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Chronicle: Relaunching-While Rockets have some questions, they may also have answers

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by ron413, Sep 30, 2002.

  1. ron413

    ron413 Member

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    http://www.chron.com/cs/CDA/story.hts/sports/1596403

    Sept. 29, 2002, 11:58PM

    Relaunching: While Rockets have some questions, they may also have the answers
    -By JONATHAN FEIGEN-
    Houston Chronicle


    The signs of change have been as unmistakable as the billboards around town. The owner has spoken about historic greatness. The general manager said the main rebuilding is complete. The leading scorer said there can be no more excuses.

    But for all of Leslie Alexander's confidence, Carroll Dawson's toil and Cuttino Mobley's determination, the Rockets have not made the playoffs since 1999 and are coming off their worst season since 1983.

    The addition of Yao Ming will assure the spotlight will be back, and so will the scrutiny absent with last season's run of injuries. The parts might be in place, but the pressure to escape the lottery is mounting. Success might depend on how the Rockets answer a few key questions.

    ·With Yao around, can Steve Francis keep his nickname?

    He better be the "Franchise." If his teammates stay healthy, he should have the help he needs. But the Rockets will still go only as far as their best player can take them. To do that, Francis will have to be a more efficient point guard and at least as explosive a scorer.

    But late last season, when his shoulder injury made him unwilling to shoot often, Francis showed increasing talent as a playmaker, even if he didn't have the shooters around to reward him. Scoring should never be a problem.

    ·Will signing Francis to a long-term, maximum contract extension help?

    Francis is hugely ambitious and will not be satisfied with cashing paychecks. Still, the commitment could help. Francis has never skimped on effort in games or practices. But the Rockets have asked him to be a greater leader, code for losing the frequent tardiness among other things.

    ·Will Kenny Thomas begin training camp at small forward just to relieve congestion at power forward?

    That might help. But excluding Thomas, the Rockets have only a player coming off knee surgery, Glen Rice, a rookie, Bostjan Nachbar, and Terence Morris at small forward.

    They also need to give Maurice Taylor, the best shooter at his position, and Eddie Griffin, the best shot-blocker and rebounder, playing time, but don't want to lose Thomas' toughness and defense. The mix might work if Thomas can be quick enough defensively to handle the scorers at the position.

    ·Should Cuttino Mobley's decision to hire a publicist raise red flags of concern?

    No one hires a publicist unless he wants more publicity. The Rockets might prefer Mobley earned his attention by winning more often. But he has always been such a workout fiend that there is no reason to worry Mobley will be out of shape. And Mobley has taken losses harder than most, indicating he is not in it just for the attention.

    But Mobley, the Rockets' leading scorer last season (at 21.7 points per game to 21.6 for Francis), will have to share the wealth much more with more shooters around him. Though he still couldn't pass the salt at a picnic, Mobley made himself a surprisingly effective catch-and-shoot option when opponents zoned away his off-the-dribble game. But with the other shooters back, it will be interesting to see how a player concerned with publicity adjusts to getting fewer shots.

    ·Why isn't Yao signed, and how long will we be asking this question?

    Now that Yao is in Korea to play in the Asian Games, there is no urgency to get him signed. Like labor negotiations that never reach agreement until the strike date is near, these talks won't be over until they need to be.

    The Rockets' talks with the China Basketball Association have been reduced to translating written agreements into legalese. The hurdles in the contract negotiations are not great enough for either side to keep Yao out of Westside any longer than his schedule already will.

    ·When will Yao be here?

    The Asian Games end Oct. 14. Give him two days to travel from Korea to Beijing and then to spend a few hours at home in Shanghai, then a day of travel, and he should not reach Texas before Oct. 17. The Rockets would love to have him in town by Oct. 20, the date of their fifth preseason game.

    ·Speaking of the schedule, should there be concern over Yao's lack of an offseason?

    Absolutely. NBA players in the World Championships said they were exhausted after playing as many as nine games in 11 days. Yao has been in tough training camps much longer and has moved on to another tournament. He will be a 22-year-old rookie. That wall will hit hard.

