A point guard that is out there that we can actually get

The rockets can get me for HALF the price JL3.

 

I don't understand how he would fit though

His not a particularly brilliant shooter and really our PG needs to be able to defend. Miller is not one of those ppl

 

Don't throw draft picks away like that. But Andre would be an upgrade over Head and James right not.

 

Let Tmac be the playmaker. If he doesn't shoot 6-19 all the time and also limits the number of shots, Rox will be a better team. Tonight, Tmac did well in making plays but he bricked a lot.

TMac does not need to score a lot to prove he is the most valuable player of the team. He cares about scoring too much.

tonight, if he went with 6-12 fg and 12 assts, Rox could really make better use of those 7 bricking shots.

 

I would love Andre Miller.

A smart PG with a midrange game that knows how to set the table and protects the ball.

Oh man, he would be huge on this team.

Get r done Morey.

DD

 

this is actually a really good idea, philly is rebuilding, andre miller is a big point guard and i think everyone on this forum can agree that he's an upgrade over rafer. big point guard that can shoot.

t-mac has never or will ever be the answer at point. he picks up his dribble everytime the moment he's about get trapped.

 

An upgrade as an overall player yes...for the rockets, not sure. If you think they leave Rafer open wait till you see what they do to a 20% career 3P shooter! Would love to have as a piece but I'm not sold that he's worth giving up alot for.

 

Doesn't Kidd want out of Jersey?

 

Play Aaron Brooks, please!

If we aren't getting another PG, play T-Mac at the point. I've seen enough of Rafer, Mike, and Steve (in his prime) to know they aren't the PG solution.

 

He's 31 years old, but still playing pretty well. I think this would be a good trade.

 

Yeah! That might be the best way.

 

Andre Miller is the WAY!

 

I looked at him earlier after hearing they were shopping him.

No thanks. He can't shoot a 3. This is of paramount importance as a Rocket PG due to kickouts by Yao and Tracy. If you think Rafer can't shoot a 3, then you'll only be even more disappointed in Miller. Just not a good fit.

 

actually this is a great time to throw away draft picks.

notice that besides yao and shane, no one on the team is signed for more than 2 years after this one. this is not a mistake. when tmac's contract is up, everyone's is up. if need be, the rockets can completely rebuild around yao and steer away from an injury prone tmac.

since there shouldn't be any new contracts added that last more than 2 years from this summer on, i would expect the rockets to find a way not to add a first round contract to the roster for the next 2 seasons. the third season being the one in which we can be under the cap.

the way to avoid adding first round contracts is to either trade them or draft euro's and leave them overseas. well euro's being stashed overseas doesn't help the rockets win now. i would imagine that they are interested in trading the next two first round picks.

 

I want Stephon Marbury. His value is at an all-time low because of his craziness but he is really a top10 PG in this league if he can get his mind straight.
I think Rafer Alston + Head + Cash will get it done.

 

I think Jamaal Tinsley could be had too and he would also be an upgrade. But he's got a lot of baggage.

Jayson Williams also could probably be had for Rafer, Snyder, and Head.

I think Andre would be a great fit in Adelman's offense. A PG doesn't have to be a 3 point shooter. But he does have to have the ability to get his own shot and score fairly efficiently. Andre has great midrange game and he can break down the D and finish at the rim. Jamaal is a flat out mismatch for a lot of point guards in this league with his ability to post up. He's right there with Chauncey as one of the best post up point guards in the NBA.

Wonder if Larry Hughes would fit in here and could he play the point?

 

The case for Francis

Adjusted Plus-Minus: An Idea Whose Time Has Come

Adjusted Plus-Minus: The Basics

By now, many basketball fans are familiar with the basic plus-minus concept, as it’s been showing up for years in game commentary at both the NBA and college levels. You might see it alluded to in a game graphic that looks something like this:

Minutes Scoring Margin
Miami Heat with Wade: 33 +14
Miami Heat without Wade: 15 -11

In essence, the plus-minus stat simply keeps track of the net changes in score when a given player is either on or off the court. Logically, of course, the players who make the greatest overall contributions to team success should be the ones with the largest positive plus-minus impact. Unfortunately, however, the plus-minus stat doesn’t always fare particularly well in the messy real world of NBA basketball. For one thing, some players spend most of their time on the court in the company of very good teammates, while others frequently play in tandem with much weaker players. The plus-minus stat doesn’t account for these inequities at all. Likewise, some guys always find themselves matched against the opponent’s best players, while others more often face the opposing team’s second unit. That’s another big problem as far as the plus-minus stat is concerned. What’s needed, of course, is some way of adjusting the plus-minus stat to account for all such potential confounds.

This is exactly what the adjusted plus-minus stat does: it reflects the impact of each player on his team’s bottom line (scoring margin), after controlling statistically for the strength of every teammate and every opponent during each minute he’s on the court. Again, the gory mathematical details of the adjusted plus-minus model have been described elsewhere (and they are beyond the scope of this article) – but it’s worth noting that the model relies on the same basic mathematical/ statistical approach currently in widespread use by medical researchers and other scientists all over the world. For example, when an epidemiologist needs to estimate the relative risks posed by smoking, asbestos, and radon and to calculate the odds of contracting cancer on the basis of exposure to each respective hazard, he’ll invariably use the same basic type of statistical model. In other words, the adjusted plus-minus analysis is based upon a robust statistical approach that already provides a solid data analytic foundation for many branches of science and medicine1.

These are the numbers based on 2006

Francis is number 26 in the NBA +/- minutes
McGrady is number 32 in the NBA +/- minutes
Alston is number 55 in the NBA +/- minutes
Wells is number 89 in the NBA +/- minutes
Head is number 98 in the NBA +/- minutes
James is number 146 in the NBA +/- minutes

Obviously, the report on this statistical analysis is long and I won't get into all aspects and nuences of the report. To understand this report just click on the link. http://www.82games.com/ilardi1.htm. Anyone can see that Francis should be on the court based on this analysis.

 

He opted out of his contract, but I dont think we can afford his 1 year 20 mil contract.

A few PG's hopefully we could get from free agency after this year/trade are:

Gilbert Arenas
Jason Kidd
Cavs could dump Larry Hughes
Mike Bibby
Jamaal Tinsley (Possibly)
Or a few of Chicago's guards if they dont get extensions/re-sign

 

Actually, to be fair, Francis logged less than the requisite minutes to be included with players who logged more than 1640 minutes. Francis is number 26 on players who logged less than 1640 minutes. Still it is a good indicator of future success. The key stat is the +/- adjusted stat and predicts the impact a player has on the team. T-Mac gives you 3.45, Alston gives you 2.09, Wells -1.96, James gives you -3.15, Francis gives you 1.09, Head gives -.44. So ranking our guards in this way gives the following:

T-Mac 3.45
Alston 2.09
Francis 1.09
Head -.44
James -3.15
Snyder -3.53

No data on Brooks cause he wasn't in the NBA last year.