Ok. There is no article to read, but damn, we are 17-10 and play three teams with records worse than us. We have a chance at 20-10 with a big national TV win in our pocket. Don't look now, but we have a legitimate shot at the show.
No they don't considering they have a horrible RPI and SOS. No big road victories and they don't play in a real big conference. I love what Tom Penders has done but if they don't get to the Conference Finals, they won't make it. Hopefully I am wrong. By the way they still have to play Marquette on the road which will be real tough considering the Coogs suck on the road.
That Lanny Smith kid from Hightower is a stud and has NBA potential because he is a true PG who also can score. Maybe he will play for the Rockets one day. This team will almost certanily make Tourny next year even though Owens will be gone.
The Coogs have an outside shot,but I think they'll have to win two in the CUSA tourney.Even so,an NIT bid is quite an accomplishment for this team.At home,we play like a top 20 team.Give us two years of Penders recruits and we should be a perrennial top 20 team again.I don't think Penders is the longterm answer for UH,but he sure is the guy to start the machine rolling again. On GuyV..That's a travesty...
I wouldn't jump so far ahead of yourselves. haven't even made the tourney yet and already think you will be perrennial top 20 team again...
I should say, I hope they do become one though. I'm not really a fan of any of the teams in Texas college wise (hard for me to get into a school I don't go to), but I'll root for anything Houston so I'd like to see Houston and Rice do well. I feel the nervousness though, I'm holding on to any last glimmer of hope that my team can pull out an NCAA berth, but it'd take quite a finish to the season.
Just think how better the Coogs will be when Penders gets his own players in there. He might win 20 games this year with just average talent. He should runaway with C-USA Coach of the Year.
Whether the Coogs make the NCAA or NIT they are headed in the right direction. I like that they are making it hard to win at home with one exception this year to Too Lame Univ. They caught us on a off night. Eat 'Em Up Coogs!
NCAA, I freakin' hope so, but an outside shot...NIT, definitely...A great turn around and no matter what you think about Penders, you have to give him props...
I was looking at the NCAA bracket on ESPN and I was wondering why the h3ll is Memphis in and not UH. UH has a better record overall and we even beat those guys. UH 18-10 Memphis 16-12
No way the Coogs should make the NCAA unless Texas A&M makes it first. My reasons: 1) A&M beat UH pretty handily early in the season 2) A&M will probably wind up with a 19-8 record with and 8-8 record in the brutal Big 12 South 3) A&M destroyed Texas Tech today, killed Iowa St, killed MO, beat Texas pretty easily WHEN Texas had all their players (although they got killed in Austin), barely lost at KU and home against OSU (both games down by 3 with the ball at the end). The only thing that is going to keep A&M out of the tourney is their super-weak non-conference schedule in which they won most games by 20+ points. If A&M doesnt make it and I don't think they will, then UH definitely should not make it. Most predictions I have seen have UH playing @ Texas A&M in the first round of the NIT because they believe it will draw a nice crowd. I think it would be a good game since UH has been playing a lot better lately.
well here a list of reasons i think uofh should make it to the tournament before a&m provide that houston wins the rest of their regular season season games (plus at least one in the conference tournament). 1) They have a better rpi. Houston's rpi is in the mid 50's now while a&m's in the in the high 60's. neither is a tournament ready rpi, but if houston takes care of business there rpi should be at the very least in the mid-40's or better, which is reasonable for a tournament team. I can't see a&m's rpi getting much better unless the pull another upset or two. 2) Houston has more quality wins. houston has two top 25 rpi wins over what looks like will be the sec west champs and the conf usa champs, a&m has zero top 25 rpi wins. 3) houston would be playing better basketball at the end of the year. the committee takes a look a how a team plays during the stretch run. Houston has won 6 or 7 (to be 9 of 11 or 10 or 12)with the only loss at top 25 charlotte. a&m has been playing well too, but won't be able to match the record of uh coming down the stretch. 4) higher conference finish plus a higher non-conference rpi. in the end both teams are on the outside looking in right now. Houston just a better chance to have a legit resume at the end of the season. a&m's rpi, lack of road victories and lack of a marque win will keep them back. A 21-11 (11-5) 4th place/ low 40 rpi, houston team would be right on the bubble.