    ·So what do we call this guy?

    One last time -- it's Yao or Yao Ming, never Ming. To Yao, calling him Ming makes as little sense as referring to Rudy Tomjanovich as Tom.

    The equivalent of the Western "first-name basis" is to use both names -- Yao Ming -- as do his friends and family.

    ·What roster battles will be waged in training camp?

    The starting forward positions are all up for grabs. But starting honors could become interchangeable, especially with Taylor suspended for the regular season's first five games. The starting small forward job could depend on matchups, making that competition in camp less critical.

    It might be more interesting to see who emerges from the backup backcourt competition.

    Tierre Brown, Oscar Torres and Pete Mickeal will go to camp with non-guaranteed contracts. Second-round pick Tito Maddox has a partially guaranteed deal, and the Rockets would like to have his ability to play either guard position -- a quality the other guards do not share -- in reserve. Torres did not develop as the Rockets expected last season but could grow with his second training camp.

    Mickeal would seem to offer a better defender, Torres a better scorer, and Brown a bit of insurance at point. Maddox might determine what the Rockets need.

    ·Will the Rockets remain the NBA's worst draw?

    No. Years of neglect caught up, but marketing and advertising should help. Yao should help. A better record should help. Besides, how is anybody going to sell the Cavaliers or Nuggets?

    ·Will the Rockets discover defense?

    A terrible defensive team last season -- the Rockets were last in the NBA in forcing turnovers and second-to-last in defensive shooting percentage -- the Rockets blamed their injuries for their lack of cohesiveness on the defensive end. That should change. Better health also should bring better depth and more energy to pressure the ball, crowd passing lanes and perhaps even force an occasional turnover.

    When together, Yao and Griffin should provide a nice shot-blocking tandem inside. But the perimeter defenders will have to be more disciplined and consistent.

    ·Are the Rockets still too young?

    They are young. There will be at least five players in their first or second year, and there could be as many as seven. But they also could have five starters with at least three years of experience, with veteran backups at every position but center. Yao, Griffin and Nachbar will not be what they will be eventually, but inexperience should not prevent the Rockets from contending for a playoff spot.

    ·So will this team be the 45-win team of 2000-2001 or the 54-loss team of last season?

    Neither. Even if the Rockets had everyone back and in perfect health from two seasons ago, the rules and the game have changed. The one-man isolation style that made Mobley or Francis unstoppable against most teams and an equalizer against better teams was removed by the change in illegal-defense rules.

    Now teams must be able to hit the jumpers the Rockets clanged last season. With Taylor and Rice back, Yao and Nachbar in the rotation and Griffin out of his teens, the Rockets should be able to punish teams that send zones in front of Mobley and Francis, or at least be better than last in assists.

    KEY DATES

    ·Today -- Team arrives in Austin for training camp.

    ·Tuesday -- First day of training camp.

    ·Oct. 8 -- First preseason game, at Grizzlies.

    ·Oct. 11 -- Training camp in Austin ends.

    ·Oct. 15 -- First preseason home game (Clutch City Classic), vs. Spurs.

    ·Oct. 30 -- Regular-season opener, at Pacers.

    ·Nov. 2 -- Regular-season home opener, vs. Raptors.
     
  2. MacBeth

    MacBeth Member

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  3. Pipe

    Pipe Member

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    I thought it was interesting that the article didn't mention who would start at center. Not that it's the most important question facing the team (except to spare the BBS from HP's gloating ;) ), but it will be interesting to see how Rudy handles it.

    For my money, I would let Yao Ming come off the bench for a while. I think over the season that the minutes at center will be fairly evenly distributed between Yao Ming and Cato due to a number of reasons. Yao has shown a propensity for foul trouble. His conditioning is suspect. He has had an absolutely brutal game and travel schedule all summer long. He will be adjusting to a new home, new culture, and new team. He will have 10 days practice at most with the team before the opener. He will have enormous pressure on him to justify the number 1 pick and represent his homeland.

    I would let Yao Ming ease into the starting position. That strategy has the added bonus of perhaps keeping Cato a little motivated, or that's how the theory goes anyway.
     
