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[ESPN.com] Tim Legler: Which Rockets Team Will Show Up In The Playoffs?

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by jsmee2000, Mar 29, 2008.

  1. jsmee2000

    jsmee2000 Member

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    Daily Dime 1, 5, 7, 10

    article link


    DIME # 1

    Which Rockets Team Will Show Up In The Playoffs?

    [​IMG]
    By Tim Legler
    ESPN.com
    (Archive)

    There are two extreme points of view making the rounds with regard to the postseason fate of the Houston Rockets, who take on the San Antonio Spurs on Sunday (1 p.m. ET, ABC).

    In one corner are the non-believers. They consist of skeptics rambling about smoke and mirrors, luck and a favorable schedule as the main factors in the Rockets' 22-game winning streak and Western Conference resurgence.

    In the other corner are the idealists. Never mind the fact that this group is mostly comprised of Rockets season-ticket holders, relatives of team members and Spurs haters. They contend that Houston is just as likely as any of the other Western Conference teams to win a title.

    Reality, in my view, lies in the center of the ring, leaning slightly toward the non-believers. This team will remain competitive into the postseason. They are too good defensively to just go away. Fighting over screens, pressuring the ball, contesting shots and rebounding all equate to winning basketball. The Rockets consistently excel in all of those areas. They have a superstar in Tracy McGrady who may be the most talented offensive player in the NBA when he is in attack mode. He has the ability to keep Houston in games just by his himself. Their role players are tough, competitive and in touch with their limitations. All of these qualities are the definition of chemistry and that is a huge component in winning a championship.

    Having said that, there are a few harsh realities that will prevent the Rockets from winning the West.

    First, a seven-game series involves adjustments and counter-punching. It is far easier to adjust when you have several capable primary scoring options. The Rockets have only one, T-Mac. Rafer Alston, Shane Battier, Bobby Jackson, Luis Scola, and Carl Landry all had moments over the past two months when they offered surprising offensive outbursts. The problem is that there are no surprises in a seven-game series. Their opponent will lock in and expose weaknesses that can be masked during the regular season when there is often too little time to prepare. Rockets coach Rick Adelman has done an amazing job with this team, but, at some point, winning often comes down to great offensive players simply creating opportunities. The Rockets may lack enough of those to get out of the West.

    The second obstacle involves McGrady himself. He needs to demonstrate the type of killer instinct that wins championships, not merely an unselfish teammate willing to go down with the rest. Sometimes, for the good of the team, McGrady must abandon his teammates and take over. If the Rockets lose in the first round T-Mac and Adelman will rest easier this summer knowing their fate rested with McGrady shooting the ball. There is a fine line between unselfishness and weakness. For Houston's sake lets hope T-Mac demonstrates neither.

    Finally, there is the problem of matchups. Depending on how things play out over the last three weeks, Houston could fall anywhere between the No. 2 seed and No. 7. That means they could virtually play anyone in the first round.

    In looking at each potential pairing, the Rockets cannot generate enough offense to beat Phoenix, Golden State, or the Lakers. They won't beat San Antonio either because, well, the Spurs are a more talented mirror image of themselves. The Hornets would also handle Houston. Chris Paul's quickness would disrupt every defensive game plan the Rockets conceive.

    That leaves Dallas (if they hold on), Utah, and Denver (if they rally). The Mavs are a mess and are tailor-made offensively for the Rockets. Jason Kidd's irrelevance offensively means Houston could effectively double Dirk or Josh Howard without paying for it. I'd take Houston in that series. Utah is unbeatable at home but, despite being a No. 4 seed, may be on the road in the first round if Houston has a better record, which it most likely will. The Jazz have been mediocre away from Salt Lake City and that could be the difference. I'd say it's a toss-up. Denver is potent at times and pungent at others. They lack the discipline to beat a team as committed to the cause as Houston.

    So, there you have it, Rockets fans. Pray for Dallas, Denver, or Utah in the first round and hope McGrady can finally lead his team past the first round.

    ESPN analyst Tim Legler is a regular contributor to the Daily Dime.

    DIME #5
    Scola In Session

    By David Thorpe
    ESPN.com

    I enjoy watching Luis Scola abuse defenders inside with his excellent sense of timing on his moves. He is so creative and oftentimes unorthodox that just a slight turn of his head can get a defender moving. And when that happens, he'll wheel the opposite way for an easy deuce.

    See the full Thorpe rookie report

    DIME #7

    Alston's Hot March
    By Elias Sports Bureau

    Think Rockets guard Rafer Alston is having fun yet? Skip To My Lou poured in a game-high 28 points in the Rockets' 108-100 win Monday over the Kings. It was the fifth game this month in which Alston has scored 20 or more points, the most 20-point games he has had in any month in his NBA career. (His old high: four 20-point games with Toronto in November 2004.)

    See more Elias facts

    DIME#10
    Poll


    Is this the year a Tracy McGrady team wins a playoff series?

    Currently out of 924 votes 51%-NO 49%-YES
     
  2. Dave_78

    Dave_78 Member

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    Seems he either doesn't watch the games or manufactured some weaknesses for the Rockets. The only real issue is our lack of a illegitimate center under the age of 40. I noticed he never mentioned that.

    Sure, Tmac is the only star on the team but Rafer, Scola, Jackson and even Landry, Head and Battier are capable of pretty impressive offensive performances. The fact that we are now getting something around 26/12 consistently from Scola and Landry is huge but he never mentioned that.

