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ESPN-Summer's best and worst deals...

Discussion in 'NBA Dish' started by Clips/Roxfan, Jul 22, 2010.

  1. Clips/Roxfan

    Clips/Roxfan Member

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    Summer's best, worst deals

    Analyzing the best and worst value buys of the 2010 offseason at each position

    By Tom Haberstroh

    ESPN Insider


    Archive

    In what might have been the most compelling offseason in NBA history, the Heat's power trio got all the attention. But how did the rest of the league do in choosing among the free agents in the class of 2010? Insider contributor Tom Haberstroh spotlights the summer's biggest winners and losers by position.


    POINT GUARD

    Steal -- Raymond Felton

    New York Knicks, two years, $15.8 million (unguaranteed third year)

    The Knicks signed the premier point guard on the market for two guaranteed years, and seven inferior point guards have signed elsewhere for longer deals. That's a big win for New York, which has positioned itself in the Chris Paul sweepstakes should he stick it out in New Orleans until he hits free agency in 2012. The contract is small enough that a buyout wouldn't hinder the Knicks from netting Paul in a trade before then.


    Felton hasn't been able to step on the gas since leaving Chapel Hill, but he'll have plenty of freedom to push the ball in Mike D'Antoni's offense. Just 26 years old, Felton still has time to bloom as a player (he ranks merely average as a pick-and-roll ball handler according to Synergy Sports Technology). A career year might be in store, especially if Felton can maintain his torrid 3-point shooting from last season.


    Overpay -- Luke Ridnour

    Minnesota Timberwolves, four years, $16 million

    Paying Ridnour $4 million a year to start? Not a bad idea. Paying Ridnour $4 million to back up a backup? Horrible idea. And that's before we bring Ricky Rubio into the picture. Minnesota GM David Kahn signing Ridnour for $16 million is as superfluous as any deal this summer.

    As it stands, the former Oregon standout will spar with Ramon Sessions for minutes behind Jonny Flynn, who curiously started every single game of his rookie season. Sessions has proved to be a more capable show runner in the triangle offense than shot-hungry Flynn but looks to be the odd one out. There's almost no chance Ridnour will repeat his .570 TSP (true shooting percentage) from last season, seeing as his previous high was .509 in 2006-07.

    http://insider.espn.go.com/nba/insi...espn.go.com/nba/insider/news/story?id=5399124

    Can someone please post the rest of this article...
     
  2. ROXTXIA

    ROXTXIA Member

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    POINT GUARD

    Steal -- Raymond Felton
    New York Knicks, two years, $15.8 million (unguaranteed third year)

    Felton

    The Knicks signed the premier point guard on the market for two guaranteed years, and seven inferior point guards have signed elsewhere for longer deals. That's a big win for New York, which has positioned itself in the Chris Paul sweepstakes should he stick it out in New Orleans until he hits free agency in 2012. The contract is small enough that a buyout wouldn't hinder the Knicks from netting Paul in a trade before then.

    Felton hasn't been able to step on the gas since leaving Chapel Hill, but he'll have plenty of freedom to push the ball in Mike D'Antoni's offense. Just 26 years old, Felton still has time to bloom as a player (he ranks merely average as a pick-and-roll ball handler according to Synergy Sports Technology). A career year might be in store, especially if Felton can maintain his torrid 3-point shooting from last season.

    Overpay -- Luke Ridnour
    Minnesota Timberwolves, four years, $16 million

    Ridnour

    Paying Ridnour $4 million a year to start? Not a bad idea. Paying Ridnour $4 million to back up a backup? Horrible idea. And that's before we bring Ricky Rubio into the picture. Minnesota GM David Kahn signing Ridnour for $16 million is as superfluous as any deal this summer.

    As it stands, the former Oregon standout will spar with Ramon Sessions for minutes behind Jonny Flynn, who curiously started every single game of his rookie season. Sessions has proved to be a more capable show runner in the triangle offense than shot-hungry Flynn but looks to be the odd one out. There's almost no chance Ridnour will repeat his .570 TSP (true shooting percentage) from last season, seeing as his previous high was .509 in 2006-07.