  4. heypartner

    heypartner Member

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    Pipe...lol

    The bet is looking piss poor at this point. Of course, that's the whole reason it became a bet to begin with, because it is so iffy, due to the Asian Games. You have to make really dangerous bets around here to get any takers.

    I could totally see Rudy waiting for MoT's suspension to end to get Yao in there as starter, but that would be a wussy bet. You gotta believe Rudy wants Yao in there with Francis (not the bench) as soon as possible. The "theory goes" that the most important thing this season is Francis/Mobley changing their game for a future with Yao, and Cato can't help that as much as Yao.
     
  5. ricerocket

    ricerocket Member

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    Just like small forward, it may depend on the opponent. I think Yao Ming's late arrival means he is not going to start right away. Maybe by the time MT starts he will too. In Rudy's system starting isn't everything anyway...
     
  6. GocartMozart

    GocartMozart Member

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    I think there are two very important goals this season -- the longterm development of the Francis/Yao/Griffin nucleus on which the dreams of Rocket reascendancy reside and the short-term goal of making the playoffs this year. I think it would be a mistake to underestimate how important it is to Rudy, to Rockets' management (given the desire to establish momentum going into the new arena), and to the players themselves to make the playoffs this season. Which would be a breeze in the East, but isn't quite a gimme in the West. This Rocket team should be able to do it, but with the Clippers' talent level, two teams are going to have to be pushed out, not just one.

    Given how grueling the first year of the NBA is to a normal rookie, let alone one who STARTS the season with as much wear and tear as Yao, I think that Yao will have to be brought along fairly slowly this year. I think that Yao's PT this year will disappoint a lot of people, but the VERY LAST thing the Rockets want is to have Yao suffer a significant injury this year from being overworked. If the Rockets play Yao a lot early, he could hit the traditional rookie wall by Xmas. I think it makes a lot more sense to bring him along slowly, essentially giving him "book (and film)-learning", observation time, a focus on long-term conditioning, and a minimal amount of PT early, with an emphasis on preparing him for an increasing contribution the second half of the season. This season is for him to work on learning the basics of the NBA game and adjusting to its speed. It won't be until the next off-season and training camp that Rudy will be able to work on redesigning the offense to begin focusing it to maximize the advantages of the Francis/Yao/Griffin nucleus which represents our future.

    Actually, I see Yao's role this year to be remarkably similar to Griffin's last year. I look for a greatly improved presence for Griffin this year, with Yao starting to "click" off and on next season. The year after that: look out NBA, here we come!
     
  7. ricerocket

    ricerocket Member

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    I agree with most of your points, except I think the pressure to play Yao will mean he is in the game more that you contemplate. Politics and just the fact he is that good will force the Rockets to push him more than necessary before the second half. I think we all are overstating this wear and tear thing, this isn't a forty year old Jordan, this is a wide eyed 22 year old full of excitement and energy. He can rest next summer. Why did we draft a guy that may play next spring and maybe can post Cato numbers by then? Yao Ming needs to contribute now, just like Francis did, just like Sampson did, just like Hakeem did. That's why he makes the big bucks...
     
  8. Lobo

    Lobo Member

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    I hope "just like Hakeem and Sampson did" doesn't mean we're looking for Yao to put up 20 and 10 numbers, because that won't happen. 14 and 8 would be great, but that might be pushing it too.

    I'm actually hoping the competition for PT will light a little fire under Cato. Note that I said "little"...:p
     
  9. A-Train

    A-Train Member

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    I have a feeling Mobley won't be re-signing here after his contract expires. Mobley has proven himself to be a consistent scorer, so he won't accept one of those cheap contracts that he took a couple years ago. We just signed Steve to a fat contract, Taylor still has four years left on his deal, then we'll have to re-sign Griffin and possibly Yao after his third season (like we did with Steve), so Mobley might be the odd man out. Let's face it, shooting guard is probably the position with the most talent in the NBA, and if need be, we can get one cheaper for what Mobley will want. Or, we can get a point guard and slide Steve over to shooting guard. Mobley hired a publicist to get his name out just in case he has to test the free agent market.
     
