing what others -- Japan, for example -- have done before. It's ordinary catch-up. But Europe, and in particular Germany, is doing something truly new. Its highly developed countries have somehow kept their industrial base.

    Last year, according to the WTO, German export goods had a value of more than $915 billion. China's had a value of about $593 billion. In a so-called flat world, it turns out that the country with the world's highest labor costs is the world's champion exporter. Add in France et al., and the EU is even further ahead -- last year, it had export goods of more than $1.5 trillion. What's more, the endless dire talk in Germany about losing it all to Eastern Europe has turned out to be wildly overstated. It's now 2005, and the recent data show that far from investing more in Eastern Europe, Germany of late has been slightly disinvesting.

    Of course, there is more outsourcing to Eastern Europe, but the bottom line is that Germany's overall trade surplus is growing. US and other companies have passed over Germany and put money into Eastern Europe, and labor cost is one reason, but an equal and bigger reason is simply that there is a huge untapped market in Eastern Europe, while Western Europe is relatively sated. Yet Germans bemoan it, and neoliberals have been brilliant at rattling German self-confidence over, well, not much.

    The European miracle is often said to be the one that took place in the 1950s, right after World War II. But that was catch-up, too. The real European miracle is the one that has happened in the past ten years: Europe (i.e., France and Germany) has engaged in a restructuring of its manufacturing -- successfully. The threat to Europe right now is the violence of the rhetoric against the model, the bizarre gloom and doom when it is actually doing well. The nerve-racking thing about Europe at the moment is the possibility that ordinary Europeans will lose their nerve and just cave in to their American-wannabe elites.


    Last spring Thomas Geoghegan was a fellow at the American Academy in Berlin. His book Which Side Are You On? Trying to Be for Labor When It's Flat on Its Back was recently reissued by the New Press
    http://www.agenceglobal.com/article.asp?id=556
     
  2. El_Conquistador

    El_Conquistador King of the D&D, The Legend, #1 Ranking

    Joined:
    Jun 11, 2002
    Messages:
    15,594
    Likes Received:
    6,570
    Right glynch, why not take it a step further and just end all trade -- be it goods, services or labor -- with all foreign countries? The benefits from trade are undeniable, whether you like it or not. Trade and specialization of labor lower consumer prices and allow for superior product quality and selection. They also lower costs of labor for the multitude of US businesses, both large and small which enables enhanced profitability, investment, and as a result higher productivity. Would you as a small business owner rather lose your business and fire all your employees because your labor costs were too high, or would you rather outsource selected functions and save the other jobs? Americans can not attempt to shield themselves from outside competition. If we can't compete, we should pursue higher value added jobs. If you are someone whose job gets outsourced, then you haven't made the case to your employer that you are more valuable than low-cost labor in a developing country. How is that the government's problem? Sounds like a personal issue that needs to be addressed through education or other means.
     
  3. glynch

    glynch Member

    Joined:
    Dec 1, 2000
    Messages:
    18,075
    Likes Received:
    3,605
    Jorge, please read the article. I tried to warn you that it might go against your orthodoxy.

    The article says that Germany and Europe do a lot of trade. I'm trying to get you away from absolute simplistic theories on trade and govenment regulation and free markets. I know it makes the world a bit more complicated.
     
  4. bigtexxx

    bigtexxx Member

    Joined:
    Jun 12, 2002
    Messages:
    26,979
    Likes Received:
    2,362
    Germany and France's unemployment rates are around 10% each. That's 2x what they are in the US. I wouldn't pattern any type of economic model after those two countries.
     
  5. GladiatoRowdy

    GladiatoRowdy Member

    Joined:
    Oct 15, 2002
    Messages:
    16,596
    Likes Received:
    496
    Once again, you didn't read the article at all, particularly the part that talked about this issue specifically. Read it and come up with an intelligent response.

    Thanks in advance.
     