    Sure, we will have nights when nobody is hitting but that happens to a lot of teams. Recent history has shown that we always have 2-3 guys who step up and produce big every night. The fact that Tmac isn't putting up a lot of points and we are still winning neutralizes Legler's point. Adelman's ability to put out unorthodox lineups that produce is also something not to be overlooked. Adelman has won this team quite a few games lately by throwing out some strange lineups that flat out produce wins.

    At the end of the day I doubt we can get out of the West but the reason for that Yao being out. You need some size to compete in the West. Most of what Legler said sounded like he was trying to meet his minimum word requirement.
     
  3. HotRocket

    HotRocket Member

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    He's right on about us for the most part, although I think that Scola/Landry (when you consider them together) are incredibly consistent with 20pts and 10rebs every game with the ability of one of them breaking out and having those stats on their own in any given game. Any game that Rafer goes off will be a sure win, so if he has 1-2 of those in a series we will have an advantage.

    I think it's interesting that it is possible that we could play Dallas/Utah/Denver/GS in the first couple of rounds. We match up well against them, and we would again have to hear about how "lucky" we are rather than how good we are.

    I see us making it to the second round, but getting past that will be hard going against the likes of NO/Lakers/Spurs/Suns in the second round. It should be fun though.
     
  4. MD_in_Training

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    I would say that everyone on our team is relatively consistent with the exception of Alston and McGrady. However, since those two handle the ball and facilitate much of our offense, our overall performance lies in the hands of those two. It's a pity that our fate in the playoffs depends on Rafer.
     
  5. BucMan55

    BucMan55 Member

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    I think that while he is right in that there is nobody besides T-Mac that can create for themselves and be consistent, the other guys are just too plentiful and too good to all be shut down in the same game. No matter what the other team does, if they cheat on T-Mac(that is bring extra defenders or shade toward him) Adelman will pick up on it and exploit the mismatch. No, it wasnt as easy as it was when Yao is down there, but the team has played pretty well offensively save the Boston/New Orleans games. And had a nice lead on NO and was tied with Boston at halftime.


    The team is also 13-3 since Yao Ming went down. That includes victories over @GSW, NO, LAL, and @DAL.
     
  6. jasonemilio

    jasonemilio Member

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    Hey can I atleast deserve some credit for discovering this article in the first place? (I put it up in the game thread). No biggee but I would just like some props :D
     
  7. pangzi

    pangzi Member

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    I will not be supprised at all coming playoff time Rafer will play much less than BJ.
     
  8. ico4498

    ico4498 Member

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    realistic outlook.

    wouldn't post this in Clutch's new 'Doomsday' thread.
     
  9. kwng

    kwng Member

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    He said it himself. Playoffs are about adjustments and adaptations to win a 7 series game. So I have confidence in Adelman in doing that the right way or finding the right way to win with the players he got.
     
  10. Spacemoth

    Spacemoth Member

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    Legler's a hater, he just doesn't want to admit it. If you say that the Rockets can only beat Dallas, Utah, or Denver then you are a hater.

    I would say we have just as good a shot against SA and NO also, and if the Lakers still don't get Bynum and/or Gasol then they are merely the same team they were last year, namely a 7 seed and not a 1-2-3 their record indicates them as.

    Phoenix I was ecstatic to face after they got Shaq. Then Yao went down. The irony burns, but they pose the worst matchup for us again, but for the completely opposite reason. We just don't have the bigs to take advantage of their poor interior defense. Next year we will.

    Have faith!
     
  11. DaDakota

    DaDakota Balance wins
    Supporting Member

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    Also from the Thorpe article:

    • Carl Landry isn't tall for his position, but he knows how to shoot and score with his arms fully extended. Combined with excellent athleticism and an almost 7-foot wingspan, he can play much taller than he really is.



    DD
     
  12. H-townhero

    H-townhero Member

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    I want them to win it all, but I'm realistic and don't care where they finish. They've (EVEN MCGRADY) played their hearts out this year.
     
  13. tallanvor

    tallanvor Member

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  14. daoshi

    daoshi Member

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    This is where all of his point becomes irrelevant. The winning in playoff is all about fundamentally sounded defense, not great offense. That's why the Pistons, the Spurs, and the Heats have won, but the Suns and Mavs lost.

    On second thought, DEFENSE was never in Legler's dictionary, so that explains all this garbage.

    This is exactly what have/will cost this team. The team will not win with individual 1on1, but with the players and the ball movement. If we can execute the offense, it will generate enough opportunities, then a matter of capturing those opportunities.

    The order of the teams I like the Rockets to meet is as following, I think it's a toss up if we meet any team outside the Suns, the Lakers, and maybe the Spurs.
    Denver --> Warriors --> Jazz --> Dallas --> Hornets --> Spurs --> Lakers --> Suns
     
  15. theogcasey

    theogcasey Member

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    I choose not to state my opinion on Bucher's predictions. All I have to say is "hater."
     
  16. H-townhero

    H-townhero Member

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    Ric Bucher is an idiot and I cannot believe he has the same last name as me. :mad:

    NO RELATION though. :p
     
  17. Rockets4279

    Rockets4279 Member

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    Im only worried about the Suns and Jazz in the playoffs.
     
  18. SuperMarioBro

    SuperMarioBro Member

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    The Spurs and the Lakers are the only two teams that I think Houston would really struggle against.

    That's not to say that we'd easily take out anyone else, but I think we would beat them... but then we'd probably have to play the Spurs or Lakers in the 2nd round.
     
  19. Tonaaayyyy

    Tonaaayyyy Member

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    team chemistry = the rockets secret weapon...I think we'll do ok against any team not name phoenix or boston.

    [​IMG]
    no team chemistry = FAIL ;)
     
  20. Robert

    Robert Member

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    Today's game against San Antonio will go a long way towards showing whether he is right or wrong.
     

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