    SHOOTING GUARD

    Steal -- Anthony Morrow
    New Jersey Nets, three years, $12 million

    Morrow

    Did the Nets just sign the best shooter in the game for about half the price of J.J. Redick? It's certainly possible. The 6-foot-5 24-year-old from Georgia Tech just wrapped up a prolific shooting campaign from behind the arc last season (.456 3FG%), but the Golden State Warriors surprisingly resisted the option of retaining his rights for just $4 million per year.

    It's tough to imagine why the Warriors have no interest in retaining a cheap, young commodity such as Morrow, but then again, we are talking about the Warriors. In New Jersey, Morrow joins a crowded perimeter with Courtney Lee and Terrence Williams on the wing, but it would make a lot of sense for the Nets to deal Williams to a team willing to stomach his erratic play.

    Overpay -- Joe Johnson
    Atlanta Hawks, six years, $123.7 million

    Johnson

    The biggest contract of the 2010 free-agent extravaganza didn't go to LeBron James, Dwyane Wade, Amare Stoudemire or Chris Bosh.

    No, that crown belongs to Johnson, an oversized shooting guard who just received his first and only MVP vote of his career -- and it was for fifth place.

    This isn't to say Johnson didn't deserve a big payday; he is coming off five straight seasons of averaging at least 20 points per game. But the magnitude and length of the contract is egregious for a 29-year-old who hasn't been to an NBA Finals and doesn't have the chops to lead a team there down the road. He'll make about $25 million in 2015-16, but the Hawks should be elated if he earns 10 percent of that salary as a 34-year-old.

    SMALL FORWARD

    Steal -- Quentin Richardson
    Orlando Magic, three years, $7.5 million

    Richardson

    LeBron's sub-max contract is a no-brainer for this slot, but the two-time MVP was slated to be the best deal of the summer even before free agency began, given the league's restrictions on player salary.

    Instead, it's worth pointing out that the Magic just signed Richardson, a perfect fit for their four-out system, for less than $3 million annually. In a seller's market in which Wesley Matthews, an undrafted rookie, received a $34 million deal, it's a veritable bargain. The 30-year-old drilled 142 3-pointers at a 39.7 percent clip last season in Miami, and he should help alleviate the void left by Matt Barnes, who is expected to leave Orlando this summer. It's a low-risk, solid-reward move that goes largely unnoticed in this free-agency climate. It's also the type of signing championship contenders need to make.

    Overpay -- Travis Outlaw
    New Jersey Nets, five years, $35 million

    Outlaw

    Paying $35 million for a veteran bench player won't cripple a franchise's cap flexibility, but the length and dollars could be particularly dangerous for the rebuilding Nets organization. Outlaw's main contributions will come on the defensive end, but this is a team starving for scorers on the wing. It's hard to justify shelling out a fully guaranteed five-year deal to a player that has started 32 games in his seven-year career.

    Outlaw will be poised to start at the 3 alongside whoever New Jersey decides to make its starting power forward (Kris Humphries?), so he'll get his share of scoring responsibility. The 25-year-old has scored 12.5 points per game as a starter in his career, but he doesn't score efficiently enough for us to expect that number to climb with a bigger scoring burden.

    POWER FORWARD

    Steal -- Udonis Haslem
    Miami Heat, five years, $20 million

    Haslem

    Haslem turned down far more lucrative midlevel exceptions from Dallas and Denver to help win his second championship in Miami, even though he probably won't expect much in the last two years of this deal. But at his bargain price tag, that lack of production at the tail end won't matter.

    Haslem might be only 6-8, but he's a menace on the boards, averaging a double-double per 36 minutes of playing time last season. He complements his tenacity underneath with a sweet midrange jumper, which he used to hit 45.3 percent of his 315 shots just inside the arc, according to Hoopdata.com. Plenty of teams could use Haslem in their starting rotation, but he'll be a fantastic spark plug behind Bosh.