  10. RocksMillenium

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    Great article, I'm pumped about the season! Who do the Rockets play Oct. 20th? I don't think Mobley is going anywhere, money has never been an issue with the Rockets. I think people are overreacting with Mobes getting a publicist, it could be for anything, maybe he's getting media gigs, or whatever. Besides Mobley has something like 3 years left on his contract, so why would he get a publicist to help him get a bigger contract 3 years ahead of time?
     
  11. ROXTXIA

    ROXTXIA Member

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    Mobley will stay, depending on how much we offer him next time around. We'll have a dominant PG and C (the two toughest positions to fill in the NBA), and he enjoys living in Houston, so I think he'll be around.

    And I could post this in a KT thread but why? I hope we can find quality minutes for him on the Rockets.
     
  12. Jeff

    Jeff Clutch Crew

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    If Mobley's publicist actually gets him to show up at scheduled events, that would be a good start.
     
  13. HeyDude

    HeyDude Member

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    cat will never leave his partner in steve :D
     
  14. B-ball freak

    B-ball freak Member

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    He probably is looking to get more pub so that he can get more marketing deals as well as a better shot at making the All-Star team. Nothing wrong with that.
     
  15. RocketsPimp

    RocketsPimp Member

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    Whachu talkin' 'bout Jeff?
     
  16. Sane

    Sane Member

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    I find it incredibly unbelievable that people expect Yao Ming to be the starter from Game 1. He'll be tooooooooooo exhausted. Think about it like this:

    Every year, American rookies coem to NBA teams fully rested. They then proceed to adjust to the game, despite playing in the same country. Then, regardless of how good they are, they hit a rookie wall. Now take that same player, make his play the World Championships, then the Asian games consecutively. Then immediately fly him to Beijing for 2 days, then send him to Houston where he would be in camp 3 days later at the most. As if that's not enough, people often say that training methods are not very good in China, and Yao may very well be in bad fitness, i.e., bad stamina and strength. Let's face it, he doesn't have the kind of training Jay Williams or Elton Brand had when they came out.

    It would be risking our future to start him so early. Give him garbage minutes in any preseason games, and give him a 20-min MAX off the bench for the first 15 games of the season. Then slowly start increasing his minutes, and when he can play 25 minutes easily, without huffing and puffing, then insert him in the starting line-up. Hopefully, with Cato able to play lots of minutes, he won't hit the wall so hard and he'll help us in the playoffs.
     
  17. RocketsPimp

    RocketsPimp Member

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    I don't think Griffin or Yao will be getting the huge max-type contracts everyone seems to be expecting them to get. Griffin had a good rookie season, but is going to need a couple solid seasons with great numbers to demand a big deal. Yao's contact future isn't so clear for obvious reasons. I don't think Mobley will be going anywhere barring spectacular play from Griffin/Yao. Even then, I'm not convinced he'll bail on the Rockets.
     
  18. heypartner

    heypartner Member

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    Something that no one has hit on,

    Feigen says we should not call him "Ming," anymore. That is not what anyone here said, but I assume Feigen is getting that from the Rockets Communications Director, Nelson Luis, who did go to China with CD and met his parents.

    so, what's up???
     
  19. JuanValdez

    JuanValdez Member

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    HP, I think this article casts some shadow on the possibility of Yao starting right away:

    Five starters with at least 3 years of experience? So he's thinking Cato as starting center. Veteran backups at every position but center? He's definitely thinking Cato is still the starter.

    As for Mobley's publicist I've noticed this: no matter he is now a 20 PPG scorer, Mobley still cannot shake the rep he got by being picked in the mid-second round. Everyone recognizes that he's a second round steal, but won't give him credit for being one of the best SGs in the league. I think this is why he needs a publicist -- because he didn't get the free ride Ray Allen got by being a lotto pick.
     
  20. rockbox

    rockbox Around before clutchcity.com

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    I think W&S touched on this along time ago. He said you can call him Yao or Yao Ming but it was impolite to call him just Ming.
     

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