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ESPN's BPI Playoff Odds

Discussion in 'NBA Dish' started by celebrevida, Jan 14, 2018.

  1. celebrevida

    celebrevida Member

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    BPI Playoff Odds

    Probability to win Championship:
    1. Warriors 59.9%
    2. Raptors 14.4%
    3. Rockets 14.1%
    4. Celtics 7.3%
    5. Spurs 1.0%
    6. Thunder 0.9%
    7. Timberwolves 0.7%
    7. Cavaliers 0.7%
    9. Wizards 0.6%
    The information is updated by ESPN periodically. Above is what is shown as of 2018-01-14.
     
    #1 celebrevida, Jan 14, 2018
    Last edited: Jan 14, 2018
  2. astrosrule

    astrosrule Member

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    i'd personally have it around:
    1. warriors 90%
    2. cavs 5%
    3. rockets 4%
    4. everyone else total 1%
     
    Sajan likes this.
  3. Swiss Roll

    Swiss Roll Member

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    Sajan, BigShasta and DreamShook like this.
  4. SirIvyLeague

    SirIvyLeague Member

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    I hate this **** so much, lol @ Raptors ahead of Cavs and Rockets. You really think you just believe this ****?

    Only way I'm wrong is INJURIES. Don't care about that 30pt victory this week. Cavs will eat em, just like @RedRedemption eats burgers.

    SIL
     
  5. apollo33

    apollo33 Member

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    Raptors vs Rockets finals confirmed, nice
     
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  6. tehG l i d e

    tehG l i d e Member

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    Rockets have had a lot more injuries than the Raptors.
     
  7. pippendagimp

    pippendagimp Member

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    Rockets also have a lot more refs who hate them :D
     
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  8. Jontro

    Jontro Member

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    looks just about right. carter and mergady are wrecking in that raptors team.
     
  9. apollo33

    apollo33 Member

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    Raptors actually have more than serviceable players they picked from the D-league that went toe to toe with the Warriors last night. We got Joe cheese and Bobby Brown.
     
  10. YaoMing#1

    YaoMing#1 Member

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    Naturally the raptors have a higher chance although really small over the rockets because they actually have the ability to play the favorite in the finals since there in the east.

    It’s just simple averages.

    I’m pretty sure if the rockets played in the east and raptors in the west Houston would be 23% and the raptors would be around 5-7%.

    All this formula shows me is that Houston is still the warriors biggest threat

    Remember the bpi is best chance to win the title not beat the warriors.

    Naturally any team in the east is going to have inflated numbers especially if there good like the raptors
     
    peleincubus, BigShasta and heypartner like this.
  11. DreamShook

    DreamShook Member

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  12. celebrevida

    celebrevida Member

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    I know Cavaliers are struggling but it surprises me that Raptors and Celtics have literally 14x and 7x the chance to come out of the East.

    Have the Cavaliers really fallen to the level of Wizards listed as having a 0.6% chance???
     
  13. YaoMing#1

    YaoMing#1 Member

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    Cavs are a bad team man.

    Iv watched there last few games, there old.

    Lebron is my favorite player that doesnt play for Houston but he can’t save this team.

    Even if IT can return to 100% like what he was doing last year in Boston it’s not going to help there defense.

    They just have to many negatives.

    David griffin is one of the most overrated GMs imo. I like listening to him on nba radio and tv he’s good at that but he gave out to many big contracts to guys that were old and just not that good.

    Triston Thomson is way over paid he’s making 18m a year and can’t even crack the starting rotation.

    JR smith is making 15m a yr or around there and were paying Gerald green vet minimum to do the exact same thing Same can be said for swaggy p in golden state.

    Shumpart makes 10m a yr and we’re paying luc vet minimum and he does everything better than shump.

    Tucker and Ariza are making 7m each there solid 3&d wings that the Cavs need very badly.

    The only bad contract we have is Ryno and he still adds value to the team when he’s confident with his shot.

    And I’d say the only bad contract the warriors have is iggy. (That was a loyalty contract and there already paying the price his production has declined and it will only get worse)

    They tried to hard to give Lebron all Bet one way specialist. The Korver pickup was good he’ll even the smith and shump was good. They just should Have let them walk and picked up younger cheaper 2 way guys that have more upside. Lebron would have elevated there play.
     
  14. celebrevida

    celebrevida Member

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    LeBron was de-facto GM for those bad contracts.

    It's bad in isolation but not bad when you combine the Durant and Iguodala contacts. It only happened because Durant took a big pay cut. In effect, Durant gave Iguodala money out of his own pocket. Warriors were ready to let him walk but Durant offered to give Iguodala money that by all rights should have gone to the him as the second best player in the NBA.
     
    #14 celebrevida, Jan 14, 2018
    Last edited: Jan 14, 2018
  15. YaoMing#1

    YaoMing#1 Member

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    I’m not saying your wrong because your not but moving forward it hurt the Cavs and it will hurt the warriors when they max out KD this summer and have to pay klay the max the year after and green the max the year after that.

    I mean maybe those guys take paycuts but I doubt there going to be okay making 20m a year when other teams are willing to offer them 30+.

    Especially klay.

    Plenty of teams will offer him the Super max.

    Personally I don’t know how golden state can keep this team going moving foward.

    Those leaks about trading greens and klay for Davis makes sense.

    It’s easier to pay 3 guys Super max than to keep tip toeing around klay and greens max deals that are coming up soon.

    The fact imo that this stuff is already coming out shows that golden states ownership is well aware of what’s coming over the next 2 years.

    They make a lot of money in the bay but to keep this team together would cost them in the 100 or millions annually starting very soon.

    Winning is not everything.

    I’m sure lacob is willing to lose a few million a year to keep this going that’s nothing for him but when you start talking about losing 50-100m a year.

    Well lacob didn’t become a billionaire by doing stuff like that just so he can stroke his ego.

    Money always wins out in everything.
     
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  16. celebrevida

    celebrevida Member

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    As of 2018-01-22:

    Probability to win Championship:
    1. Warriors 54.1%
    2. Rockets 18.1%
    3. Raptors 17.1%
    4. Celtics 6.2%
    5. Thunder 1.2%
    6. Timberwolves 1.0%
    7. 76ers 0.4%
    7. Wizards 0.4%
    9. Cavaliers 0.3%
     
  17. J.R.

    J.R. Member

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    2.11.18: ESPN's BPI (NBA title)
    Warriors 39.9%
    Rockets 26.6%
    Raptors 22.7%
    Celtics 6.0%
    Spurs 1.1%
    Wolves 0.9%
    Thunder 0.9%
    Sixers 0.6%
    Wizards 0.6%
    Cavs 0.2%
    Bucks 0.2%
    Jazz 0.1%
     
  18. Os Trigonum

    Os Trigonum Member
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    they must have misplaced a decimal point . . . don't they know there's a media conspiracy?
     

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