    Overpay -- David Lee
    Golden State Warriors, six years, $80 million

    Lee

    This isn't a flat-out waste of money; the price tag is just the least palatable among the premier power forward free-agent lot of Bosh, Carlos Boozer and Stoudemire. Despite Lee's massive liabilities on the defensive end, shelling out $80 million on a 20-and-10 player isn't the worst idea in the world. Giving up Anthony Randolph, Ronny Turiaf and Kelenna Azubuike, as well? That's overpaying.

    We'll never know against whom or what the Warriors were bidding, but it's clear the Knicks made out brilliantly in this deal. Instead of letting Lee leave for nothing, the Knicks got the Warriors to throw in three young, serviceable rotation players who are signed to cap-friendly deals. Turiaf and Randolph represented Golden State's only hopes to stop opponents in the paint, but that's all lost with Lee anchoring the middle. By signing Lee to a bloated contract and giving up promising assets, Golden State took two steps back for its one step forward.

    CENTER

    Steal -- Tiago Splitter
    San Antonio Spurs, three years, $10.9 million

    Splitter

    The Spurs have done it again. Not only did San Antonio just reel in the best big man playing overseas but it signed the 7-footer for Ryan Gomes money. Actually, even that doesn't do this deal justice; Gomes signed for $1.1 million more than Splitter. While most front offices are still gauging how to mine international talent, general manager R.C. Buford and his team have it down to a science.

    The Spurs signed the 25-year-old Brazilian for three years with the midlevel exception after reserving his rights with the 28th pick in the 2007 draft. They have about $2.4 million left on their exception to nab more talent this offseason. In one fell swoop, the Spurs got better and younger as they begin their transition out of the Tim Duncan era.

    According to DraftExpress.com, Splitter has maintained a PER well over 20 for each of his past three years between the Euroleague and the Spanish League. He won't contribute at quite that level this coming season, but he won't need to alongside Duncan. Splitter would be a legitimate center on most NBA squads and is a fantastic pick-and-roll option to tandem with Tony Parker and Manu Ginobili. At $10.9 million, this is a heist.

    Overpay -- Darko Milicic
    Minnesota Timberwolves, four years, $20 million

    Milicic

    Quite a juxtaposition having Milicic follow Splitter here at the center slot. They're both 25-year-old, 7-foot European imports -- but the similarities end there. As far as we can tell, Milicic has no discernible skills as an NBA big man. He can't score, rebound or defend at all for his size, and his 96 career offensive rating, which calculates how many points a player scores every 100 possessions, ranks him on par with Brian Scalabrine among the league's worst veterans. Apparently, that subterranean production is worth $20 million to Timberwolves general manager David Kahn.

    Tom Haberstroh is a frequent contributor to ESPN Insider.
     
  3. cheke64

    cheke64 Member

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    overpay- kyle lowry...............
     
  4. Clips/Roxfan

    Clips/Roxfan Member

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    Thanks so much. It's very appreciated....
     
  5. GRENDEL

    GRENDEL Member

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    Why would you quote the whole article just to say thanks?
     
    1 person likes this.
  6. B-Bob

    B-Bob "94-year-old self-described dreamer"
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    Completely disagree with the writer about David Lee and the Warriors. It's just the safe writerly thing to do if you don't know the team to bash any decision they make. They traded garbage to New York for a real player, period.
     
  7. Spacemoth

    Spacemoth Member

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    Wesley Matthews was probably worse than Outlaw. Only one mill less but seriously, he was an UNDRAFTED ROOKIE JUST LAST YEAR. What kind of track record does it give you to thrive at wing in a Jerry Sloan system? Only Ronnie Price, Ronnie Brewer, Andrei Kirilenko, Ashton Kutcher, Shandon Anderson, Howard Eisley, Byron Russell, and Jeff Hornacek have ever been able to thrive in that role, and all those guys were like, virtual all-stars before and after their stints on the Jazz.

