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Astros 2015 playoff chances

Discussion in 'Houston Astros' started by samtaylor, Jul 29, 2015.

  1. samtaylor

    samtaylor Member

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    According to http://www.playoffstatus.com/mlb/mlbpostseasonprob.html the Astros currently have a 80% chance to make it to the playoffs, 67% to either win the division or win the wild card play-in game, 32% to make it to the ALCS, 14% to make it to World Series, and 7% chance to win the World Series!

    http://www.fangraphs.com/coolstandings.aspx is a little more detailed, having the Angels expected wins to be 88.5 and the Astros at 87.7...They give the Angels a 54.7% to win the AL West and give the Astros a 43.7% of winning it.

    To begin the season, the Astros had a 4.8% chance of winning the AL West.
     
  2. tmacfor35

    tmacfor35 Contributing Member

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    Wonder if they will start flipping those numbers.

    Kazmir will add another 2 to 3 wins.

    Getting Lowrie and Springer back(higher OBP guys) should help this offense.

    One more starting pitcher and this team will be loaded.

    Adding another guy to push McHugh back to a 5th starter makes this team World series contenders.
     
  3. Mattician

    Mattician Member

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    I'm optimistic. If the Astros can avoid the 5+ game losing streaks, I like their chances.
     
  4. Nimo

    Nimo Member

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    If they do, they'll have to do the same for the changes the Angels are making as well.
     
  5. tmacfor35

    tmacfor35 Contributing Member

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    Haven't really added an exponential piece such as Kazmir. They are grabbing utility guys to patch up the lineup.

    I am not convinced. They need another hitter to protect Pujols.

    Nobody on that roster will do so.
     
  6. Nimo

    Nimo Member

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    [​IMG]
    Hi, my name is Mike Trout. You might not know this but I play for the Angels. I can hit the baseball. A little bit.
     
  7. PhiSlammaJamma

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    Taylor Swift today, the ghosts of Astros Past tomorrow.
     
  8. tmacfor35

    tmacfor35 Contributing Member

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    Trout hits third to Pujols fourth.

    Nobody as of now is scary to pitch to behind him.

    There is a reason Carlos Correa is getting pitched around right now with Evan Gattis or Valbuena behind him.

    There is a reason George Springer was tearing it up as a 2 hole hitter with Correa behind him.
     
  9. moonsh0t

    moonsh0t Member

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    Springer was batting leadoff the entire time Correa was in the 3 spot. Altuve was batting 2nd. Not that it changes your point much.
     
  10. TOP

    TOP Member

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    We have a 100% chance of getting in! But seriously, we have a ton of AL West games. Take 2 of 3 against our foes and we should stay out in front. Kazmir is pitching better than he was with the A's in his 1st 2 starts. Maybe some of that magic can rub off on Flier and Gomez. Flier is already sub 4.00 era and Gomez is a former all-star. I could see them improving here under this leadership and playing for a team that's competing. Maybe re-energize their desire to win as opposed to going through the motions with the Brew Crew.

    As for the playoffs, we could have some sort of combination of...

    C .216 Jason Castro
    1B .184 Chris Carter
    2B .302 Jose Altuve
    SS .297 Carlos Correa
    3B .286 Jed Lowrie
    LF .266 Preston Tucker
    CF .262 Carlos Gomez
    RF .264 George Springer
    DH .246 Evan Gattis

    C .237 Hank Conger
    1B/3B .198 Luis Valbuena
    UT .266 Marwin Gonzalez
    OF .235 Jake Marisnick
    OF .236 Colby Rasmus

    SP 2.10 Scott Kazmir
    SP 2.32 Dallas Keuchel
    SP 2.48 Lance McCullers
    SP 3.89 Mike Fiers
    SP 3.93 Vincent velasquez
    SP 4.43 Collin McHugh
    SP 4.54 Scott Feldman

    RP 1.37 Will Harris
    RP 2.56 Pat Neshek
    RP 2.70 Josh Fields
    RP 2.75 Tony Sipp
    RP 3.29 Luke Gregerson
    RP 4.20 Chad Qualls

    Batting averages look much better with the return of Lowrie/Springer(soon) and Gomez. Wonder what we do with the pitchers with all of the quality SP.

    First we have to make the playoffs but I'm excited about the improved batting averages for sure if they can stay consistent.
     
  11. SooneRockStro

    SooneRockStro Member

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    I'm absolutey floored that Vegas will still give you 16/1 odds on the Astros. This team is deep and has a very formidable 1-2 pitching punch. I don't remember an Astros team with this kind of depth.
     
  12. CisBuds4U

    CisBuds4U Member

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    Pitching depth? The 2005 Astros say hello:

    Roger Clemens
    Andy Petite
    Roy Oswalt
    Brandon Backe
    Astacio

    Qualls
    Wheeler
    Lidge

    Batting Depth: The 1998 Astros say what up:

    Biggio
    Bell
    Bagwell
    Alou
    Berry
    Carl Everett
    Hidalgo
    Ausmus/Eusebio
    Spiers
    Guttierez

    those were great years
     
  13. SooneRockStro

    SooneRockStro Member

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    Those playoff teams were great. The pitching definitely was better than this one, but I'm not sure I wouldn't out Keuchel/Kazmir up against anyone the way they're going.

    That 1998 offense was incredible, but was not clutch when it mattered. I cant wait to find out if this offense is clutch come playoff time.
     
  14. Joe Joe

    Joe Joe Go Stros!
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    This is a great year.

    Not ready as a team to challenge the 98 Stros hitters, but a very good team.
     
  15. crash5179

    crash5179 Contributing Member

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    1980 Astros Pitchers say hello to the 2005 squad.

    Nolan Ryan
    JR Richard
    Joe Niekro
    Ken Forche
    Joe Sambito
    Dave Smith
    Joaquin Andujar
     
  16. CisBuds4U

    CisBuds4U Member

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    Agreed. Not ready to crown this years team with anything but they certainly can be special. Hopefully they'lol rank up there
     
  17. crash5179

    crash5179 Contributing Member

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    The 1986 pitching staff was pretty damn good as well

    Mike Scott
    Nolan Ryan
    Bob Knepper
    Jim Dishaes
    Dave Smith
    Charlie Keefeild
     
  18. josephnicks

    josephnicks Member

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    PLAYOFFS???

    my all-time favorite astros post on clutchfans.

    http://bbs.clutchfans.net/showthread.php?t=244504&page=2

     
  19. josephnicks

    josephnicks Member

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    Lidge was already SHIIT by then.. Wandy was also very serviceable, he did a great job when clemens left early in game 1..
     
  20. Houstunna

    Houstunna The Most Unbiased Fan
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    The '98 hitters were mostly CRAP postseason performers.

    The current team has potential to be better playoff-wise... they can't be worse.
     

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