Well about the only thing I agree with you here is that they will both be on the outside looking in. According to http://www.sportsline.com/collegebasketball/polls/rpi/index1, A&M's RPI is higher than UH and it is not even including the 22 point win over Texas Tech that A&M had who has an RPI of 24, which takes care of your second point. Sorry, but UH's higher conference finish isn't going to be that much better. Lets take a look at it ... A&M plays Baylor and OSU so they will probably end with an 8-8 conference record. Texas plays OU and OSU so they will likely also end with an 8-8 conference record so the Ags will at worst be tied for 6th and possibly tied for 5th depending on what Iowa State does. I think a 5th or 6th place finish playing in the Big 12 South is as impressive as a 4th place Conference-USA finish. Just my opinion though. I also just think you cannot discount the head to head factor which A&M won pretty convincingly. I think they are going to have pretty similar resumes for post-season play and that just seems like a huge tiebreaker to me. The wild card is going to be the tournaments though ... If either of these teams can make a nice run in their respective tournaments, it would be a huge boost. If A&M didn't make it in, I'd love to see UH make it, but I just don't see it happening without a great run in the conference tourney. That said, it looks like a date for these two teams in the NIT to play each other.
Gillespe is a terrific coach, and i've been very impressed w/ the turnaround jobs he's done at utep and a&m. he's a great hire and i think a&m should be a yearly tourny contender as long he's there. Don't sell them short this year though, if they can beat ok st, and do anything in the conf tournament they might have a reasonable shot at an at large. the bottom end of the bracket is as wide open as i've ever remembered it. teams like iowa st., georgetown, and even pittsburg, who were widely considered "in" as short as a week ago seem to be collapsing down the stretch and there really hasn't been many teamsfrom outside the bubble that have take charge. so there should be 4-5 spots that are completely up for grabs. however a&m's non conference schedule probably hurt's their resume as much as it helps. and the changes to the rpi hurt them as well. as far as houston goes, they have to win out the regular and probably make at least the semi's of the conf tournament. If they do that, i am almost positive that they'll get in. the cbssport rpi rating that you linked to use an old-outdated formula for calculating the rpi. better sites that are consistent with the formula the ncaa uses can be found at pomroy.com and realtimerpi.com. espn also has has rpi in their inside section. pomroy and realtimerpi use slightly different forumlations (for ex. realtime gives bonus points for "quality" wins, takes away for "bad" losses, like the committeed used to do. i'm not sure if they'll still do that this year though), so there rankings differ a little bit. pomroy has houston at 65 and realtime has them at 55. they are one game out of 3 place in the conference and finish w/ marquette minus diener and uab minus one of the twins. both are winnable games vs. top 100 rpi teams. if uh swepts it will probably give them 4th place in conference and a significant/needed boost in the rpi. 11-5 in the conference has historical been more than good enough to lead to a bid. #45 in the rpi has historical been the cut off for at larges and uh would be close to that, but who knows what will happen w/ the committe and the new rpi this year. Make no mistake, the conference's sagging power rating are due to the drag from the bottom of the conference. the top/mid levels of the conference is competive and comparable w/ the most of the bcs conferences.
cbs sportsline is as of now projecting that uofh makes the tournament. in their bracket they have houston as a 13th seed facing oklahoma. Lunardi, the bracket guy at espn, apparently was on espnnews earlier tonight, saying that houston was one of the last four out as of now.
Georgetown just eleminated itself against nova. That's one more bubble team gone. Only a few hundred to go.
Espn's bracket guy talked about the coogs today on espn news as teams being talked about for the big dance.