    I can't wait for Portland to slowly fall back to earth post-Pritchard. They've probably already scrapped their expensive Morey Espionage Department.
     
  8. justtxyank

    justtxyank Member

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  9. SunsRocketsfan

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    wow that darko signing is just horrible..
    and agree.. overpay - Kyle Lowry
     
  10. El Hitman

    El Hitman Member

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    Lol, Minny is on there TWICE!!! Idiots!!!
     
  11. TheRealist137

    TheRealist137 Member

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    David Lee is not a gamechanger. Warriors still won't make the Playoffs with him.
     
  12. Shaud

    Shaud Member

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    Anthony Randolph, Turiaf, and Azubuike are far from garbage.
     
  13. B-Bob

    B-Bob "94-year-old self-described dreamer"
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    Maybe on a good night, particularly Azubuike. But you can sum them together and not get David Lee (and I watched a lot of Warriors bball over the last few years.)

    Agree with ^^ post that Lee won't get Warriors to the playoffs in the West. didn't say that. I just think it's a good trade and good signing for them. Lee gets better and better is a gym rat working on his game. Odds are that he hasn't peaked.
     
  14. Slam Dunk

    Slam Dunk Contributing Member

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    I don't know if Darko was that bad of an acquisition. You can't teach a guy height. He's a legit 7 footer.

     
  15. rockets=life

    rockets=life Member

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    Luke Ridnour 4 million dollars a year for 4 years is a steal.
     
  16. blahblehblah

    blahblehblah Member

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    You're forgetting that randolph has tremendous trade value and potential... The kid is only 21 years old! In games where he's played 30 minutes or more was 16 points 11 rebs 1 blck (22 games).

    Anthony Randolph is already a much better defensive player than Lee could ever hope to be and was only being paid 2mil per. Randolph's main problem was in dealing with Don Nelson and his propensity not to play rookies or pf without a 3 point shot. The better question might be who hasnt had a problem with nelson the last few years... Monte, Jackson, Harrington, Crawford, Baron, the list goes on and on. David Lee might be perfect for Don Nelson, but guess what, Nelson and his system wont be here after next season and maybe sooner.

    Furthermore Randolph was still a highly sought after prospect... minnesota was interested in trading Klove or Jefferson for randolph, teams were clamoring to deal for him, yet the knicks were able to obtain for a player they had no need nor interest in resigning.

    To make this trade worst, the warriors traded away two solid players on great contracts, in Kelena Azuibuke and Ronny Turiaf, instead of dumping charlie bell or radmonovich or gadzuric. Is David Lee for six years 80 million a horrible signing? Not by itself, but in addition to the cost of Randolph, buke and turiaf? Definitely.
     
  17. conundrum

    conundrum Rookie

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    Those 3 players the Warriors gave up were all decent. Turiaf is one of my favorite players to watch, he is very physical and can block shots. Randolph has plenty of potential, and that guard is a decent 6th-7th man.

    David Lee is the great white hype, put up meaningless stats on a losing team.
     
  18. AstroRocket

    AstroRocket Member

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    Anthony Randolph for MIP this year. book it.
     
  19. sbyang

    sbyang Member

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    Best deal: Lebron James.

    That signing turned the heat into one of the heavy favorites. It will also make more money for the heat than any other signing will for any other team.
     
  20. dharocks

    dharocks Member

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    Turiaf is an okay 4th or 5th big, Azubuike's knees are shot, and Randolph is supposedly an immature moron who probably wasn't going to play anyway.

    You can't say giving up those guys is overpaying on their part just because New York had the option of letting Lee walk. Golden State didn't have cap room and presumably they wanted Lee. If that's the package NY was demanding, what are you gonna do? Wait for them to sign and trade Lee to Minny?
     

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