Dr David Berri: Does Houston Really Have that Big of a Problem?

Didn't see this posted.

http://dberri.wordpress.com/2009/08/13/does-houston-really-have-that-big-of-a-problem/

Scola leads this group with 12.7 points per game. When we turn to scoring per 48 minutes we see only three players who exceed the league average of 19.8. Scoring drives perceptions in the NBA, and the lack of scoring numbers from this group suggests the Rockets are doomed.

But wins are about more than scoring. And when we measure these players contributions to wins (via Wins Produced), we see that Houston has fewer problems than people believe. Consequently, I think it’s possible that Morey’s considerable reputation is about to become further enhanced.

If the Rockets do make the playoffs without McGrady and Ming, the following will also occur:

- Morey is going to be considered for Executive of the Year
- Rick Adelman will be considered for Coach of the Year
- Aaron Brooks – who may lead this team in scoring – will be considered one of the best point guards in the game.

All of this is possible because this collection of non-scorers is also a collection of above average performers. Unfortunately, it seems likely that none of the non-scorers will get much credit if this team exceeds expectations.


Very interesting analysis. Read the whole thing.