  6. El_Conquistador

    El_Conquistador King of the D&D, The Legend, #1 Ranking

    Joined:
    Jun 11, 2002
    Messages:
    15,594
    Likes Received:
    6,570
    Caught you before you edited it.
     
  7. vlaurelio

    vlaurelio Member

    Joined:
    Jan 26, 2005
    Messages:
    21,310
    Likes Received:
    11,755
    you're da man...
     
  8. MR. MEOWGI

    MR. MEOWGI Contributing Member

    Joined:
    Jul 2, 2002
    Messages:
    14,382
    Likes Received:
    13
    Why is hiring illegal Mexicans bad and outsourcing good?
     
  9. pippendagimp

    pippendagimp Member

    Joined:
    Sep 1, 2000
    Messages:
    27,784
    Likes Received:
    22,783
    It's quite simple. Because illegals do work nobody else wants to and outsourcing just takes good existing skilled jobs away from everyday Americans and exports them off to foreign lands......Err, uhh, wait, that logic's fuzzy :confused:

    Anyways, just keep your mouth shut, show your patiotism, and support CAFTA!! :p
     
  10. GladiatoRowdy

    GladiatoRowdy Member

    Joined:
    Oct 15, 2002
    Messages:
    16,596
    Likes Received:
    496
    Oh no!!! You caught a dreaded typographical error!!!

    Surely that trumps anything of substance, right?

    :rolleyes:

    Neither you nor your brother (even if y'all are not related by blood, you are near carbon copies of each other in posting, so the moniker will stick) bothered to read the article, which addressed the issues that both of you raised. If you are able to compose an intelligent response that addresses the substance of the article and not red herrings or typographical errors then I will respond. Until then, you are PWNED.

    Thanks in advance.

    EDIT: I never edited it before. You introduced the typo in the quote and then "called" me on it. You are truly a sad, pathetic excuse for a human being.
     
    #10 GladiatoRowdy, Aug 1, 2005
    Last edited: Aug 1, 2005
  11. El_Conquistador

    El_Conquistador King of the D&D, The Legend, #1 Ranking

    Joined:
    Jun 11, 2002
    Messages:
    15,594
    Likes Received:
    6,570
    My points stand uncontested. Andymoon, would you like to offer a rejoinder?
     
  12. GladiatoRowdy

    GladiatoRowdy Member

    Joined:
    Oct 15, 2002
    Messages:
    16,596
    Likes Received:
    496
    The article addressed all of your "points." Read it and respond intelligently and I will be happy to provide your rejoinder.

    Thanks in advance.
     
  13. El_Conquistador

    El_Conquistador King of the D&D, The Legend, #1 Ranking

    Joined:
    Jun 11, 2002
    Messages:
    15,594
    Likes Received:
    6,570
    No it does not. It addresses none of them.
     
  14. deepblue

    deepblue Member

    Joined:
    Jun 22, 2002
    Messages:
    1,648
    Likes Received:
    5
    This article doesn't do a good job explaining why Europe's model is better. It simply stated some stats as important, while dismissing others.

    I don't see how you can claim 10% unemployment rate vs 5% is somehow not important. Try to tell that to the people who are unemployed.

    He doesn't explain how the EU are tackling the out-source problem other than "Its harder to close down a firm in Europe".

    What? Increase our labor cost will somehow make our industrial more competitive globally? That alone should tell you this article is pretty worthless.
     
  15. GladiatoRowdy

    GladiatoRowdy Member

    Joined:
    Oct 15, 2002
    Messages:
    16,596
    Likes Received:
    496
    Then you need a remedial course in reading comprehension.
     
  16. El_Conquistador

    El_Conquistador King of the D&D, The Legend, #1 Ranking

    Joined:
    Jun 11, 2002
    Messages:
    15,594
    Likes Received:
    6,570
    andy, you've contributed nothing to the thread, and you are being willfully obtuse in responding to my very salient points. Either refute my points on your own, without redirecting readers to the article (which does not refute them), or gracefully exit stage left and let the adults debate outsourcing.
     
