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A stats paper, the Rockets, RVG and the future.

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by jtr, Mar 1, 2014.

  1. jtr

    jtr Contributing Member

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    I would like to focus on a paper discussing many issues that are being investigated by Morey and the Rockets. The paper is actually a reflection of Morey's grand d-league experiment that started at the beginning of this season. To understand the context you should read the following excellent article from Grantland:

    http://grantland.com/features/nba-dleague-rgv-vipers-houston-rockets-future-of-basketball/

    This article is a summation of the RGV offensive strategy this season. They push pace to unheard of levels. Almost 110 possessions per game. Mid-ranged shots are unheard of. A stunning 45 three point shots are attempted per game. To put that into context the Rockets lead the NBA with 26 three point shots per game.

    The paper of interest was submitted to the MIT-Sloan conference. It was not accepted, but that does not impinge on its worth.

    http://www.boxscoregeeks.com/articl...n-basketball-and-the-search-for-floor-stretch

    The main tenants of this paper are:

    1: There currently are no identifiable limits to the upper end of the number of three point shots taken and their effect on improving offensive performance in the NBA.

    2: Increasing the number of three point shots taken actually increases the effectiveness of the two point shot.

    What does this mean for the future Rockets? IMHO higher pace and more three point shots. Currently 32.5% of the Rockets field goal attempts are from beyond the arc. Do not be surprised if that number increases 10% over the next couple of seasons.

    What does this mean for the Rockets roster? Next season I could see Troy Daniels with a roster spot. A stretch PF becomes critical. If Jones and D-Mo cannot fill that role expect at least one of them to be traded.

    Also of interest is this article:
    http://grantland.com/the-triangle/t...d-league-plan-to-do-away-with-midrange-shots/

    I do recommend looking at the Tableau graphs at the end of the boxscoregeeks article. They are amazing.
     
    #1 jtr, Mar 1, 2014
    Last edited: Mar 1, 2014
  2. try

    try Member

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    The links don't work for me.
     
  3. jtr

    jtr Contributing Member

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    I am so sorry. I have fixed the links. I honestly have no idea how they could have gone bad.
     

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