CNNUSATODAYGALLUP SHOCK POLL: Kerry beats Bush 53-46 in head-to-head matchup...

PREMATURE SPECULATION

 

Watch your language TJ...

"Despite the apparent rising fortunes of Democrats, the poll showed Bush enjoyed advantages over his rivals in several areas. "

 

hmmmya... It is just a poll though.

 

yer right, Kerry should beat Bush by a whole lot more than 7 points

no need to get ahead of ourselves

 

I agree TJ, polls are usually inaccurate and are flawed in their procedure. Im pretty sure by doing a phone poll they missed a lot of people that would vote for Bush, since many are in bomb shelters and some dont even have phones. Others are overseas defending and dying for our country. Im sure if you included these people into the statistics, Bush would be a bit closer to Kerry in the informal polls.

 

Bush will react to this poll. Always does.

Code orange alerts, Moon-Mars programs , lover of the arts and talk about invading Pakistan etc. just haven't helped.

What will he do next?

Dump Cheney?

Actually visit some disabled veterans or try to rekindle the 9/11 grief. These are tricky as he could go to the well one time too many with this and wind up losing in a landslide.

Maybe the gay marriage thing can be ratchetted up, but that only plays to his faithful followers

Maybe an investigation of the Janet Jackson boob exposition. I see the FCC has jumped on that major issue.

I don't think he'll try an appearance on a battleship or a day trip to Afghanistan.

Maybe a trip to a school in the ghetto where he will bounce a little African American kid on his lap and read to him. This has long been a favorite of his mother and wife. You know a sort of compassionate conservative feint.

What do you all think he'll do? I'm sure someone on cc.net can come up with the next gimmick he employs.

 

If only you were capable of being selective, I'd call this selective reasoning, if only you were capable of reas....

 

Guys, it is Feb. Election is November. The worst landslide defeat of any Democrat in many moons is just months away.

 

-bamaslammer, February 2, 1992.

 

Wow, what a slide. Things the Administration counted on for a "bounce" in popularity haven't panned out. Saddam is captured and Bush's approval rating climbs to 60%... one month later it's 49%, the lowest of his presidency. That's shocking. And sandwiched in between is a State of the Union address, which is always a sure-fire bounce for any President, and Bush's approval rating goes down after his.

If you look at the trend of the last month, early or not, you can bet there are some white knuckles in the White House. This is unprecedented. His supporters can denigrate what's happening to Bush's popularity all they want, but I don't think this can be understated... Bush is in big trouble. No question about it.

The American public wants him gone and are casting their eyes on the Democratic candidates as they get narrowed down and liking what they see... and they clearly want to vote for one of them.

 

This is probably gonna sound way more offensive than I mean for it to, but...

It must be really aggravating for Republicans to be back on the defensive. They've had three years of kicking the **** out of liberals and moderates, and that time is coming to an end (regardless of the election outcome). Democrats are finding their voice again, and the kid gloves are coming off. A semblence of two *different* parties is starting to take shape.

Republicans have had an unprecedented three-year run of getting everything they wanted by cloaking it in patriotism and wrapping it in an American flag. They've obviously gotten used to the free pass from the terrified American people, and it's going to be tough for them to relinguish control of the national debate.

I mean no offense to anyone in particular -- it was just a passing thought. I bet this election season gets DAMN ugly.

 

Amen...

 

I find it humorous that CNN has a poll with Kerry beating Bush while Faux News has a poll with Bush beating Kerry...by exactly the same margin.

This country is easily as divided, if not more divided, than it was heading into the 2000 Presidential (s)election. G-d willing, whoever wins, we will be spared the ugliness of hanging chads, recounts and the Supreme Court selecting the President rather than the poplulus electing the President.

 

Let me state it here now that I think it is a calculated mistake for Karl Rove and co to put the GOP 'normination day' in NYC. Ithink sincerely think it will backfire.

Anyway it is too early to tell but this poll result is shocking nontheless. Pat Robertson has already predicted that GWB will win come November. He said God revealed it to him. Interesting. God also revealed to me that he will NOT. So lets see whose God is greater eh or who is seeing fuzzy vision? Common November.

 

i hear god and jesus also wanted the pats to win

 

as a Christian, i'm so disturbed by how loose and fast he plays with this stuff. i don't doubt that God speaks to people...believe me, i don't doubt that at all. but true prophecy from God is 100% right 100% of the time....Pat Robertson has shown that he has not been that way. He even admits to it. it's ridiculous...and it really frustrates me.

 

isnt that what all politicians do?

do any of these guys actually have substance?

 

Polls, schmolls. Show me the same poll a week before the election and I'll start believing the hype. Right now, you have one party in the spotlight and an incumbent doing nothing but sitting there taking criticism over policy from the party in the spotlight.

Gallup is by far the most reliable and respectable of the pollsters so the results have to be taken seriously, but no one should really be surprised.

In case we all forgot, the 2000 election was the closest in recorded history. I know the GOP forgot because they rode into office like they had just beat Gore by 20 points and the country had suddenly declared its personal allegience to Carl Rove, but the reality is that this country is pretty damn well divided between the two parties.

And the Dems aren't saints either. Clinton's administration played the smug card WAY too often and pretended that respectibility doesn't matter. They just assumed that everything would work out fine because they were facing a guy in Bush with more skeletons in his closet than Larry Flynt and the vocabulary of a dislyexic 3rd grader. But instead of ending up in the White House, Gore ended up drowing his sorrows in Dunkin' Doughnuts and a beard that nearly swallowed his face.

The moral: fortunes can change quickly in politics.

No one should be declaring victory in January. The election season doesn't kickoff until Labor Day and I guarantee you that the polls will be all over the map between now and then.