  17. GladiatoRowdy

    GladiatoRowdy Member

    Joined:
    Oct 15, 2002
    Messages:
    16,596
    Likes Received:
    496
    How exactly were you "debating outsourcing" when you edited a quote of mine to "call" me on a typo?

    PWNED
     
  18. bigtexxx

    bigtexxx Member

    Joined:
    Jun 12, 2002
    Messages:
    26,979
    Likes Received:
    2,362
    LOL - I did read the article, brah. Their pathetic attempt to explain this point away is completely ridiculous. The chance of being laid off is higher, so you're more likely to be laid off? Uhh...the chance of finding another job is also higher, so their point is null. The unemployment rate explains it all.
     
  19. bigtexxx

    bigtexxx Member

    Joined:
    Jun 12, 2002
    Messages:
    26,979
    Likes Received:
    2,362
    That's the third time in this thread that you've copied my patented "thanks in advance". I guess imitation is the sincerest form of flattery!

    EDIT: Actually it was the THIRD time, not the second as I had originally thought.
     
    #19 bigtexxx, Aug 1, 2005
    Last edited: Aug 1, 2005
  20. GladiatoRowdy

    GladiatoRowdy Member

    Joined:
    Oct 15, 2002
    Messages:
    16,596
    Likes Received:
    496
    From the article...

    "Last year, according to the WTO, German export goods had a value of more than $915 billion. China's had a value of about $593 billion. In a so-called flat world, it turns out that the country with the world's highest labor costs is the world's champion exporter. Add in France et al., and the EU is even further ahead -- last year, it had export goods of more than $1.5 trillion. What's more, the endless dire talk in Germany about losing it all to Eastern Europe has turned out to be wildly overstated. It's now 2005, and the recent data show that far from investing more in Eastern Europe, Germany of late has been slightly disinvesting."

    The benefits of trade are undeniable, but the benefits of a trade surplus surpass that of a trade deficit. The article clearly does not come out to say that trade is a bad thing, in fact it points out that even in economies that you decry, they benefit from trade without outsourcing their own industries.

    From the article...

    "There's one problem with using the US and UK models for saving Europe's industrial base: Both have wrecked their industrial bases. Some, or a labor lawyer like me, would argue that we wrecked ours not because our labor costs were too high but because they were too low. In the low-cost United States a firm can shut down and pay workers next to nothing -- and the investors can open up a Wal-Mart. By contrast, in high-cost Europe, with expensive "closing plans" and labor vetoes in Germany and France, it is much harder than in the low-cost United States for a firm to go out of its industrial business altogether."

    The article clearly points out that the UK and US have done a disservice to their industrial base, a disservice that is simply not necessary. Their regulatory structure makes it more difficult to shut down businesses and yet somehow they just keep plugging along with fair to good GDP growth even though their work week is far shorter than ours.

    From the article...

    "Of course, there is more outsourcing to Eastern Europe, but the bottom line is that Germany's overall trade surplus is growing. US and other companies have passed over Germany and put money into Eastern Europe, and labor cost is one reason, but an equal and bigger reason is simply that there is a huge untapped market in Eastern Europe, while Western Europe is relatively sated. Yet Germans bemoan it, and neoliberals have been brilliant at rattling German self-confidence over, well, not much."

    So, even though Germany and France reduce outsourcing through their regulatory structures, their corporations still profit (although not as much as evidenced by the fact that the difference between the highest earners and the lowest is much smaller than ours and shrinking), their industrial base remains intact, their economies still grow, and their workers still have jobs.

    Contrast that with an America where employees are laid off more often (as pointed out in the article), are forced to work longer hours and sometimes off the clock entirely, and the only thing that seems to matter is the corporate bottom line and executive "golden parachutes."

    Again, I submit that you could use a course in reading comprehension. I would be happy to give you the phone number to the college I work at, we have some wonderful instructors and open registration is going on now.
     

Share This Page